MinYoongi Posted March 23 Share Posted March 23 very interesting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Philalethes Posted March 23 Share Posted March 23 4 minutes ago, Sotiris Konstantis said: I think there's another one I've lost count really. With the background flux this high, all bets are off on the count, heh. If the flux zig-zags along the boundary between C and M you're going to get registrations of M-flares constantly. I wonder what the amateur radio enthusiasts think of this, as I'm guessing the immediate effects might be too much interference, but that it might be good for the ionosphere once things calm down a bit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wolf star Posted March 23 Author Share Posted March 23 We're going up again. I'm having fun today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SamDieGurke Posted March 23 Share Posted March 23 Almost constantly at M class. Wow 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sotiris Konstantis Posted March 23 Share Posted March 23 Wow. The cores are basically touching! 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MeteoLatvia Posted March 23 Share Posted March 23 As @SamDieGurke mentionmentioe are now almost constantly in M levels as there are back-to-back LDE from the region. Solar protons also are on rapid rise - already deep into S2 levels and nearing S3. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MinYoongi Posted March 23 Share Posted March 23 i wonder how its not decaying at all with its back to back flaring. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SpaceWeather5464 Posted March 23 Share Posted March 23 21 minutes ago, Sotiris Konstantis said: Wow. The cores are basically touching! Woah Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tniickck Posted March 23 Share Posted March 23 i bet there will be a monstrous E layer tonight, right @hamateur 1953? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Aten Posted March 23 Share Posted March 23 I wish it would chill with all these M flares for a bit and save up for a huge X flare. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Open Posted March 23 Share Posted March 23 2 minutes ago, Aten said: I wish it would chill with all these M flares for a bit and save up for a huge X flare. with a cme 😭 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fishaxolotl Posted March 23 Share Posted March 23 Hey m flares can produce cmes too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MeteoLatvia Posted March 23 Share Posted March 23 2 minutes ago, Aten said: I wish it would chill with all these M flares for a bit and save up for a huge X flare. Actually, you are very right - we now see all this activity with M flare barrage and so on, but there are no more nice CME's, at least I don't see anything after that X class event from AR 3614... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MinYoongi Posted March 23 Share Posted March 23 Just now, MeteoLatvia said: Actually, you are very right - we now see all this activity with M flare barrage and so on, but there are no more nice CME's, at least I don't see anything after that X class event from AR 3614... thats why i asked for magnetic caging Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hamateur 1953 Posted March 23 Share Posted March 23 (edited) 12 minutes ago, tniickck said: i bet there will be a monstrous E layer tonight, right @hamateur 1953? Interesting @tniickck I actually forgot about checking DX maps!!! Thanks for reminding me dude!! It is Saturday morning now and six metres is typically showing some activity however just eyeballing it seems greater. Raining here or id mess with my antenna. Tnx again fer heads up. Mike Edited March 23 by hamateur 1953 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wolf star Posted March 23 Author Share Posted March 23 2 minutes ago, MeteoLatvia said: Actually, you are very right - we now see all this activity with M flare barrage and so on, but there are no more nice CME's, at least I don't see anything after that X class event from AR 3614... It will come! I'm an optimist. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MeteoLatvia Posted March 23 Share Posted March 23 Just now, MinYoongi said: thats why i asked for magnetic caging Oh, please no - not another awesome region with nice flares but no CMEs... That would be such an embarrassment. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MatejGrek Posted March 23 Share Posted March 23 12 minutes ago, MeteoLatvia said: Oh, please no - not another awesome region with nice flares but no CMEs... That would be such an embarrassment. Don't worry, it will launch a massive CME as soon as it's on the edge of the disk 😅 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mark03 Posted March 23 Share Posted March 23 (edited) 7 minutes ago, MatejGrek said: Don't worry, it will launch a massive CME as soon as it's on the edge of the disk 😅 Nah, this time the "no CMEs at center disk" rule is suspended because we are at full moon. We'll have an epic aurora but no dark sky to see it in. That's why a big CME is finally possible now, even likely Edited March 23 by mark03 typo 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MeteoLatvia Posted March 23 Share Posted March 23 Oh yes, we were in C levels for too long, and need to get back up to M levels (said AR3165). 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MinYoongi Posted March 23 Share Posted March 23 35 minutes ago, MeteoLatvia said: Oh, please no - not another awesome region with nice flares but no CMEs... That would be such an embarrassment. Well @Philalethes explained that it might not be caging. so maybe that gives you hope Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
libmar96 Posted March 23 Share Posted March 23 Gone M2.8. Ah, we were so close to fill whole day with 2024s. But we still have a few more hours. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MeteoLatvia Posted March 23 Share Posted March 23 30 minutes ago, MinYoongi said: Well @Philalethes explained that it might not be caging. so maybe that gives you hope Really hope for it! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Peter Sedlák Posted March 23 Share Posted March 23 Hi everyone. I have been watching this forum for a while and have finally decided to join. It is really interesting to see this region constantly being in M levels. This time it seems to top at M2.8. I really hope for CME here, that could do G3+ event hehe. Here in Czechia we often see only some reds and pinks. Green is more rare. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sotiris Konstantis Posted March 23 Share Posted March 23 My personal bet would be X10+ within 36 hours. It is getting even more complex and the background flux is stable over M almost at all times. I haven't seen this since 2017. From an upper C - low M baseline it can easily shoot to X class multiple times in the hours ahead. Of course there's the chance it will get less complex or never reach X class but as of now I don't have any reason to believe it won't. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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