NEAurora Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 Lots of activity around the spot, with bright expanding loops south of the region. Looking much more active again today than yesterday, let's hope it's preparing to blow. With all the activity around the limbs, I feel like the sun owes us 😄. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MinYoongi Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 what are those loops exactly? (south of the region) Are those post flare arcades from the Long duration C Flare? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fishaxolotl Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 I remember someone calling it a flatline flare on twitter but I'm not sure. Also, solar ham agrees that the CME is going south https://x.com/SolarHam/status/1756294690440089750?s=20 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nathan Majors Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 Earth directed or not Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Orchidfan Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 3 hours ago, Maciej Dunst said: No, the big one is still there. Here is animation from SUVI. https://www.facebook.com/share/Pxhu1pFhdvGzf2mQ/ But I think the western part of the big filament was "eaten up" by the surrounding flares this morning 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fishaxolotl Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 21 minutes ago, Nathan Majors said: Earth directed or not We need to wait and see Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maciej Dunst Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 31 minutes ago, Orchidfan said: But I think the western part of the big filament was "eaten up" by the surrounding flares this morning Exactly, as I said before, about 1/3 of this filament lifted off 33 minutes ago, Nathan Majors said: Earth directed or not No, weak glancing blow at best. (confirmed by Solarham). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
willow Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 really interesting how we already had 3 full halo CMEs on the farside but even a filament eruption on earth-facing solar disk avoids earth.. things really don't want us to see some nice aurora ! i missed one most recent one in my region just because i was lazy to walk further into field and look on the east side of the sky 😆 only could see some white dancing lights for an hour or so 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maciej Dunst Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 Another filament from this region lifted off at around 13 UTC. Again, bulk of it seems to be south/south-west directed.... Dear Sun, are we a joke to you? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
auclectic Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 I can't get a good screen grab but I really thought I saw a decent sized filament lifting off from south of this region 2-8 between 22 and early 2-9 similar time to the x flare. Can see it best on blue wavelength. But no halo on cactus Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MinYoongi Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 2 minutes ago, auclectic said: I can't get a good screen grab but I really thought I saw a decent sized filament lifting off from south of this region 2-8 between 22 and early 2-9 similar time to the x flare. Can see it best on blue wavelength. But no halo on cactus Which time frame did your mentioned filament liftoff happen in utc? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Parabolic Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 2 hours ago, MinYoongi said: i wonder why there is no nasa run yet or noaa swpc enlil run. because there is lasco data NOAA forecast suggests only a glancing blow around 02/12. Watching it now and I would say most of it will go south of earth. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Adrian Kobyłecki Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 Another fiber from this region. This seems more Earth-oriented https://gyazo.com/202ecb3f99ff851e56ac03a176834210 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MinYoongi Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 12 minutes ago, Parabolic said: NOAA forecast suggests only a glancing blow around 02/12. Watching it now and I would say most of it will go south of earth. theyre talking about another Filament there. 3 minutes ago, Adrian Kobyłecki said: Another fiber from this region. This seems more Earth-oriented https://gyazo.com/202ecb3f99ff851e56ac03a176834210 A filament eruption centered near S37W02 beginning at 08/2000 UTC was reanalyzed. A likely associated CME was observed off the S limb at 09/0154 UTC in SOHO/LASCO C3 imagery. Modelling results indicated the potential for a grazing blow mid to late on 12 Feb. >>> The filament youre talking about lifted off 2 days ago Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nathan Majors Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 7 minutes ago, MinYoongi said: theyre talking about another Filament there. A filament eruption centered near S37W02 beginning at 08/2000 UTC was reanalyzed. A likely associated CME was observed off the S limb at 09/0154 UTC in SOHO/LASCO C3 imagery. Modelling results indicated the potential for a grazing blow mid to late on 12 Feb. >>> The filament youre talking about lifted off 2 days ago Was it strong or explosive or enough for g1 or g2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MinYoongi Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 6 minutes ago, Nathan Majors said: Was it strong or explosive or enough for g1 or g2 the mentioned one? not even Kp4. this mornings CME modelled by Nasa with a kp estimate of 5-6 (G1-G2): Many people including solarham called it a miss so im still not sure what to believe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Adrian Kobyłecki Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 12 minutes ago, MinYoongi said: the mentioned one? not even Kp4. this mornings CME modelled by Nasa with a kp estimate of 5-6 (G1-G2): Many people including solarham called it a miss so im still not sure what to believe. I think the coronal hole may help this CME Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesterface23 Posted February 10 Author Share Posted February 10 6 hours ago, MinYoongi said: i think @Jesterface23 hinted something with 40hrs? it does not look fast in Suvi but who knows. That is to 1AU. Currently SA may be a little over 2 days travel time. SOHO's imagery just needs to come in now to check that. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
willow Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 2 hours ago, MinYoongi said: the mentioned one? not even Kp4. this mornings CME modelled by Nasa with a kp estimate of 5-6 (G1-G2): Many people including solarham called it a miss so im still not sure what to believe. it doesn't really look like a miss?? or it is because it was blown to the south? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hamateur 1953 Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 2 hours ago, Adrian Kobyłecki said: Another fiber from this region. This seems more Earth-oriented https://gyazo.com/202ecb3f99ff851e56ac03a176834210 Nice shot! Thanks for posting that. It coincides pretty well with the “ squid” from yesterday. Different filament and why we are viewing post eruption arcs possibly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Marcel de Bont Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 I shared my thoughts in this topic. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MinYoongi Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 Can someone maybe explain why the background flux is a bit higher than before the flare? Also, what are those loops? Post flare arcades? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mozy Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 12 minutes ago, MinYoongi said: Can someone maybe explain why the background flux is a bit higher than before the flare? What exactly do you mean with this? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MinYoongi Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 16 minutes ago, mozy said: What exactly do you mean with this? Sorry, I wasn't as thorough in my explanation. I mean, why is the flux now holding at around ~2 and slightly above when it was lower before the filament eruption. e.g. more development, growth etc.? By post flare acards I mean the structures / loops shown in the photo (attached) emanating from the region. I don't know if these were actually there after the filament eruption/flare as I suspected or a phenomena of its own. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tniickck Posted February 10 Share Posted February 10 i see a new delta in the main spot 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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