Vancanneyt Sander Posted March 30, 2022 Share Posted March 30, 2022 6 minuten geleden, MinYoongi zei: So basically everyone there says max KP will be 7. Why is noa saying chance of G4? SWPC is often on the safe side in their predictions as they have a lot of professional users that rely on their predictions. For example satellite companies etcetera. Better to be safe with predictions so that companies take extra precautions. also, it’s not so that max Kp will be 7. The average of the predictions is max Kp between 4.6 and 6.8. It will all depend which direction the IMF take and we don’t know that, so it’s a possibility and not a fact 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MinYoongi Posted March 30, 2022 Share Posted March 30, 2022 16 minutes ago, Vancanneyt Sander said: SWPC is often on the safe side in their predictions as they have a lot of professional users that rely on their predictions. For example satellite companies etcetera. Better to be safe with predictions so that companies take extra precautions. also, it’s not so that max Kp will be 7. The average of the predictions is max Kp between 4.6 and 6.8. It will all depend which direction the IMF take and we don’t know that, so it’s a possibility and not a fact Yes, i thought so too! Glad to hear i was kinda right on that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Flareguy18 Posted March 30, 2022 Share Posted March 30, 2022 Another flare has started, picking up rapidly! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solarflaretracker200 Posted March 30, 2022 Share Posted March 30, 2022 M CLASS? or... X class? I think M class if anything Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Flareguy18 Posted March 30, 2022 Share Posted March 30, 2022 2 minutes ago, Solarflaretracker200 said: M CLASS? or... X class? I think M class if anything It just crossed X territory!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solarflaretracker200 Posted March 30, 2022 Share Posted March 30, 2022 X CLASS? X CLASS? HELL YES IF I GET A X CLASS! I NEED TO SEE ONE!!! TODAY AHAHHH I am freaking out rn lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Flareguy18 Posted March 30, 2022 Share Posted March 30, 2022 Flare is peaking 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solarflaretracker200 Posted March 30, 2022 Share Posted March 30, 2022 X CLASS! OMG X CLASS! HOLY JESUS! I HAVE WAITED SO LONG TO SEE ONE OF THESE AND NOW I AM SEEING IT! NO WAY! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sam Warfel Posted March 30, 2022 Author Share Posted March 30, 2022 X1!! I hope it’s eruptive!!! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Flareguy18 Posted March 30, 2022 Share Posted March 30, 2022 2 minutes ago, Orneno said: X1!! I hope it’s eruptive!!! SAAAAAME. Aaaah, how exciting! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solarflaretracker200 Posted March 30, 2022 Share Posted March 30, 2022 I am shaking rn. Wtf. Well today is already my favorite day. I saw an X class and im happy asf. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LunarLights58 Posted March 30, 2022 Share Posted March 30, 2022 Oh yeah! X-class! Way to go 2975! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sam Warfel Posted March 30, 2022 Author Share Posted March 30, 2022 (edited) Wouldn’t be the best AR of the cycle so far without an X class! Edited March 30, 2022 by Orneno Spelling due to excitement Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solarflaretracker200 Posted March 30, 2022 Share Posted March 30, 2022 THIS AR IS POG FOR DOING AN X CLASS. I love it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tristan Posted March 30, 2022 Share Posted March 30, 2022 X1.38, the strongest this cycle I think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LunarLights58 Posted March 30, 2022 Share Posted March 30, 2022 Eruption confirmed through coronal dimming. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solarflaretracker200 Posted March 30, 2022 Share Posted March 30, 2022 X1.38...wow...just wow... didn't expect that today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sam Warfel Posted March 30, 2022 Author Share Posted March 30, 2022 2 minutes ago, Tristan said: X1.38, the strongest this cycle I think. Not quite, July 3rd 2021 was X1.5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Auroragub Posted March 30, 2022 Share Posted March 30, 2022 1 minute ago, Tristan said: X1.38, the strongest this cycle I think. I just took the same screenshot, it's so magic! 4.55am in aus here and I just hopped into bed.... not anymore!! Yeeeeee!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solarflaretracker200 Posted March 30, 2022 Share Posted March 30, 2022 I almost fell out of my chair when I saw x class. Holy mother. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sam Warfel Posted March 30, 2022 Author Share Posted March 30, 2022 2 minutes ago, Auroragub said: I just took the same screenshot Saaaaame 😂 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LunarLights58 Posted March 30, 2022 Share Posted March 30, 2022 https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/goes-solar-ultraviolet-imager-suvi Here, the 195 video has the coronal dimming. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sam Warfel Posted March 30, 2022 Author Share Posted March 30, 2022 1 minute ago, LunarLights58 said: Here, the 195 video has the coronal dimming. It's got a solar tsunami, yeah. Very good sign. The coronal dimming and CME is already showing up strong, even though it has not processed the whole event yet. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LunarLights58 Posted March 30, 2022 Share Posted March 30, 2022 Now we wait for LASCO Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Flareguy18 Posted March 30, 2022 Share Posted March 30, 2022 2 minutes ago, LunarLights58 said: https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/goes-solar-ultraviolet-imager-suvi Here, the 195 video has the coronal dimming. Can't wait to see what it looks like in LASCO. Gonna be epic. Not a squarely-faced AR group but still fairly close. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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