AurorahunterPA Posted February 28 Share Posted February 28 Very nice long duration flare, reminds me of the one from last year in april but doesn't seem earth directed enough to do much. Of course she waits for that LOD. Hoping I am pleasantly surprised. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hamateur 1953 Posted February 28 Share Posted February 28 (edited) On 2/28/2024 at 12:54 PM, AurorahunterPA said: Very nice long duration flare, reminds me of the one from last year in april but doesn't seem earth directed enough to do much. Of course she waits for that LOD. Hoping I am pleasantly surprised. Thank you for calling it a $$@@AurorahunterPA mercurial and seems unpredictable. Not that our Male designees have been any less troublesome to us or disappointing…. Ok. Sure. Im removing my post on hindsight because we probably shouldn’t name Hurricanes after prominent public politicians either. Re: Hurricane Hilary. Edited March 1 by hamateur 1953 Hurricanes in N hemisphere Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
helios Posted February 28 Share Posted February 28 (edited) 59 minutes ago, MinYoongi said: Still climbing down veeery slowly. what exactly causes Long duration events to be slower in the comedown? I think it's the post-flare arcades. At least in this one. It's still very hot. Edited February 28 by helios 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
arjemma Posted February 28 Share Posted February 28 (edited) On 2/26/2024 at 10:33 AM, MinYoongi said: i really hate what spaceweather.com has become. @arjemma , I think we talked about this website and how it went down the drain with its over the top kinda out of context comparisons and sensationlist headlines 😕 Yes we sure did and I really do agree. It's very sad what spaceweather.com have become the last few years. I really do hope that they will turn down their excitement when it comes to things like this. I took a small break from space weather as I was so disappointed in this region haha. The aurora season here in Sweden has been really bad (bad weather and not that many CME hits)... I took a breather and now I'm back and ready to be disappointed again by another region 😂 EDIT: I see that this region has a pretty nice long eruption, at least that's something. Good job 3590 for waiting to the limb, much appreciated... Edited February 28 by arjemma Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solarflaretracker200 Posted February 28 Share Posted February 28 On 2/27/2024 at 10:09 AM, Solar_Marcel said: this region is the biggest joke i have ever seen on the suns disk since last cycle There's been alot of those from when i used to watch all the time, XD It's like a habit of the sun. lmao 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Parabolic Posted February 28 Share Posted February 28 2 hours ago, MinYoongi said: Still climbing down veeery slowly. what exactly causes Long duration events to be slower in the comedown? Post eruption arcade loops emit tons of hard x-rays 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hamateur 1953 Posted February 28 Share Posted February 28 (edited) 1 hour ago, Parabolic said: Post eruption arcade loops emit tons of hard x-rays Sure looks that way from the 131 angstrom ( teal) recent photos on SWL! It’s still high end C class over 1.5 hrs later edit: For any Hams reading this. On dx maps there appears to be widespread Es currently. I see where a ham in Oklahoma shows a contact with Jordan on 50 mhz. Probably not F2. Incredible if true. No doubt this flare is contributing to this. Nothing in Seattle as is typical…. I realise this is off-topic so I will post in the ham section further developments. Edited February 29 by hamateur 1953 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WA1ZJL Posted February 29 Share Posted February 29 Either I'm too late or same luck as hamateur 1953. Tuned around 50.525 with nothing in any direction with my hexbeam. Maybe we're too far north? All the luck seems to be in the midwest. Nothing here in downeast Maine! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hamateur 1953 Posted February 29 Share Posted February 29 (edited) Check dx maps it looks like main cloud is over central US now I’m too far north also to benefit apparently Edited February 29 by hamateur 1953 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WA1ZJL Posted February 29 Share Posted February 29 Seems like it always is. Realized should have checked 52.525 but that's dead too. Guess I'm getting old! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hamateur 1953 Posted February 29 Share Posted February 29 (edited) 3 hours ago, WA1ZJL said: Seems like it always is. Realized should have checked 52.525 but that's dead too. Guess I'm getting old! I’m 71 this year. Certainly not too old to get a kick out of working rare DX! 73. Mike N7ORL Edit: If I am reading solar soft’s start/end/ max times correctly that M flare was just under three hours in duration, a considerable time of which it was in the M region as we all saw. Cool. Something interesting anyway. Edited February 29 by hamateur 1953 Duration Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesterface23 Posted February 29 Share Posted February 29 An arrival from the CME at L1 seems unclear with all of the other CMEs around it. If the CME is close enough, the travel time may be near 60 hours. A full glancing blow could be a little under 4 days travel time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pegasus51 Posted February 29 Share Posted February 29 arjemma "Good job 3590 for waiting to the limb, much appreciated..." One o' dese days, an' it won't be long, I'll call yo' number an' you'll be gone. Flare thee well, O LOD-lover, flare thee well. -with apologies to Big Dinky 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mozy Posted February 29 Share Posted February 29 (edited) Perhaps a new CME release ongoing.. 😅 Edited February 29 by mozy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Drax Spacex Posted February 29 Share Posted February 29 (edited) 15 hours ago, hamateur 1953 said: If I am reading solar soft’s start/end/ max times correctly that M flare was just under three hours in duration, a considerable time of which it was in the M region as we all saw. Cool. Something interesting anyway. SWPC hasn't yet logged or determined the duration of the M1.5 flare. The slow rise time may not have triggered automatic detection, and it requires manual analysis. But the M1.5 flare duration has been calculated here on spaceweatherlive as a 4hr 51minute duration flare. Differences in how the pre-flare background flux level is determined can result in different durations. Edited February 29 by Drax Spacex 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MeteoLatvia Posted March 1 Share Posted March 1 On 2/28/2024 at 9:14 PM, Philalethes said: Here is a post from last year with reference to a paper and a plot to visualize the general relationship between CME speed and deflection angle at 1 au; there are of course complicating factors too, like how different Solar wind conditions will affect it as well, but it should be a useful heuristic. Thank you very much! Very interesting material. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wolf star Posted March 1 Share Posted March 1 So when are you going to start it you monster?!👾 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Popular Post Jesterface23 Posted March 2 Popular Post Share Posted March 2 The best region for the Sun of the solar cycle, so it gets a video. Though the worst region for us for the lack of CMEs. 8 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Popular Post Larry Baggett Posted March 3 Popular Post Share Posted March 3 Put this together for AR3590. 5 1 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sayv678 Posted March 4 Share Posted March 4 Is it true that AR 3950 is coming back mid march and could it produce a powerful Enough CME to fry the power grid, im really worried about it and i keep just finding myself read more articles about and i keep scaring myself and i want it to stop Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Vancanneyt Sander Posted March 4 Share Posted March 4 10 uren geleden, Sayv678 zei: Is it true that AR 3950 is coming back mid march and could it produce a powerful Enough CME to fry the power grid, im really worried about it and i keep just finding myself read more articles about and i keep scaring myself and i want it to stop That’s not certain, sunspot regions change continuously and its transit in the farside of the sun is around 14 days so a lot can happen. Big regions can survive a rotation so it can come back. and no, nothing to worry about. It’s normal space weather and won’t bring down the grid. The grid is adapted to survive severe geomagnetic storming. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tniickck Posted March 4 Share Posted March 4 14 hours ago, Sayv678 said: Is it true that AR 3950 is coming back mid march and could it produce a powerful Enough CME to fry the power grid, im really worried about it and i keep just finding myself read more articles about and i keep scaring myself and i want it to stop 🤦 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cheebee Posted March 4 Share Posted March 4 (edited) 15 hours ago, Sayv678 said: Is it true that AR 3950 is coming back mid march and could it produce a powerful Enough CME to fry the power grid, im really worried about it and i keep just finding myself read more articles about and i keep scaring myself and i want it to stop IF that were to happen i have a question for you... what would/could you do? unplug your stuff and enjoy the auroura maybe... that kind of fear is a kind of distraction, dear person even if it did happen, which is unlikely, tho perhaps vaguely possible, we'd still have our day to day affairs to take care of, and in the meantime i still need to get a cat to the vet and a letter posted, i also have to put the trash out... these mundane things are FAR more pressing atm, im sure you have some SUPER important yet totally mundane stuff too. go to a mirror, look yourself deep in the eyes and say.. 'stop it, you!' and then read some more articles cos good info is good but look for the good stuff this is probably a good place to start be good have fun God bless and at every available good opportunity enjoy the show Edited March 4 by cheebee last thought Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jondoh Posted March 4 Share Posted March 4 I don’t understand the fear. Makes no sense worrying about what the sun is going to do. The Earth’s protective magnetic field is pretty effective and at any rate, I’m kinda looking forward to the end of the world as we know it. Lots and lots of other things to worry about if you’re into that. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sapphire828 Posted March 4 Share Posted March 4 On 3/3/2024 at 2:01 AM, Larry Baggett said: Put this together for AR3590. Nice work! Thanks for putting this together. The magnetic caging is easily seen here. 👍 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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