Jesterface23 Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 This is about 2 and a half hours behind. Not sure if it is a better view or not. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MinYoongi Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 1 minute ago, Jesterface23 said: This is about 2 and a half hours behind. Not sure if it is a better view or not. its a good view, but do those maps differ from the SDO ones? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Philalethes Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 2 minutes ago, MinYoongi said: is it tied to the filament or why is it LDE? It's already gone on for ~40 minutes in the M-flare range, that alone makes it an event of fairly long duration, and by how it seems to keep creeping up slowly it's probably going to stay in that range for well over an hour at least. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LunarLights58 Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 What do you think about SWPC/NOAA saying there are 175 >X1's and 8 >X10's per solar cycle? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Landon Moeller Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 5 minutes ago, MinYoongi said: is it tied to the filament or why is it LDE? With the latest part of the flare, I do see some activity has moved northeast in the spot group up to the small filament. However, not the direct cause. Let’s see what happens Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MinYoongi Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 1 minute ago, Philalethes said: It's already gone on for ~40 minutes in the M-flare range, that alone makes it an event of fairly long duration, and by how it seems to keep creeping up slowly it's probably going to stay in that range for well over an hour at least. i wonder whats the cause, any speculations/theories? Just now, LunarLights58 said: What do you think about SWPC/NOAA saying there are 175 >X1's and 8 >X10's per solar cycle? hmm i guess its just plain statistics, at least thats how i interpret it in the past Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesterface23 Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 1 minute ago, MinYoongi said: its a good view, but do those maps differ from the SDO ones? The color tables will be a little different, but they should be fairly similar. The imagery is just stretched so we see it more head on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Landon Moeller Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 1 minute ago, LunarLights58 said: What do you think about SWPC/NOAA saying there are 175 >X1's and 8 >X10's per solar cycle? Haha I saw this statistic on the 31st and could not believe it just because of how few we’ve had this solar cycle thus far Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LunarLights58 Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 Source: https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/noaa-scales-explanation Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MinYoongi Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 Just now, Jesterface23 said: The color tables will be a little different, but they should be fairly similar. The imagery is just stretched so we see it more head on. thanks for sharing it even more then, its nice to see it with another perspective. i dont know why everyone keeps trashing the delta 2 minutes ago, Landon Moeller said: Haha I saw this statistic on the 31st and could not believe it just because of how few we’ve had this solar cycle thus far But i think the biggest events happen shortly after maximum ☝️ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LunarLights58 Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 I think the Sun is charging up a big flare right now and it's gonna blow and peak at high M or even X. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Philalethes Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 2 minutes ago, LunarLights58 said: What do you think about SWPC/NOAA saying there are 175 >X1's and 8 >X10's per solar cycle? Is that really the average so far? I guess that includes cycles like SC19, which must be far above even that average in that case, which is quite crazy to think about if it's indeed the case. Would love to experience a cycle like that at some point in my life, that's for sure. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MinYoongi Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 1 minute ago, LunarLights58 said: I think the Sun is charging up a big flare right now and it's gonna blow and peak at high M or even X. based on what? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Adrian Kobyłecki Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 3 minutes ago, LunarLights58 said: I think the Sun is charging up a big flare right now and it's gonna blow and peak at high M or even X. M3.88 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LunarLights58 Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 1 minute ago, MinYoongi said: based on what? I think I saw some flux ropes getting energized and the current flux is almost at M4 and still rising. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MinYoongi Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 Just now, LunarLights58 said: I think I saw some flux ropes getting energized and the current flux is almost at M4 and still rising. interested in the flux ropes/Energized thing. where can i observe the phenomena you observed? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SpaceWeather5464 Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 Just now, LunarLights58 said: I think I saw some flux ropes getting energized and the current flux is almost at M4 and still rising. Yeah i believe there might be another high end M or X flare because the sunspot looks a little more active now on SDO AIA 94 for the past 24 hours but who knows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LunarLights58 Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 They look like twisted loops in 131 Å from GOES-16 images. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mozy Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 Fun with some activity but not eruptive whatsoever, go next. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MinYoongi Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 Just now, mozy said: Fun with some activity but not eruptive whatsoever, go next. oh it wasnt, altough it was LDE? (Suvi lagging behind, im on mobile) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fishaxolotl Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 Hopefully it stays below X3, I don't think my anxiety levels can handle an earth directed X5 or x10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Philalethes Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 2 minutes ago, mozy said: Fun with some activity but not eruptive whatsoever, go next. gg, no re Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesterface23 Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 1 minute ago, Fishaxolotl said: Hopefully it stays below X3, I don't think my anxiety levels can handle an earth directed X5 or x10 Flare class doesn't go hand in hand with CME impacts. Or not always Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LunarLights58 Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 http://www.nasa.gov/sites/default/files/723472main_glowing_edge_0.jpg If anyone sees these things forming, we are in for a doozy. They are the precursors to large flares and CMEs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MinYoongi Posted January 4 Share Posted January 4 Just now, LunarLights58 said: http://www.nasa.gov/sites/default/files/723472main_glowing_edge_0.jpg If anyone sees these things forming, we are in for a doozy. They are the precursors to large flares and CMEs. "404 not found" 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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