Caniss Posted March 23 Share Posted March 23 This will be fun if we see another one X flare from 3614 ,and just a bunch of M flares from 3615 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hamateur 1953 Posted March 23 Share Posted March 23 This baby reminds me of 10486 in the 2003 Halloween Storms Video. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Parabolic Posted March 23 Share Posted March 23 (edited) 1 hour ago, Fishaxolotl said: We had g5 storms in recent times? We had G4 storms last year in March or April. I think it very briefly reached G5 but I don't remember if that was ever official. We could talk further in the unspecified geomagnetic activity thread if you like 🙂 Edited March 23 by Parabolic 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fishaxolotl Posted March 23 Share Posted March 23 29 minutes ago, Parabolic said: We had G4 storms last year in March or April. I think it very briefly reached G5 but I don't remember if that was ever official. We could talk further in the unspecified geomagnetic activity thread if you like 🙂 It's ok, was just surprised because every time I google g5 storms, i only get articles about the Carrington event. Getting back on topic though, it'll be interesting to see if this region manages to produce a powerful enough earth facing CME Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
libmar96 Posted March 23 Share Posted March 23 In general, KP-index is always related to DST. The lower DST value, the higher KP is given. But still there are lots of uncertainities. Three KP 9 moments in SC23 happened in 2000 (1x) and 2003 (2x). They had a lowest DST level between -300 and -400. This would give 9- in official values, but we know 9- is still somehow G4. There's an exceptional aurora in November 2001. It had even more extreme Bz value than any storms above (up to -78.17), but the DST didn't reach -300. It stopped at -292. Look that the DST in July 2000 reached -301. The November 2001 aurora had better Bz & wind speed when combined, but DST was almost the same. The aurora should have been better in 2001 than in 2000 actually. But it's too far ago to confirm, not the same technology for cameras as we have today. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mozy Posted March 23 Share Posted March 23 It better be cooking up something bigger now with how quiet it has been the past few hours.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sotiris Konstantis Posted March 23 Share Posted March 23 1 minute ago, mozy said: It better be cooking up something bigger now with how quiet it has been the past few hours.. The background flux is not falling below C3 which is good. But the group begins to lose complexity apparently. Could this be the end? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MinYoongi Posted March 23 Share Posted March 23 8 minutes ago, Sotiris Konstantis said: The background flux is not falling below C3 which is good. But the group begins to lose complexity apparently. Could this be the end? I said earlier its losing complexity but others said its growing. whats real now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sotiris Konstantis Posted March 23 Share Posted March 23 4 minutes ago, MinYoongi said: I said earlier its losing complexity but others said its growing. whats real now That's only true now for the last couple of hours. Back when you said that it was not losing complexity. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mozy Posted March 23 Share Posted March 23 14 minutes ago, Sotiris Konstantis said: The background flux is not falling below C3 which is good. But the group begins to lose complexity apparently. Could this be the end? The region is looking great still, it is definitely not done yet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MinYoongi Posted March 23 Share Posted March 23 Just now, mozy said: The region is looking great still, it is definitely not done yet thats out of question no doubt i just want to know if its getting better or slowly decaying because looking at the mid (strongest) delta it looked more pushed together and bigger a few hours ago to me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mozy Posted March 23 Share Posted March 23 (edited) 3 minutes ago, MinYoongi said: thats out of question no doubt i just want to know if its getting better or slowly decaying because looking at the mid (strongest) delta it looked more pushed together and bigger a few hours ago to me. Yeah well the issue is that you're staring blankly at that one location, while it has gotten smaller, the area to the left of it has shown significant growth today & is looking spicy. Deltas will decay & new ones will form, can't really call that the region is decaying until we see overall growth just completely halt. But to answer your question about the area you're talking about it does look worse than earlier yes Edited March 23 by mozy spelling 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sotiris Konstantis Posted March 23 Share Posted March 23 1 minute ago, MinYoongi said: thats out of question no doubt i just want to know if its getting better or slowly decaying because looking at the mid (strongest) delta it looked more pushed together and bigger a few hours ago to me. Decay and losing complexity is not the same. The region is certainly not decaying but growing. A region can still grow and lose complexity at the same time. It's not decaying in any meaning of the word. The polarities are separating a bit so it's losing complexity but it's not decaying. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mozy Posted March 23 Share Posted March 23 (edited) On that note, we have another M-flare Edited March 23 by mozy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MinYoongi Posted March 23 Share Posted March 23 10 minutes ago, Sotiris Konstantis said: Decay and losing complexity is not the same. The region is certainly not decaying but growing. A region can still grow and lose complexity at the same time. It's not decaying in any meaning of the word. The polarities are separating a bit so it's losing complexity but it's not decaying. Thank you and @mozy for the good explanation I will look at it more dynamic from now on and not only focus on one thing. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SamDieGurke Posted March 23 Share Posted March 23 Seems like its little break is over, slowly rising M flare ongoing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fishaxolotl Posted March 23 Share Posted March 23 Right on centre disk too. Let's see what this thing is made of Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Popular Post Jesterface23 Posted March 24 Popular Post Share Posted March 24 You have one job 3615. 6 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
coinpeace Posted March 24 Share Posted March 24 Hi guys, I've been watching the discussion for about a month on here (since that x6), decided to make an account finally. This ar looks amazing, watching it balloon to bigger than Jupiter has been fun, hopefully it has some tricks left of it sleeve, of the x class w halo cme variety lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Parabolic Posted March 24 Share Posted March 24 24 minutes ago, Sotiris Konstantis said: Decay and losing complexity is not the same. The region is certainly not decaying but growing. A region can still grow and lose complexity at the same time. It's not decaying in any meaning of the word. The polarities are separating a bit so it's losing complexity but it's not decaying. Good explanation. I'll also add that complex regions like this can go through growth and decay cycles fairly rapidly. Growth with some loss in complexity might give room for even greater complexity between the new and older penumbras with new flux emergence. But it is somewhat futile to measure this on a short time scale. I think that's why SWPC only takes measurements every 24 hours. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AurorahunterPA Posted March 24 Share Posted March 24 Check out the looping on that bad boy, wonder if the x-rays are indicating another bigger flare??? It's in such a good position... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iowa Cloud Chaser Posted March 24 Share Posted March 24 I see we are getting back to nonstop M classes 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sam Warfel Posted March 24 Share Posted March 24 The background flux is steadily creeping up... I think this may be an R4-capable AR. This is honestly beautiful. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MinYoongi Posted March 24 Share Posted March 24 12 minutes ago, Sam Warfel said: The background flux is steadily creeping up... I think this may be an R4-capable AR. This is honestly beautiful. What does R4 Capable mean? 15 minutes ago, Sam Warfel said: The background flux is steadily creeping up... I think this may be an R4-capable AR. This is honestly beautiful. I’m still unsure. I have pictures from 10h ago compared to now the blue in the trailing part has lost a lot of its intensity. I don’t want to talk against everyone but idk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesterface23 Posted March 24 Share Posted March 24 15 minutes ago, Sam Warfel said: I think this may be an R4-capable AR. It seems like it might have the potential eventually, but maybe after a little more development Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now