MinYoongi Posted February 25 Share Posted February 25 1 hour ago, Jesterface23 said: Negative polarity spots keep back-building south of the positive polarity spot and that seems to be what's keeping the region active This? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mozy Posted February 25 Share Posted February 25 1 minute ago, MinYoongi said: This? This 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MinYoongi Posted February 25 Share Posted February 25 Just now, mozy said: This Ah, thank you! From solarham : . The magnetic delta located in the center of the group appears weakened as well, although a transition line between positive and negative polarity looks to be gaining traction within that lead group of spots Whats a transition line? How do we tell its gaining traction? btw : in which wavelength (SDO) are flare-origins within a region best observable again? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solar_Marcel Posted February 26 Share Posted February 26 is this from 3590s flare? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mozy Posted February 26 Share Posted February 26 3 minutes ago, Solar_Marcel said: is this from 3590s flare? No, came from the limb Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solar_Marcel Posted February 26 Share Posted February 26 Just now, mozy said: No, came from the limb Ah, thanks. Could have been because there was a flare from 3590, and as always, i was sleeping... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cgrant26 Posted February 26 Share Posted February 26 6 minutes ago, mozy said: No, came from the limb Yep. Filament snap from just beyond the limb. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesterface23 Posted February 26 Share Posted February 26 We do see a CME from the flare, but it isn't much, 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Adrian Kobyłecki Posted February 26 Share Posted February 26 30 minutes ago, Jesterface23 said: We do see a CME from the flare, but it isn't much, This will be hard to beat😅 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fishaxolotl Posted February 26 Share Posted February 26 (edited) https://www.spaceweather.com/ Apparently this sunspot is 60% the size of the sunspot that caused the Carrington event according to spaceweather.com. "AR3590 is now the largest sunspot of Solar Cycle 25. For comparison, it is now 60% as large (by surface area) as the great sunspot that caused the Carrington Event in Sept. 1859. Even a 60%-intensity Carrington Event occuring today could cause problems for satellites, power grids, and internet connectivity. That's why forecasters are carefully watching this sunspot. Last week, AR3590 unleashed three X-flares in rapid succession, including the strongest flare of the current solar cycle (X6.3) . Since then the sunspot has been relatively quiet, producing only a handful of low-level M-class explosions. Is it gathering itself for another X-flare? If so, the flare will be geoeffective as AR3590 is directly facing Earth" Edited February 26 by Fishaxolotl Formatting error Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MinYoongi Posted February 26 Share Posted February 26 56 minutes ago, Fishaxolotl said: https://www.spaceweather.com/ Apparently this sunspot is 60% the size of the sunspot that caused the Carrington event according to spaceweather.com. "AR3590 is now the largest sunspot of Solar Cycle 25. For comparison, it is now 60% as large (by surface area) as the great sunspot that caused the Carrington Event in Sept. 1859. Even a 60%-intensity Carrington Event occuring today could cause problems for satellites, power grids, and internet connectivity. That's why forecasters are carefully watching this sunspot. Last week, AR3590 unleashed three X-flares in rapid succession, including the strongest flare of the current solar cycle (X6.3) . Since then the sunspot has been relatively quiet, producing only a handful of low-level M-class explosions. Is it gathering itself for another X-flare? If so, the flare will be geoeffective as AR3590 is directly facing Earth" i really hate what spaceweather.com has become. @arjemma , I think we talked about this website and how it went down the drain with its over the top kinda out of context comparisons and sensationlist headlines 😕 back to this topic: Background Flux went back to B-Levels, the Region however looks still complex(er) ? @mozy are there still deltas present? 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wolf star Posted February 26 Share Posted February 26 2 hours ago, Fishaxolotl said: https://www.spaceweather.com/ Apparently this sunspot is 60% the size of the sunspot that caused the Carrington event according to spaceweather.com. "AR3590 is now the largest sunspot of Solar Cycle 25. For comparison, it is now 60% as large (by surface area) as the great sunspot that caused the Carrington Event in Sept. 1859. Even a 60%-intensity Carrington Event occuring today could cause problems for satellites, power grids, and internet connectivity. That's why forecasters are carefully watching this sunspot. Last week, AR3590 unleashed three X-flares in rapid succession, including the strongest flare of the current solar cycle (X6.3) . Since then the sunspot has been relatively quiet, producing only a handful of low-level M-class explosions. Is it gathering itself for another X-flare? If so, the flare will be geoeffective as AR3590 is directly facing Earth" I must be blind. Can you link directly to the article? I can't find it. 1 hour ago, MinYoongi said: @mozy are there still deltas present? He definitely still has deltas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MinYoongi Posted February 26 Share Posted February 26 1 hour ago, Wolf star said: I must be blind. Can you link directly to the article? I can't find it. He definitely still has deltas. Just click the link in the comment. Spaceweather.com Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Open Posted February 26 Share Posted February 26 For nearly 24 hours no flare crazy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Marcin Tadych Posted February 26 Share Posted February 26 Is there possibility that this region will become even larger with next appearance? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wolf star Posted February 26 Share Posted February 26 24 minutes ago, MinYoongi said: Just click the link in the comment. Spaceweather.com OK thanks. It opened the site elsewhere for me at first, but that was my stupidity. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Adrian Kobyłecki Posted February 26 Share Posted February 26 8 minutes ago, Marcin Tadych said: Is there possibility that this region will become even larger with next appearance? Delta spots rarely survive rotation, but at this size I would expect it to come back smaller or very rebuilt Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MinYoongi Posted February 26 Share Posted February 26 12 minutes ago, Adrian Kobyłecki said: Delta spots rarely survive rotation, but at this size I would expect it to come back smaller or very rebuilt Yes, you are very right. Deltas can fizzle out quick but new ones tend to regrow where they are. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solar_Marcel Posted February 26 Share Posted February 26 c´mon 3590 do something... Flux is rising though 2 minutes ago, MinYoongi said: Yes, you are very right. Deltas can fizzle out quick but new ones tend to regrow where they are. i agree Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hamateur 1953 Posted February 26 Share Posted February 26 (edited) On 2/23/2024 at 4:51 AM, mozy said: Have we seen flares this big from a region like this that barely has any deltas? If so, let me know. It's fascinating how we can have huge regions with tight deltas basically hugging each other without anything happening and this one just casually gives us 3 X-class in 1 day while looking rather messy overall as a region. I completely agree @mozy The magnetic caging stuff being discussed in this thread is also very interesting to me. Awhile back in 2022 we all watched a bgd make a full transit without doing much at all! Was really frustrating to say the least. I missed your earlier comment. Just saw it now. Playing catch-up. Mike Edited February 26 by hamateur 1953 Catching up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mozy Posted February 26 Share Posted February 26 (edited) With how the region currently looks & evolves I wanna say I expect further X-flaring, unless it just decides to decay without anything. Edited February 26 by mozy 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wolf star Posted February 26 Share Posted February 26 (edited) 13 minutes ago, mozy said: With how the region currently looks & evolves I wanna say I expect further X-flaring, unless it just decides to decay without anything. I'm also expecting something above X, even above X 10. Pretty naive, I know. But a beautiful idea. Edited February 26 by Wolf star Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mozy Posted February 26 Share Posted February 26 3 minutes ago, Wolf star said: I'm also expecting something above X, even above X 10. Pretty naive, I know. But a beautiful idea. I mean It's not impossible given the regions history, but I'll take anything Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wolf star Posted February 26 Share Posted February 26 (edited) 2 hours ago, Open said: For nearly 24 hours no flare crazy Patience brings... eruptions. 💣 Edited February 26 by Wolf star Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sunboi Posted February 26 Share Posted February 26 Oh boy! It’s getting closer to the limb! Get ready to the most eruptive X class flare of the solar cycle! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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