The latest farside map looks like this:

The orange region (Corresponding to FS_2024_002) currently has a strength of 14977... what does this "strength" number mean?

           2024-01-09.0
        Far-Side Vantage:  CLon = 302.1, Lat =   3.8

Designation        Centroid       Strength    ETA at        Days from
              Longitude  Latitude             East Limb     East Limb
              (degree)   (degree)            (yyyy-mm-dd.d)

FS-2024-001    29.6       31.6       158      2024-01-09.4    0.4
FS-2024-002   333.5       13.6     14977      2024-01-13.5    4.5
FS-2024-006   289.9      -15.3      1599      2024-01-16.6    7.6

1 hour ago, Solar_Marcel said:

 

The latest farside map looks like this:

The orange region (Corresponding to FS_2024_002) currently has a strength of 14977... what does this "strength" number mean?

           2024-01-09.0
        Far-Side Vantage:  CLon = 302.1, Lat =   3.8

Designation        Centroid       Strength    ETA at        Days from
              Longitude  Latitude             East Limb     East Limb
              (degree)   (degree)            (yyyy-mm-dd.d)

FS-2024-001    29.6       31.6       158      2024-01-09.4    0.4
FS-2024-002   333.5       13.6     14977      2024-01-13.5    4.5
FS-2024-006   289.9      -15.3      1599      2024-01-16.6    7.6

it s a "sunspot group size" according to the AI. wrong in 99.9% chance, in your case it just gathered all the spots together and claimed it as 1 region. also 1 region cant be in both hemispheres as i know. and if i were you i wouldn’t trust farside mapa so much because they always considera plage as an active region but there are some true info about sunspots in them

Since this is incoming regions, take a look at Northern Hemisphere.  It appears as though we have at least three filament loops just hanging above the surface, ready to be slung our way.  Haha. 

2 hours ago, tniickck said:

it s a "sunspot group size" according to the AI. wrong in 99.9% chance, in your case it just gathered all the spots together and claimed it as 1 region. also 1 region cant be in both hemispheres as i know. and if i were you i wouldn’t trust farside mapa so much because they always considera plage as an active region but there are some true info about sunspots in them

Here is a crop of the latest photospheric map showing individual fields. East limb is currently around 30 degrees, so we could see a few good ARs over the next few days.

                                                                     

1 hour ago, hamateur 1953 said:

Since this is incoming regions, take a look at Northern Hemisphere.  It appears as though we have at least three filament loops just hanging above the surface, ready to be slung our way.  Haha. 

One has slung, probably not our way.

1 hour ago, Drax Spacex said:

One has slung, probably not our way.

Yeah. They may be supports for a 100,000 meter rhombic antenna. 

1 hour ago, Drax Spacex said:

One has slung, probably not our way.

Yep. Assuming you meant the closest one to us. Not there in latest 193 pic   The spray is visible in 131 kinda cool. Also the two original points of surface connection   Solar ham posted a prominence eruption from this a bit ago I was just informed.  

Edited January 9, 20241 yr by hamateur 1953
Update

@3gMike was suggesting a fairly active region or two is on our incoming  limb soon.  From the monster loops I have just seen and X Ray flux heading up continuously, it seems a certainty from SH at least.  Good call! 

sploosh!

and here's a M flare from the limb

Oh I assumed the earth facing regions launched that flare 😂

This incoming region just behind the east limb near the equator has been actively erupting:
https://ibb.co/tX62VSW

Edited January 10, 20241 yr by Drax Spacex

well i guess both incoming regions are plage

On 1/25/2024 at 10:17 PM, tniickck said:

well i guess both incoming regions are plage

Yea... I was really hoping for more since the limb was so bright 😔
I guess we will have a new period with rather low activity. I hope the regions that looks to be behind the limb still can bring som action.

1 hour ago, arjemma said:

Yea... I was really hoping for more since the limb was so bright 😔
I guess we will have a new period with rather low activity. I hope the regions that looks to be behind the limb still can bring som action.

Yes, I hope so too!

We have a couple of regions 'knocking on the door'

This region looks interesting. It’s entering our view soon.

There was an emission at 2:41 from the southern hemisphere

11 hours ago, Manu said:

There was an emission at 2:41 from the southern hemisphere

It keeps releasing a lot of plasma

There is a big area that is going to be turning into view later this week!

 

Jay-B, how do you get those images? Thanks!

I only know of GONG and Stanford Helioseismology for far side imagery.

I was about to joke about you sending pics from your private observatory on Mars or Venus or ... and I actually realise those must be from Mars Rover? Haha

Edited January 30, 20241 yr by Manu

Haha they are. Perseverance.

Note the other topic about farside photos from Perseverance. 😁

https://community.spaceweatherlive.com/topic/2888-mars-rovers-provide-another-perspective-on-farside-solar-activity/

Edit: forgot to add the link with the original photos from Mars Rover.

https://mars.nasa.gov/mars2020/multimedia/raw-images/

Edited January 30, 20241 yr by Malisha Reuvekamp

18 hours ago, Jay-B said:

There is a big area that is going to be turning into view later this week!

 

The problem is those might not be incoming. They might have been what went over the western limb for us as we don't know what is the north or south pole of the Sun in the image.

...........

I guess technically though, anything over the western limb and not yet over the eastern limb would be incoming

............

And after doing a little bit more searching, they actually do look like something that will come over the eastern limb within a week. Both circled areas look to be southern disk regions.

Edited January 30, 20241 yr by Jesterface23

well, it hasn't died yet, perhaps it will keep producing strong cmes until gets on the central meridian

Solar Orbiter today observed an X2.1 flare from the incoming region 

@Philalethes @Jesterface23

Edited February 3, 20241 yr by tniickck

49 minutes ago, tniickck said:

Solar Orbiter today observed an X2.1 flare from the incoming region 

@Philalethes @Jesterface23

Must've been really close too given the current position of SolO (a day or two at most). Hope it saves some juice for later as well.

CME from farside flare has been modeled. seems it was not from the incoming region, but from somewhere else, pretty dense and really fast (40 hours to L1) CME. seems we are going to have lots of fireworks this month