The return of a banger: AR2992

[MinYoongi]

40 minutes ago, Patrick P.A. Geryl said:

Jan Alvestad published this article with me in Astrophysics and Space Science

https://www.researchgate.net/publication/342766380_A_Formula_for_the_Start_of_a_New_Sunspot_Cycle

May i ask why thats relevant to what i said about the sunspot region? Am i missing something?

Or did you mention that because Jan Alvestad is the publisher of Solen.info ? Ive read about that paper, i just dont get the context to my comment.

 

[Patrick P.A. Geryl]

36 minuten geleden, MinYoongi zei:

May i ask why thats relevant to what i said about the sunspot region? Am i missing something?

Or did you mention that because Jan Alvestad is the publisher of Solen.info ? Ive read about that paper, i just dont get the context to my comment.

 

I mentioned it because Jan is the publisher of Solen.info and he is far more accurate then the NOAA boys… for instance he is the only one correcting the solar flux as extensively published in our article

[mozy]

This region ain't done just yet 😊

Thought it was dead by now since it has decayed.

Edited May 4, 2022 by mozy

[SunspotRager93]

So, it's not worth watching now? When it starts to die does it keep dying into nothing?

[3gMike]

1 hour ago, mozy said:

This region ain't done just yet 😊

Thought it was dead by now since it has decayed.

That's good to know. It has certainly been very quiet today.

[mozy]

1 minute ago, SunspotRager93 said:

So, it's not worth watching now? When it starts to die does it keep dying into nothing?

Nah, it can certainly grow again, sunspots change all the time.

[SunspotRager93]

1 minute ago, mozy said:

Nah, it can certainly grow again, sunspots change all the time.

Is there a way to know when it will grow again or not? I am sorry for the constant questions...

[mozy]

3 minutes ago, SunspotRager93 said:

Is there a way to know when it will grow again or not? I am sorry for the constant questions...

Nope, the sun decides what it wants to do when it wants to do it, we can just sit here and watch

Edited May 4, 2022 by mozy

[Solarflaretracker200]

and hope for An X class not to happen when it's on the limb 

Well I mean I will be fine with it, just limb flares don't produce earth directed CME's if they produce one 

[SunspotRager93]

2 minutes ago, mozy said:

Nope, the sun decides what it wants to do when it wants to do it, we can just sit here and watch

Oh...ok. Will we know when it grows or do we guess?

 

2 minutes ago, Solarflaretracker200 said:

Well I mean I will be fine with it, just limb flares don't produce earth directed CME's if they produce one 

I heard that 90% of solar flares don't produce A cme...is that true?

[mozy]

4 minutes ago, SunspotRager93 said:

Oh...ok. Will we know when it grows or do we guess?

We will notice when it starts growing as long as the region is on the earth facing side yes.

[Solarflaretracker200]

5 minutes ago, SunspotRager93 said:

I heard that 90% of solar flares don't produce A cme...is that true?

No, i think solar flares produce CME's almost all the time. Sometimes they don't. 

14 minutes ago, mozy said:

We will notice when it starts growing as long as the region is on the earth facing side yes.

Well on the farside we can see it growing as well (ish)

[MinYoongi]

20 minutes ago, SunspotRager93 said:

 

 

I heard that 90% of solar flares don't produce A cme...is that true?

Thats not true.  Where did you read that?

[3gMike]

18 minutes ago, SunspotRager93 said:

I heard that 90% of solar flares don't produce A cme...is that true?

Hi, you can find some answers by using the detailed information available on this website. As a starting point you can look at current data for flares here https://www.spaceweatherlive.com/en/solar-activity/solar-flares.html and for CMEs here https://www.spaceweatherlive.com/en/solar-activity/latest-cmes.html

Then if you want to look at historical data you can use the archive https://www.spaceweatherlive.com/en/archive.html

[Sam Warfel]

12 minutes ago, Solarflaretracker200 said:

No, i think solar flares produce CME's almost all the time. Sometimes they don't

I’d say somewhere between you guy’s guesses. I think more than 10% of flares produce CMEs, but not “almost all”

[Solarflaretracker200]

1 minute ago, Orneno said:

I’d say somewhere between you guy’s guesses. I think more than 10% of flares produce CMEs, but not “almost all”

That is probably more accurate then what I said 

Actually it is 

[mozy]

19 minutes ago, Solarflaretracker200 said:

Well on the farside we can see it growing as well (ish)

Didn't bring that up because we really can't see much & It almost always looks bigger than it actually is

[Solarflaretracker200]

5 minutes ago, mozy said:

Didn't bring that up because we really can't see much & It almost always looks bigger than it actually is

Ah true 

[SunspotRager93]

19 hours ago, MinYoongi said:

Thats not true.  Where did you read that?

Somewhere on Twitter...but people on there really don't know what they are talking about lol.
 

19 hours ago, 3gMike said:

Hi, you can find some answers by using the detailed information available on this website. As a starting point you can look at current data for flares here https://www.spaceweatherlive.com/en/solar-activity/solar-flares.html and for CMEs here https://www.spaceweatherlive.com/en/solar-activity/latest-cmes.html

Then if you want to look at historical data you can use the archive https://www.spaceweatherlive.com/en/archive.html

I will make sure to check that out!

 

 

[farm24]

On 5/3/2022 at 12:00 PM, MinYoongi said:

Damn wich one was 2932 again? Can you help me remember what it did?:D

2932 was the one the let off the huge CME over the north eastern limb but decayed when it reached the facing disk

[Sam Warfel]

4 minutes ago, farm24 said:

2932 was the one the let off the huge CME over the north eastern limb but decayed when it reached the facing disk

That one that people said might have been an X10, looked like the most powerful CME of this SC so far?

[Solar_Marcel]

22 hours ago, Solarflaretracker200 said:

and hope for An X class not to happen when it's on the limb 

Well I mean I will be fine with it, just limb flares don't produce earth directed CME's if they produce one 

Shhh, maybe the AR is hearing you say that...

[MinYoongi]

There is something flaring behind this region, i think its rising the background flux.

the weird thing is that i dont see anything on the farside maps..

[mozy]

2 minutes ago, MinYoongi said:

There is something flaring behind this region, i think its rising the background flux.

the weird thing is that i dont see anything on the farside maps..

[MinYoongi]

1 minute ago, mozy said:

Ah. How far away from the limb is that region appromaxely? I did not see it on http://jsoc.stanford.edu/data/farside/ or is it the middle one?

thats interesting, must be a strong flare if goes picks it up or am i wrong?

 

Ah. How far away from the limb is that region appromaxely? I did not see it on http://jsoc.stanford.edu/data/farside/ or is it the middle one?

thats interesting, must be a strong flare if goes picks it up or am i wrong?#

 

it somehow got lost in my reply x.x

also, 3004 is slightly flaring too i think?