Wolf star Posted February 26 Share Posted February 26 12 minutes ago, Sunboi said: Oh boy! It’s getting closer to the limb! Get ready to the most eruptive X class flare of the solar cycle! Don't take off your pants, the ford is still far. Everyone would want an X eruption from the area in the center of the disc. However, the sun is indifferent to our wishes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WhereingtonEvent Posted February 26 Share Posted February 26 14 minutes ago, Sunboi said: Oh boy! It’s getting closer to the limb! Get ready to the most eruptive X class flare of the solar cycle! Sorry in advance, my ignorance will be showing. It is exciting that it’s nearing the limb (edge of visible disk?) because we can better observe an eruption or because an eruption is more likely to be strong and earth directed? I know very little of any of this- but I imagine it is the former and not the latter- so ignore me if you don’t pity a fool. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fishaxolotl Posted February 26 Share Posted February 26 Hopefully if it does erupt at the limb we get a glancing blow that gives us decent northern lights. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Adrian Kobyłecki Posted February 26 Share Posted February 26 1 hour ago, Fishaxolotl said: Hopefully if it does erupt at the limb we get a glancing blow that gives us decent northern lights. With the x2.8 flare from region 3567 we received absolutely nothing so I wouldn't expect anything spectacular 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesterface23 Posted February 26 Share Posted February 26 There seems to be a decent delta coming together on the north side of the center negative spot clusters. If we're going to get a good geomagnetic storm from a CME out of the region, we may only have about 2 days left for it to do something. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hamateur 1953 Posted February 26 Share Posted February 26 8 minutes ago, Jesterface23 said: There seems to be a decent delta coming together on the north side of the center negative spot clusters. If we're going to get a good geomagnetic storm from a CME out of the region, we may only have about 2 days left for it to do something. I was noticing the same thing and hoping for the entire center mass to be ejected in our direction soon. It has been as quiet as Mt St. Helens was here in May of 1980. Let’s hope this is a similar event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Adrian Kobyłecki Posted February 26 Share Posted February 26 Photo of AR3590 taken yesterday. You can see that the sun is tilted at a slight angle. Does this mean that a more southern CME from this region would be more beneficial for us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesterface23 Posted February 26 Share Posted February 26 1 minute ago, Adrian Kobyłecki said: Photo of AR3590 taken yesterday. You can see that the sun is tilted at a slight angle. Does this mean that a more southern CME from this region would be more beneficial for us. A photo of the Sun from Earth is all about orientation. If the camera was rotated in the right way, it could match SDO. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MinYoongi Posted February 26 Share Posted February 26 5 minutes ago, hamateur 1953 said: I was noticing the same thing and hoping for the entire center mass to be ejected in our direction soon. It has been as quiet as Mt St. Helens was here in May of 1980. Let’s hope this is a similar event. Which Center Mass do you mean? is there a filament? Sorry if im misunderstanding you. Mt St.Helens joke was very good btw 18 minutes ago, Jesterface23 said: If we're going to get a good geomagnetic storm from a CME out of the region, we may only have about 2 days left for it to do something. Do you mean because of its approach to the western limb? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solar_Marcel Posted February 26 Share Posted February 26 (edited) 54 minutes ago, Adrian Kobyłecki said: Photo of AR3590 taken yesterday. You can see that the sun is tilted at a slight angle. Does this mean that a more southern CME from this region would be more beneficial for us. 49 minutes ago, MinYoongi said: Do you mean because of its approach to the western limb? Also called: The Limb of Disappointment Edited February 26 by Solar_Marcel Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sunboi Posted February 26 Share Posted February 26 3 hours ago, WhereingtonEvent said: Sorry in advance, my ignorance will be showing. It is exciting that it’s nearing the limb (edge of visible disk?) because we can better observe an eruption or because an eruption is more likely to be strong and earth directed? I know very little of any of this- but I imagine it is the former and not the latter- so ignore me if you don’t pity a fool. It just seems that we constantly get explosive flares as the sunspots transition to the limb and out of a geoeffective position. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hamateur 1953 Posted February 26 Share Posted February 26 (edited) 50 minutes ago, Solar_Marcel said: Also called: The Limb of Disappointment Unless I am incorrect the west and east limbs received those monikers from @MinYoongi a couple of years ago.. good designations imho Mike In reply to her question, I was thinking only of the “ magnetically caged” portion so to speak between the polarities in the center of 3590 that really wants to leave our way but is presently under restraint due to either its surface proximity as suggested by @Justanerdor maybe it’s just waiting for the LOD. Naturally I’m with all of y’all and really want a decent CME. Edited February 26 by hamateur 1953 CME 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
willow Posted February 26 Share Posted February 26 it's one big delta at this point and this lack of activity is really strange for a region with a complexity like this Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mozy Posted February 26 Share Posted February 26 5 minutes ago, willow said: it's one big delta at this point and this lack of activity is really strange for a region with a complexity like this Expected from earth facing regions this cycle tbh, all of them are behaving the same 😜 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AurorahunterPA Posted February 26 Share Posted February 26 33 minutes ago, mozy said: Expected from earth facing regions this cycle tbh, all of them are behaving the same 😜 Not me secretly hoping that the more we rip on it, it destabilizes the magnetic cage XD 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Popular Post mozy Posted February 26 Popular Post Share Posted February 26 4 minutes ago, AurorahunterPA said: Not me secretly hoping that the more we rip on it, it destabilizes the magnetic cage XD The only thing thats ripping is my hair from all this disappointment. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Adrian Kobyłecki Posted February 26 Share Posted February 26 Give him 2 hours Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wolf star Posted February 26 Share Posted February 26 6 minutes ago, Adrian Kobyłecki said: Give him 2 hours Start the countdown! Three two one...💣 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Adrian Kobyłecki Posted February 26 Share Posted February 26 (edited) 12 minutes ago, Wolf star said: Start the countdown! Three two one...💣 22:30 UTC, if nothing happens by then, please close the topic and update the photo of the solar disk edit: please set this photo as current in case of no AR reaction Edited February 26 by Adrian Kobyłecki 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Open Posted February 26 Share Posted February 26 (edited) They took the X class % down to 10% .3090 is such a disappointment but hey few X classes without cme have to be enough 😭 Edited February 26 by Open 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sam Warfel Posted February 26 Share Posted February 26 1 hour ago, willow said: it's one big delta at this point and this lack of activity is really strange for a region with a complexity like this Building up for an X10 I bet (on the west limb) 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solarflaretracker200 Posted February 26 Share Posted February 26 I wonder when i can actaully not miss an X flare for once lol.. On 2/21/2024 at 10:58 PM, Solar_Marcel said: @Solarflaretracker200or @tniickck maybe can tell more accurately wheter its a delta or not than me lol I missed the Hint Hint lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AurorahunterPA Posted February 26 Share Posted February 26 (edited) This region is so complex, I can hardly believe it's been 24 hours since any noteworthy activity and that they took X-flare probs down to 10. Really odd for something so large and unstable. I'm hoping so hard that this eerie quiet is a build up for a whopper. Edited February 26 by AurorahunterPA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sam Warfel Posted February 26 Share Posted February 26 4 minutes ago, Solarflaretracker200 said: I wonder when i can actaully not miss an X flare for once lol.. I missed the Hint Hint lol Hey, welcome back! Feels like it's been a while XD 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Misaka Posted February 26 Share Posted February 26 I've given up on the sunspot. Since yesterday it doesn't even shine as beautifully as before in SDO 131 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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