Philalethes Posted February 9 Share Posted February 9 Just now, mozy said: Is there any way to see It's strength while another bigger flare is ongoing or is it a lost cause? I don't think so, there's no way of separating out the individual flux reliably that I know of at least, but I don't know for sure. In this case I assume you can get a decent estimate by looking at the slope of the X-flare and seeing how much the little bump (at around 13:30) of this flare offset it, assuming that the X-flare declines relatively evenly; some 5-10 minutes later the flux seems to be ~0.2 higher than it should have been with a gradual decline, which would correspond to ~M2, but there's certainly plenty of room for error there. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MinYoongi Posted February 9 Share Posted February 9 3 minutes ago, Philalethes said: I don't think so, there's no way of separating out the individual flux reliably that I know of at least, but I don't know for sure. In this case I assume you can get a decent estimate by looking at the slope of the X-flare and seeing how much the little bump (at around 13:30) of this flare offset it, assuming that the X-flare declines relatively evenly; some 5-10 minutes later the flux seems to be ~0.2 higher than it should have been with a gradual decline, which would correspond to ~M2, but there's certainly plenty of room for error there. and the flare was uneruptive, right? looks pretty impulsive too judging on SDO imagery Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Philalethes Posted February 9 Share Posted February 9 2 minutes ago, MinYoongi said: and the flare was uneruptive, right? looks pretty impulsive too judging on SDO imagery Yeah, the one from this region did nothing by the looks of it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nathan Majors Posted February 9 Share Posted February 9 It produced a x2.3 recently Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tniickck Posted February 9 Share Posted February 9 2 minutes ago, Nathan Majors said: It produced a x2.3 recently are you talking about the one that was a week ago behind the limb? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nathan Majors Posted February 9 Share Posted February 9 It’s shows it on space weather live Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesterface23 Posted February 9 Author Share Posted February 9 1 minute ago, Nathan Majors said: It’s shows it on space weather live It is just an error from something being automated. 3576 did happen to flare around the same time and was associated to the wrong region, and the actual region source is no longer on the disk. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Marcel de Bont Posted February 9 Share Posted February 9 14 minuten geleden, Jesterface23 zei: It is just an error from something being automated. 3576 did happen to flare around the same time and was associated to the wrong region, and the actual region source is no longer on the disk. NOAA assigned the X3 flare to the wrong region for some reason, hope someone there wakes up and corrects it soon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mozy Posted February 9 Share Posted February 9 Another boring M1 flare 😎 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nathan Majors Posted February 9 Share Posted February 9 Is the x3 earth directed Nevermind it’s the far side Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MinYoongi Posted February 9 Share Posted February 9 4 minutes ago, mozy said: Another boring M1 flare 😎 no ejecta? seems short Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
willow Posted February 9 Share Posted February 9 (edited) i believe in this region.. if 3575 was able to produce X3 while it was noticeably getting smaller while it was in the earth view then 3576 can do this too.. in the earth facing solar disk please:) though the delta seems to be really weak now.. Edited February 9 by willow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mozy Posted February 9 Share Posted February 9 Atleast It's growing new positive flux in the northern part of the region now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Parabolic Posted February 9 Share Posted February 9 With new flux reemergence coming up fast it brings new hope! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Miles Posted February 9 Share Posted February 9 Can we get 2 X-classes in one day??? Unlikely but you never know. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MinYoongi Posted February 9 Share Posted February 9 31 minutes ago, Parabolic said: With new flux reemergence coming up fast it brings new hope! 1 hour ago, mozy said: Atleast It's growing new positive flux in the northern part of the region now. Does that change complexity much? (positive is blue right? i always get that shxt confused, i mean.. on the sun even east is west!) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mozy Posted February 9 Share Posted February 9 Just now, MinYoongi said: Does that change complexity much? (positive is blue right? i always get that shxt confused, i mean.. on the sun even east is west!) Yes positive is blue, we need more positive in this region, It's highly negative dominated Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
willow Posted February 9 Share Posted February 9 Just now, mozy said: Yes positive is blue, we need more positive in this region, It's highly negative dominated are those positive spots on the eastern side a part of region? what if they will blend together in a larger and stronger positive spots (if this is possible) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mozy Posted February 9 Share Posted February 9 6 minutes ago, willow said: are those positive spots on the eastern side a part of region? what if they will blend together in a larger and stronger positive spots (if this is possible) They should be yeah, it is possible but it looks unlikely at this point as there's barely any development in that area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MinYoongi Posted February 9 Share Posted February 9 1 minute ago, mozy said: They should be yeah, it is possible but it looks unlikely at this point as there's barely any development in that area. hows the region overall complexity wise? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mozy Posted February 9 Share Posted February 9 1 minute ago, MinYoongi said: hows the region overall complexity wise? Worse than yesterday for sure, but improving slightly again with the new flux emerging in the north Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nathan Majors Posted February 9 Share Posted February 9 Has anyone seen this 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Miles Posted February 9 Share Posted February 9 Definitely a new delta in the top right of the region. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MinYoongi Posted February 9 Share Posted February 9 17 minutes ago, Miles said: Definitely a new delta in the top right of the region. wouldnt qite call it that yet, very small, not many spots, weak umbra 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
willow Posted February 9 Share Posted February 9 34 minutes ago, Nathan Majors said: Has anyone seen this yeah it's from the recent X3.38 flare from AR3575 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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