MinYoongi Posted April 15, 2022 Share Posted April 15, 2022 1 minute ago, Patrick P.A. Geryl said: Nobody can say it is growing. M flares are possible while going down in strength. Even small X flares. Long duration flares could indicate a total blow up. Whats a total blow up? The farside maps say its growing. I thought you said partys over. Now total blow up and nobody can say anything? Im confused 28 minutes ago, Isatsuki San said: Looks like our friend sunspot 2975 still has energy for solar flare m, solar flare M 1.28 It went down now up again. Nice picture 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Patrick P.A. Geryl Posted April 15, 2022 Share Posted April 15, 2022 8 minuten geleden, MinYoongi zei: Whats a total blow up? The farside maps say its growing. I thought you said partys over. Now total blow up and nobody can say anything? Im confused Nobody can see if it is growing on the Farside. The party should be over once you see it on this side. We see only limited activity the next week for regrowing again. Will publish calculations Sunday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MinYoongi Posted April 15, 2022 Share Posted April 15, 2022 Just now, Patrick P.A. Geryl said: Nobody can see if it is growing on the Farside. The party should be over once you see it on this side. We see only limited activity the next week for regrowing again. Will publish calculations Sunday. But you do know there is farside imagery. Also we can see its bright loops already and its unleashing a really big flare right now. Do you think it will start to decay now? Im really just trying to understand. Im not watching the sun long enough Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
arjemma Posted April 15, 2022 Share Posted April 15, 2022 5 hours ago, Patrick P.A. Geryl said: I am sorry to spoil the party… but the latest activity was induced by an opposition Mercury Venus. It ends now at 05:15. Thereafter the sunspot will go down…😱 "It ends now at 05:15"... that's a bold statement when none can really know and all we can do is guess. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MinYoongi Posted April 15, 2022 Share Posted April 15, 2022 6 minutes ago, arjemma said: "It ends now at 05:15"... that's a bold statement when none can really know and all we can do is guess. I do think he means the afroamentioned Conjuction, not a flare Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
arjemma Posted April 15, 2022 Share Posted April 15, 2022 Just now, MinYoongi said: I do think he means the afroamentioned Conjuction, not a flare Ah okay. But yea still, the statement "Thereafter the sunspot will go down" is also a bold statement and feels like it's for certainty when none really can know. Feels like we should all be careful with doing statements like this like it's 100% true. Then we should state clearly that it's a prediction and not a fact. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MinYoongi Posted April 15, 2022 Share Posted April 15, 2022 1 minute ago, arjemma said: Ah okay. But yea still, the statement "Thereafter the sunspot will go down" is also a bold statement and feels like it's for certainty when none really can know. Feels like we should all be careful with doing statements like this like it's 100% true. Then we should state clearly that it's a prediction and not a fact. 100% with you on that! Thats why I asked so much, never really thought we could predict such things 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
abc Posted April 15, 2022 Share Posted April 15, 2022 does anyone think that the M2.2 is a low X in reality Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MinYoongi Posted April 15, 2022 Share Posted April 15, 2022 Just now, abc said: does anyone think that the M2.2 is a low X in reality Yep. I dont think its a low xclass Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solarflaretracker200 Posted April 15, 2022 Author Share Posted April 15, 2022 15 minutes ago, abc said: does anyone think that the M2.2 is a low X in reality There is a possibility but I doubt it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mozy Posted April 15, 2022 Share Posted April 15, 2022 I definitely think it was X-class Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solarflaretracker200 Posted April 15, 2022 Author Share Posted April 15, 2022 (edited) 5 minutes ago, mozy said: I definitely think it was X-class Maybe You’re right or wrong. We will never know truly. Edited April 15, 2022 by Solarflaretracker200 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isatsuki San Posted April 15, 2022 Share Posted April 15, 2022 5 minutes ago, Solarflaretracker200 said: Maybe You’re right or wrong. We will never know truly. It seems that our sunspot 2975 does not come alone, it comes with a company, so it may be that it is not that big, and it only merged with its companion? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solarflaretracker200 Posted April 15, 2022 Author Share Posted April 15, 2022 Just now, Isatsuki San said: It seems that our sunspot 2975 does not come alone, it comes with a company, so it may be that it is not that big, and it only merged with its companion? Maybe- but can they merge? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isatsuki San Posted April 15, 2022 Share Posted April 15, 2022 4 minutes ago, Solarflaretracker200 said: Tal vez, pero ¿pueden fusionarse? Well, before I had a partner, 2976, before going to the solar disk, even towards a solar flare at the same time, I think you remember Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solarflaretracker200 Posted April 15, 2022 Author Share Posted April 15, 2022 1 minute ago, Isatsuki San said: Well, before I had a partner, 2976, before going to the solar disk, even towards a solar flare at the same time, I think you remember maybe they did merge. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MinYoongi Posted April 15, 2022 Share Posted April 15, 2022 9 minutes ago, Isatsuki San said: It seems that our sunspot 2975 does not come alone, it comes with a company, so it may be that it is not that big, and it only merged with its companion? 1 minute ago, Solarflaretracker200 said: maybe they did merge. We discussed that many times in the forum, sunspot groups dont merge 18 minutes ago, Solarflaretracker200 said: Maybe You’re right or wrong. We will never know truly. True. We only have imagery. Spaceweather Experts on Twitter also suggest it was X-Class. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solarflaretracker200 Posted April 15, 2022 Author Share Posted April 15, 2022 1 minute ago, MinYoongi said: We discussed that many times in the forum, sunspot groups dont merge Maybe they are in very close proximity of each other looking like they merged. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MinYoongi Posted April 15, 2022 Share Posted April 15, 2022 2 minutes ago, Solarflaretracker200 said: Maybe they are in very close proximity of each other looking like they merged. Yeah especially if they grew! They were really close before rotating off already 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solarflaretracker200 Posted April 15, 2022 Author Share Posted April 15, 2022 34 minutes ago, MinYoongi said: Yeah especially if they grew! They were really close before rotating off already Well is this continues for about another 24 hours, we may have some some nice action from this region Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MinYoongi Posted April 15, 2022 Share Posted April 15, 2022 Did the detection glitch? I dont think 2991 is flaring 😅 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sam Warfel Posted April 15, 2022 Share Posted April 15, 2022 12 minutes ago, MinYoongi said: Did the detection glitch? I dont think 2991 is flaring 😅 Yeah, it’s 2975 behind the limb Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MinYoongi Posted April 15, 2022 Share Posted April 15, 2022 2 minutes ago, Orneno said: Yeah, it’s 2975 behind the limb I know. Glowing like a christmas tree Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Marcel de Bont Posted April 15, 2022 Share Posted April 15, 2022 17 minuten geleden, MinYoongi zei: Did the detection glitch? I dont think 2991 is flaring 😅 It isn't, sorry. The detection is problematic when SDO overexposes like this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MinYoongi Posted April 15, 2022 Share Posted April 15, 2022 1 minute ago, Marcel de Bont said: It isn't, sorry. The detection is problematic when SDO overexposes like this. What is overexposing? No problem! Its not your guys fault. Your coding is really solid 99,99% of the times Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now