MinYoongi Posted February 9 Share Posted February 9 6 minutes ago, Philalethes said: I was trying earlier to find the email of the lead author of the study that estimated X-flare strength from STEREO-A EUVI imagery, and I came across some details where the Halo CME Twitter/X account was listed as their personal website, so I guess that makes me take such a claim more seriously, heh; but in this case it wasn't even fully visible from SA it seems like, and I doubt their statement is based on any such analysis anyway. X10 definitely sounds too high to me as well, but then again I would guess they have a fair bit of experience looking at things based on their published work as a Solar physicist (not just that paper, but a lot of others too). HaloCME is a researcher/ Heliophysicist! I recommend following him. I think he's from japan. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Philalethes Posted February 9 Share Posted February 9 (edited) If only we had a satellite like GOES in orbit around Venus; doesn't sound like a bad idea in general if you ask me. 9 minutes ago, MinYoongi said: HaloCME is a researcher/ Heliophysicist! I recommend following him. I think he's from japan. Yeah, as I mentioned in my comment I stumbled on the connection when I was looking for their email. I'm not going to explicitly name them here, but I guess anyone curious enough can look it up themselves; I'm fairly certain they themselves had listed the account as theirs anyway, so I don't think they're really trying to be anonymous. Edited February 9 by Philalethes typo Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Drax Spacex Posted February 9 Share Posted February 9 I spawned a topic in the Geomagnetic activity for CME from this X3 flare. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
willow Posted February 9 Share Posted February 9 49 minutes ago, tniickck said: no way😃 Russian media are already full of shitty news about strong geomagnetic storms from that flare😁 i saw someone going hysterical about that coronal hole that was visible on the sun in the end of november-start of december last year.. thought we're all gonna die.. people make mistakes sometimes 😆 i doubt the CME from this flare will affect earth at any slightest Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tniickck Posted February 9 Author Share Posted February 9 Just now, willow said: i saw someone going hysterical about that coronal hole that was visible on the sun in the end of november-start of december last year.. thought we're all gonna die.. people make mistakes sometimes 😆 i doubt the CME from this flare will affect earth at any slightest this was absolutely same in Russian social networks especially Tiktok and people said that the sun cracked and it will be a disaster😃 somebody said "Don't learn physics and the whole world will be filled with miracles" 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hamateur 1953 Posted February 9 Share Posted February 9 (edited) 1 hour ago, MinYoongi said: do you think the region will return? I meant to reply to you earlier, sorry. The larger regions seem to do just this on occasion. Mcmath 11976 four times at least. In 1972 of course. I wouldn’t bet on it, the odds are against it, but it can and does happen. Edited February 9 by hamateur 1953 Typo 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Philalethes Posted February 9 Share Posted February 9 Looks like we're about to hit S2 any moment now; even the ≥50 MeV protons are still rising, that's impressive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hamateur 1953 Posted February 9 Share Posted February 9 10 minutes ago, Philalethes said: Looks like we're about to hit S2 any moment now; even the ≥50 MeV protons are still rising, that's impressive. Indeed. Even the 100 mev are off the floor. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MinYoongi Posted February 9 Share Posted February 9 13 minutes ago, Philalethes said: Looks like we're about to hit S2 any moment now; even the ≥50 MeV protons are still rising, that's impressive. how high will it likely rise? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Philalethes Posted February 9 Share Posted February 9 1 minute ago, MinYoongi said: how high will it likely rise? I'm fairly sure we'll hit S2 at least, unless it immediately flatlines and drop, but that's not typical so soon after such an explosive event from what I've seen. Doubtful we'll reach S3, but maybe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
arjemma Posted February 9 Share Posted February 9 (edited) 4 minutes ago, Philalethes said: I'm fairly sure we'll hit S2 at least, unless it immediately flatlines and drop, but that's not typical so soon after such an explosive event from what I've seen. Doubtful we'll reach S3, but maybe. The limb of disappointment strikes again. I’m so so so disappointed right now. I knew it was gonna wait until the limb. okay I was not meant to quote you, im on my phone so sorry about that haha. Edited February 9 by arjemma 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hamateur 1953 Posted February 9 Share Posted February 9 Even worse sorry @arjemma. I think it just spit yet again! Flux heading up. Limb brightening 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mozy Posted February 9 Share Posted February 9 Just now, hamateur 1953 said: Even worse sorry @arjemma. I think it just spit yet again! Flux heading up. Limb brightening It's AR3576 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hamateur 1953 Posted February 9 Share Posted February 9 3575 was just clearing his throat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Philalethes Posted February 9 Share Posted February 9 4 minutes ago, arjemma said: The limb of disappointment strikes again. I’m so so so disappointed right now. I knew it was gonna wait until the limb. okay I was not meant to quote you, im on my phone so sorry about that haha. Sounds like you've reached at least a D4 on the disappointment scale. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Popular Post arjemma Posted February 9 Popular Post Share Posted February 9 1 minute ago, Philalethes said: Sounds like you've reached at least a D4 on the disappointment scale. Yes I would say that too. If 3576 waits until the limb I will go up to D5 and it will be a full blown disappointment storm. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEAurora Posted February 9 Share Posted February 9 Haha, this whole mess is funny, I saw the alerts this morning and thought, finally, a solid and strong flare from center disk. I couldn’t help but laugh when it turned out to be from a sunspot that had already rotated around the limb because, of course it was. I’m still optimistic that 3576 is gonna blow, it’s got that look. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hamateur 1953 Posted February 9 Share Posted February 9 7 minutes ago, mozy said: It's AR3576 Correctamundo just popped up on solar soft. Cool. For a dying AR he still has some gusto left. M class. Cool. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SpaceWeather5464 Posted February 9 Share Posted February 9 Nice SEP event so far S2. 50 Mev at 3.41, Could even get more energetic in the coming hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesterface23 Posted February 9 Share Posted February 9 Noticed there was a woops lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MinYoongi Posted February 9 Share Posted February 9 23 minutes ago, SpaceWeather5464 said: Nice SEP event so far S2. 50 Mev at 3.41, Could even get more energetic in the coming hours. I wonder how high Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tniickck Posted February 9 Author Share Posted February 9 (edited) 25 minutes ago, MinYoongi said: I wonder how high seems to be the final, i expected more( Edited February 9 by tniickck Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hamateur 1953 Posted February 9 Share Posted February 9 26 minutes ago, tniickck said: seems to be the final, i expected more( We have three days of protons probably @tniickck Hopefully that is enough. Haha. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sam Warfel Posted February 9 Share Posted February 9 Kinda appears to have only barely nicked S2. Not close to the strongest this SC, but still only the fourth S2. Let's get an S3 sometime! 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SpaceWeather5464 Posted February 9 Share Posted February 9 50 MEV close to hitting the 10 MEV warning threshold this hasn’t happened in years. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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