MinYoongi Posted December 5, 2022 Author Share Posted December 5, 2022 1 hour ago, Orneno said: 4 ARs at roughly the same latitude across the northern hemisphere at once, and another hotspot incoming on STEREO A… the northern hemisphere is really kicking into gear! I’m watching for lower latitude spots as we trend towards maximum… Can you show the one on Stereo A ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sam Warfel Posted December 5, 2022 Share Posted December 5, 2022 1 hour ago, MinYoongi said: Can you show the one on Stereo A ? As you can see its brightness is also showing up on SDO now 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
3gMike Posted December 5, 2022 Share Posted December 5, 2022 13 minutes ago, Orneno said: As you can see its brightness is also showing up on SDO now Looking at Photospheric field and GONG it does not look particularly promising. Very little indication of any strong fields between Carrington longitudes 150 and 300 in the Northern Hemisphere. Perversely, it looks like there could be potential for a small spot in the southern hemisphere, and there was some indication of flaring on the limb in the latest synoptic chart. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mozy Posted December 9, 2022 Share Posted December 9, 2022 Seems like we have an interesting region coming our way, a lot of activity already. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sam Warfel Posted December 9, 2022 Share Posted December 9, 2022 37 minutes ago, mozy said: Seems like we have an interesting region coming our way, a lot of activity already. You’re referring to the southern hemisphere one? Is that what’s responsible for the C-class background flux? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mozy Posted December 9, 2022 Share Posted December 9, 2022 25 minutes ago, Orneno said: You’re referring to the southern hemisphere one? Is that what’s responsible for the C-class background flux? Yup Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MinYoongi Posted December 9, 2022 Author Share Posted December 9, 2022 33 minutes ago, Orneno said: You’re referring to the southern hemisphere one? Is that what’s responsible for the C-class background flux? Yes, you can see it flare on suvi / sdo 1 hour ago, mozy said: Seems like we have an interesting region coming our way, a lot of activity already. are the flare strengths occulted or true to strength? i did not see that region coming! Was yesterdays Southern CME caused by this region or a filament? @3gMike any recurrent region? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sam Warfel Posted December 9, 2022 Share Posted December 9, 2022 (edited) 14 minutes ago, MinYoongi said: are the flare strengths occulted or true to strength? After looking at SDO vids and STEREO, I’m thinking full-strength or close to it, although their position varies a bit, so a further back flare could be a bit more hidden Edited December 9, 2022 by Orneno Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MinYoongi Posted December 9, 2022 Author Share Posted December 9, 2022 4 minutes ago, Orneno said: After looking at SDO vids and STEREO, I’m thinking full-strength or close to it, although their position varies a bit, so a further back flare could be a bit more hidden Yeah i think so too, it has to rotate onto the visible disc in less than 24h Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mozy Posted December 9, 2022 Share Posted December 9, 2022 21 minutes ago, MinYoongi said: Yes, you can see it flare on suvi / sdo are the flare strengths occulted or true to strength? i did not see that region coming! Was yesterdays Southern CME caused by this region or a filament? @3gMike any recurrent region? Yeah I don't think they're occulted Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MinYoongi Posted December 9, 2022 Author Share Posted December 9, 2022 6 minutes ago, mozy said: Yeah I don't think they're occulted is the region visible on stereo? I did not see anything from it on jsoc/gong farside imagery 😮 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
3gMike Posted December 9, 2022 Share Posted December 9, 2022 1 hour ago, MinYoongi said: any recurrent region? I cannot find any evidence for activity in that area over the last rotation. On the photospheric charts it seems to just be a single large negative field between Carrington longitudes 180 and 240. But clearly something is producing those flares so there may have been some development. Seems odd that it is not showing on Helio-seismology. We will just have to wait to see what appears. Otherwise, not expecting to see anything in southern hemisphere for another 3 or 4 days. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mozy Posted December 9, 2022 Share Posted December 9, 2022 14 minutes ago, 3gMike said: I cannot find any evidence for activity in that area over the last rotation. On the photospheric charts it seems to just be a single large negative field between Carrington longitudes 180 and 240. But clearly something is producing those flares so there may have been some development. Seems odd that it is not showing on Helio-seismology. We will just have to wait to see what appears. Otherwise, not expecting to see anything in southern hemisphere for another 3 or 4 days. So it may be a rapidly growing region then Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MinYoongi Posted December 9, 2022 Author Share Posted December 9, 2022 3 minutes ago, mozy said: So it may be a rapidly growing region then much flaring always indicates that, but i've seen limb regions not getting picked up by helioseismology before the fields seem to be fresh and unstable, that to me indicates a new region thats "wrestling" alot with its surrounding/underlying magnetic fields. I cant quite paraphrase what i've read before - but that seems to be "normal" for new regions, because the new magnetic fields are still unstable and "fighting" with the previous ones 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
3gMike Posted December 9, 2022 Share Posted December 9, 2022 (edited) 5 hours ago, mozy said: So it may be a rapidly growing region then I think we must wait a little longer before we can say that with any certainty. I have just been looking back at earlier synoptic maps, and for the last two rotations the zone now approaching the limb has been covered by a coronal hole. If the coronal hole has collapsed might that induce development in the photospheric fields? Edited December 9, 2022 by 3gMike Added info re Coronal Hole Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MinYoongi Posted December 10, 2022 Author Share Posted December 10, 2022 is this todays region @mozy ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Strom Posted December 11, 2022 Share Posted December 11, 2022 On 12/9/2022 at 8:56 PM, MinYoongi said: is this todays region @mozy ? I think it is labeled 3163 now. It sure seemed fairly active on AIA 094 as it was appearing on the limb. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MinYoongi Posted December 11, 2022 Author Share Posted December 11, 2022 29 minutes ago, Strom said: I think it is labeled 3163 now. It sure seemed fairly active on AIA 094 as it was appearing on the limb. It still is quite active! It's pushing the background x-ray flux over C1 ocassionally. ! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mozy Posted December 15, 2022 Share Posted December 15, 2022 M 1.0 flare from the north-eastern limb, seems we have more action incoming from behind there 😎 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sam Warfel Posted December 15, 2022 Share Posted December 15, 2022 2 hours ago, mozy said: M 1.0 flare from the north-eastern limb, seems we have more action incoming from behind there 😎 I’m glad to see I wasn’t making that one up! Nice to see we could have more action on the way! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sam Warfel Posted December 28, 2022 Share Posted December 28, 2022 Does this incoming region look like anything special to you? Doesn’t seem like it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Vancanneyt Sander Posted December 28, 2022 Share Posted December 28, 2022 24 minuten geleden, Orneno zei: Does this incoming region look like anything special to you? Doesn’t seem like it. Not special 😥 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mozy Posted December 29, 2022 Share Posted December 29, 2022 Something is brewing behind the northeastern limb, long duration M-flare behind there, we can't see anything just yet. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Calder Posted December 29, 2022 Share Posted December 29, 2022 Yup, I was just about to post this. Hopefully this region will continue to stay active as it approaches. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
3gMike Posted December 29, 2022 Share Posted December 29, 2022 2 hours ago, mozy said: Something is brewing behind the northeastern limb, long duration M-flare behind there, we can't see anything just yet. The region approaching is at Carrington longitude C322. Last rotation that supported AR3156 which only produced a few small C flares. That AR was growing as it left the West limb, and jsoc farside images appear to indicate it as one of the strongest regions in the northern hemisphere, so there may be some cause for optimism. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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