MinYoongi Posted February 26, 2023 Author Share Posted February 26, 2023 11 minutes ago, arjemma said: Yep it looks like something is arriving at least. On EPAM it sure looks like a CME but is a bit early to tell. 2 minutes ago, SpaceWeather5464 said: The first CME has reached us I believe. is it an early arrive? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
arjemma Posted February 26, 2023 Share Posted February 26, 2023 1 minute ago, MinYoongi said: is it an early arrive? Yes I would consider this early. I saw that some predictions was made on the evening of February 26th but they were low confidence. Most predictions have said around midnight. It's hard to calculate arriving times though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesterface23 Posted February 26, 2023 Share Posted February 26, 2023 Give the CME several hours and the velocities could reach around 650-750km/s. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MinYoongi Posted February 26, 2023 Author Share Posted February 26, 2023 1 minute ago, Jesterface23 said: Give the CME several hours and the velocities could reach around 650-750km/s. If this one isnt a pure shock passage 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
arjemma Posted February 26, 2023 Share Posted February 26, 2023 1 minute ago, Jesterface23 said: Give the CME several hours and the velocities could reach around 650-750km/s. That would be awesome. I'm patiently waiting to see if we will get some flux rope after the shock. We will probably know in in about 6-12 hours maybe depending on how it interacts with the ring current. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MinYoongi Posted February 26, 2023 Author Share Posted February 26, 2023 2 minutes ago, arjemma said: That would be awesome. I'm patiently waiting to see if we will get some flux rope after the shock. We will probably know in in about 6-12 hours maybe depending on how it interacts with the ring current. Exciting! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesterface23 Posted February 26, 2023 Share Posted February 26, 2023 Just now, MinYoongi said: If this one isnt a pure shock passage A pure shock could do similar, the event just wouldn't last as long. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mozy Posted February 26, 2023 Share Posted February 26, 2023 BZ taking a big dip to -12 now and clouds are rolling in, just my luck, new chances tomorrow hopefully Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SpaceWeather5464 Posted February 26, 2023 Share Posted February 26, 2023 4 minutes ago, Jesterface23 said: Give the CME several hours and the velocities could reach around 650-750km/s. Yes. The real light show begins when the second CME arrives. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
arjemma Posted February 26, 2023 Share Posted February 26, 2023 I love when the shock of plasma is this clear. Beautiful hit so far. This is a model of the magnetosphere. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MinYoongi Posted February 26, 2023 Author Share Posted February 26, 2023 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MatejGrek Posted February 26, 2023 Share Posted February 26, 2023 This is exciting. Too bad we have overcast skies here. Good luck everyone! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Drax Spacex Posted February 26, 2023 Share Posted February 26, 2023 41 minutes ago, arjemma said: Yep it looks like something is arriving at least. On EPAM it sure looks like a CME but is a bit early to tell. Could this early arrival instead be the solar wind from transequatorial Coronal Hole #79? Whatever it is, it looks like it could generate storm conditions within the next few hours with a sustained Bz south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Vancanneyt Sander Posted February 26, 2023 Share Posted February 26, 2023 It was a clear CME signature, CH have a more gradual gain in speed and IMF strength. With IMF steady southward it should generate some nice auroral activity 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MinYoongi Posted February 26, 2023 Author Share Posted February 26, 2023 bz looks good for now but it can change like crazy since we're in the sheath Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
arjemma Posted February 26, 2023 Share Posted February 26, 2023 I'm out of likes but wanna like all your posts haha. But yes it does look promising right now and the predicted HPI rises pretty quickly. There are aurora observations from lower part of the high latitude region already. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MinYoongi Posted February 26, 2023 Author Share Posted February 26, 2023 same, out of likes. sorry guys. yeah hp30 hit g5 already briefly! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
No pseudoscience Posted February 26, 2023 Share Posted February 26, 2023 7 minutes ago, arjemma said: I'm out of likes but wanna like all your posts haha. But yes it does look promising right now and the predicted HPI rises pretty quickly. There are aurora observations from lower part of the high latitude region already. 2 minutes ago, MinYoongi said: same, out of likes. sorry guys. yeah hp30 hit g5 already briefly! Wait, you can run out of likes? How does the like system work? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MinYoongi Posted February 26, 2023 Author Share Posted February 26, 2023 19 minutes ago, No pseudoscience said: Wait, you can run out of likes? How does the like system work? you can like xy comments per 24h i think as a grandmaster i deserve the ability to like as much as i want! i earned it! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
No pseudoscience Posted February 26, 2023 Share Posted February 26, 2023 2 minutes ago, MinYoongi said: you can like xy comments per 24h i think as a grandmaster i deserve the ability to like as much as i want! i earned it! What is xy? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MinYoongi Posted February 26, 2023 Author Share Posted February 26, 2023 i dont know how many it is exactly so i put xy, could be like 10 likes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MatejGrek Posted February 26, 2023 Share Posted February 26, 2023 (edited) Webcams from the Czech Republic captured a very faint red aurora just above the horizon like 15 minutes ago (50° north). Edited February 26, 2023 by MatejGrek grammar 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Drax Spacex Posted February 26, 2023 Share Posted February 26, 2023 2 hours ago, Jesterface23 said: Give the CME several hours and the velocities could reach around 650-750km/s. Velocity is currently above 650km/s. You deserve a Prognosticator badge! 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesterface23 Posted February 26, 2023 Share Posted February 26, 2023 1 minute ago, Drax Spacex said: Velocity is currently above 650km/s. You deserve a Prognosticator badge! MORE DATA heh So far the DSCOVR's IMF total strength from the CME has ranged from 22.59nT to 0.34nT in 1 second data. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wolf star Posted February 26, 2023 Share Posted February 26, 2023 (edited) 32 minutes ago, MatejGrek said: Webkamery z České republiky zachytily velmi slabou červenou polární záři těsně nad obzorem jako před 15 minutami (50° severně). And here again under a cloud. I look to the north and there is no star. But in Kuehlungsborn, Germany, 54.12° N can be seen. Ahoj krajane. Edited February 26, 2023 by Wolf star 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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