mozy Posted October 1, 2022 Share Posted October 1, 2022 Rising 😎 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solarflaretracker200 Posted October 1, 2022 Share Posted October 1, 2022 Just now, mozy said: Rising 😎 What is? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mozy Posted October 1, 2022 Share Posted October 1, 2022 Just now, Solarflaretracker200 said: What is? The flare 😅 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sam Warfel Posted October 1, 2022 Share Posted October 1, 2022 M3! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solarflaretracker200 Posted October 1, 2022 Share Posted October 1, 2022 Bruh wtf it wont load for me. It doesnt show any flare 🤣🤣🤣🤨 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mozy Posted October 1, 2022 Share Posted October 1, 2022 Wait nvm It's not even this region, the flare is from AR3110 lol wtf Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solarflaretracker200 Posted October 1, 2022 Share Posted October 1, 2022 Just now, mozy said: Wait nvm It's not even this region, the flare is from AR3110 lol wtf It doesn't even load any flares for me lol wtf Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Philalethes Posted October 1, 2022 Share Posted October 1, 2022 18 minutes ago, Orneno said: M3! Seems out to have topped out at almost M6; not bad. I am officially hoping for some fireworks now. Looking at it now, and it seems the M5.8 was from 3110, though. At least according to SolarSoft, and by the looks of it on SUVI. It also looks like there was a CME associated with it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sam Warfel Posted October 2, 2022 Share Posted October 2, 2022 5 hours ago, Philalethes Bythos said: Seems out to have topped out at almost M6; not bad. I am officially hoping for some fireworks now. Looking at it now, and it seems the M5.8 was from 3110, though. At least according to SolarSoft, and by the looks of it on SUVI. It also looks like there was a CME associated with it. Sure came out of left field. Didn’t think 3110 was capable of that… Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MinYoongi Posted October 2, 2022 Share Posted October 2, 2022 @Philalethes Bythos Could it really be Gamma Delta? I still dont know what is gamma and delta in this region, its messy. (Note: This Synoptic map is AI generated and not verified by humans, so please take it ith a grain of salt!) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Philalethes Posted October 2, 2022 Share Posted October 2, 2022 7 hours ago, Orneno said: Sure came out of left field. Didn’t think 3110 was capable of that… 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MinYoongi Posted October 2, 2022 Share Posted October 2, 2022 58 minutes ago, Philalethes Bythos said: This is awesome. " has magnetically a very complex layout with multiple magnetic delta structures. Although the region was significantly less active on October 1 than on the previous day, a major flare is possible. " I see only 1 delta i think.. am i lost? lol also, i have a theory on why it may be quieter today. i tried to create a gif like @Philalethes Bythos does, but i cant do the fade. Fml. what confuses me most is, there are sunspots on the intensigram that are not really the same in the magnetogram.. or not at the same place exactly? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mozy Posted October 2, 2022 Share Posted October 2, 2022 55 minutes ago, MinYoongi said: what confuses me most is, there are sunspots on the intensigram that are not really the same in the magnetogram.. or not at the same place exactly? Probably because it's still a bit too far away. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MinYoongi Posted October 2, 2022 Share Posted October 2, 2022 13 minutes ago, mozy said: Probably because it's still a bit too far away. But i mean, there are sunspots that dont have a counterpart visible in the Intensigram at all. Like, i can see one Blue area and on the intensigram are 2 spots. Okay, that happens, but on the magnetogram there is nothing/lightest blue-ish where a fully grown sunspot should be? Also, is it now more than 1 delta? i can only really find one. Its always hard to tell what is Gamma and Delta for me, maybe you can show me? ty! also : is there lower shear today, resulting in less flaring? (thats my theory ) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mozy Posted October 2, 2022 Share Posted October 2, 2022 4 minutes ago, MinYoongi said: But i mean, there are sunspots that dont have a counterpart visible in the Intensigram at all. Like, i can see one Blue area and on the intensigram are 2 spots. Okay, that happens, but on the magnetogram there is nothing/lightest blue-ish where a fully grown sunspot should be? Also, is it now more than 1 delta? i can only really find one. Its always hard to tell what is Gamma and Delta for me, maybe you can show me? ty! also : is there lower shear today, resulting in less flaring? (thats my theory ) Yeah I know what you mean, I reacted to it aswell when I saw it, but I figured it's most likely cus the region is still further away to be able to see everything perfectly. As of now I believe I can spot atleast 2-3 deltas. Can't show screenshots, I'm outside 😝 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MinYoongi Posted October 2, 2022 Share Posted October 2, 2022 18 minutes ago, mozy said: Yeah I know what you mean, I reacted to it aswell when I saw it, but I figured it's most likely cus the region is still further away to be able to see everything perfectly. As of now I believe I can spot atleast 2-3 deltas. Can't show screenshots, I'm outside 😝 I will wait patiently 🤣 have fun! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Philalethes Posted October 2, 2022 Share Posted October 2, 2022 1 hour ago, MinYoongi said: This is awesome. " has magnetically a very complex layout with multiple magnetic delta structures. Although the region was significantly less active on October 1 than on the previous day, a major flare is possible. " I see only 1 delta i think.. am i lost? lol also, i have a theory on why it may be quieter today. i tried to create a gif like @Philalethes Bythos does, but i cant do the fade. Fml. what confuses me most is, there are sunspots on the intensigram that are not really the same in the magnetogram.. or not at the same place exactly? Here's the latest for reference: 30 minutes ago, MinYoongi said: But i mean, there are sunspots that dont have a counterpart visible in the Intensigram at all. Like, i can see one Blue area and on the intensigram are 2 spots. Okay, that happens, but on the magnetogram there is nothing/lightest blue-ish where a fully grown sunspot should be? Also, is it now more than 1 delta? i can only really find one. Its always hard to tell what is Gamma and Delta for me, maybe you can show me? ty! also : is there lower shear today, resulting in less flaring? (thats my theory ) Well, what seems to be happening, which is what I was talking about recently, is that there is a mismatch between both the intensities and the positions within the polarities, particularly closer to the edge; emphasis here on "within", because the polarities themselves will still match up with the umbrae and penumbrae, but the magnetogram will tend to not get the intensities right due to the variation in the direction of the field lines as viewed from the side rather than from right above. Thus you get e.g. umbrae appearing right at the edge of the different polarities rather than corresponding to the darkest part of the colorized magnetogram, and even some smaller intermediate areas between penumbrae and umbrae not being in the right position inside the polarity at all. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MinYoongi Posted October 2, 2022 Share Posted October 2, 2022 8 hours ago, Philalethes Bythos said: Here's the latest for reference: Well, what seems to be happening, which is what I was talking about recently, is that there is a mismatch between both the intensities and the positions within the polarities, particularly closer to the edge; emphasis here on "within", because the polarities themselves will still match up with the umbrae and penumbrae, but the magnetogram will tend to not get the intensities right due to the variation in the direction of the field lines as viewed from the side rather than from right above. Thus you get e.g. umbrae appearing right at the edge of the different polarities rather than corresponding to the darkest part of the colorized magnetogram, and even some smaller intermediate areas between penumbrae and umbrae not being in the right position inside the polarity at all. yeah, its really hard for me to look for deltas this way. where would you say are they rn? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mozy Posted October 2, 2022 Share Posted October 2, 2022 (edited) Well ain't this flare a slow riser X-flare 😎 Both regions firing at the same time Edited October 2, 2022 by mozy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MinYoongi Posted October 2, 2022 Share Posted October 2, 2022 5 minutes ago, mozy said: Well ain't this flare a slow riser X-flare 😎 Both regions firing at the same time I actually think 3010 produced the X Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mozy Posted October 2, 2022 Share Posted October 2, 2022 10 minutes ago, MinYoongi said: I actually think 3010 produced the X It was yeah Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IlikeAuroras Posted October 2, 2022 Author Share Posted October 2, 2022 26 minutes ago, mozy said: It was yeah Do you think the flare is hurdling towards Earth? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sam Warfel Posted October 2, 2022 Share Posted October 2, 2022 5 minutes ago, IlikeAuroras said: Do you think the flare is hurdling towards Earth? See the topic for 3110 to discuss it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Philalethes Posted October 2, 2022 Share Posted October 2, 2022 1 hour ago, MinYoongi said: yeah, its really hard for me to look for deltas this way. where would you say are they rn? The big cluster in the middle (red box) looks like one big delta to me. Aside from that, the bottom spots (purple box) also looks like a delta. The top ones (green box) is not quite there for my satisfaction, but could become one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sam Warfel Posted October 2, 2022 Share Posted October 2, 2022 9 minutes ago, Philalethes Bythos said: The big cluster in the middle (red box) looks like one big delta to me. Aside from that, the bottom spots (purple box) also looks like a delta. The top ones (green box) is not quite there for my satisfaction, but could become one. Tbh those look more like merged penumbras than deltas Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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