Marcel de Bont Posted April 11, 2022 Share Posted April 11, 2022 1 minuut geleden, MinYoongi zei: What will its impacts be? I saw the posts already! ❤️ Always so hard to say but it isn't so fast. I'd say Kp5 with a bit of luck. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MinYoongi Posted April 11, 2022 Author Share Posted April 11, 2022 29 minutes ago, Marcel de Bont said: You are on the ball! I would actually say it is a flare based on the explosiveness of the event but you are spot on, a nice full halo CME from this C1 eruption! Posted about it on our socials. By the way, i agree with the flare thing. I did not see the C1.4 Flare before because it came from a spotless region! The Eruption just included lots of Filament material. 42 minutes ago, Marcel de Bont said: Always so hard to say but it isn't so fast. I'd say Kp5 with a bit of luck. It's interacting with an expected HSS! I remember that sometimes that weakened the CME structure/Impact but maybe this time it will enhance it? I dont really know. Im waiting for Noaas forecast I also forgot one question, oops. Some here said its not that fast/dense looking but noaa enlil shows density at 100? @Marcel de Bont is that to be trusted? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sam Warfel Posted April 11, 2022 Share Posted April 11, 2022 1 hour ago, MinYoongi said: By the way, i agree with the flare thing. I did not see the C1.4 Flare before because it came from a spotless region! The Eruption just included lots of Filament material. It's interacting with an expected HSS! I remember that sometimes that weakened the CME structure/Impact but maybe this time it will enhance it? I dont really know. Im waiting for Noaas forecast I also forgot one question, oops. Some here said its not that fast/dense looking but noaa enlil shows density at 100? @Marcel de Bont is that to be trusted? What is BepiColombo? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MinYoongi Posted April 11, 2022 Author Share Posted April 11, 2022 1 minute ago, Orneno said: What is BepiColombo? Spaceprobe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sam Warfel Posted April 11, 2022 Share Posted April 11, 2022 8 minutes ago, MinYoongi said: Spaceprobe. So we will get SW and IMF data of the CME en-route? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MinYoongi Posted April 11, 2022 Author Share Posted April 11, 2022 Just now, Orneno said: So we will get SW and IMF data of the CME en-route? I do not know! I hope so 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MinYoongi Posted April 11, 2022 Author Share Posted April 11, 2022 (edited) I still wonder about the Noaa WSA-Enlil 100 Density spike. I dont know how precise and/or reliable the model is with that though. A G2 watch was issued This is way better than the expected Kp5! Edited April 11, 2022 by MinYoongi Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sam Warfel Posted April 12, 2022 Share Posted April 12, 2022 1 hour ago, MinYoongi said: A G2 watch was issued This is way better than the expected Kp5! Cool, that’s much better for my location than a G1. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solarflaretracker200 Posted April 12, 2022 Share Posted April 12, 2022 and that is nothing for my location 🤣 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LunarLights58 Posted April 13, 2022 Share Posted April 13, 2022 The predicted densities are higher than I've ever seen Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MinYoongi Posted July 15, 2022 Author Share Posted July 15, 2022 @Orneno maybe aurora chance for u? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sam Warfel Posted July 15, 2022 Share Posted July 15, 2022 Gotta wait for LASCO! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sam Warfel Posted July 15, 2022 Share Posted July 15, 2022 Looking at AIA 304, the filament was big and could have launched a decent CME, I’m eager to see the coronagraph! Check out this gorgeous capture of the filament in the process of exploding: 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MinYoongi Posted July 15, 2022 Author Share Posted July 15, 2022 3 hours ago, Orneno said: Looking at AIA 304, the filament was big and could have launched a decent CME, I’m eager to see the coronagraph! Check out this gorgeous capture of the filament in the process of exploding: Early indications of this CME do show that the CME is along the Earth-Sun line and traveling about 350 km/s or so, which would likely put impact around late July 19th or even July 20th timeframe. The CME may become wider with time as some plasma seems to be deflected due west. source : https://twitter.com/spacewxwatch 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sam Warfel Posted July 15, 2022 Share Posted July 15, 2022 2 hours ago, MinYoongi said: Early indications of this CME do show that the CME is along the Earth-Sun line and traveling about 350 km/s or so, which would likely put impact around late July 19th or even July 20th timeframe. The CME may become wider with time as some plasma seems to be deflected due west. source : https://twitter.com/spacewxwatch Awww that’s sad, 350 km/s is literally nothing 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MinYoongi Posted August 30, 2022 Author Share Posted August 30, 2022 this is not a prominence as far as i can see! so maybe cme ? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Vancanneyt Sander Posted August 30, 2022 Share Posted August 30, 2022 54 minuten geleden, MinYoongi zei: this is not a prominence as far as i can see! so maybe cme ? Likely a Filament eruption 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MinYoongi Posted August 30, 2022 Author Share Posted August 30, 2022 4 minutes ago, Vancanneyt Sander said: Likely a Filament eruption I know, but its not a prominence because its not fully on the limb. so thats why i said maybe we get a cme from it ! update: it seems to snap south! But it still looks awesome. Eyecandy. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Philalethes Posted August 30, 2022 Share Posted August 30, 2022 7 hours ago, MinYoongi said: this is not a prominence as far as i can see! so maybe cme ? Was it this Solar tornado from earlier? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sam Warfel Posted August 31, 2022 Share Posted August 31, 2022 4 hours ago, Philalethes Bythos said: Was it this Solar tornado from earlier? Yup, it ejected. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solar_Marcel Posted August 31, 2022 Share Posted August 31, 2022 On 4/6/2022 at 6:50 PM, Cat Perkinton said: Marcel That literally got me for a sec, before i realized im not the only one with this name here 3 minutes ago, Solar_Marcel said: That literally got me for a sec, before i realized im not the only one with this name here Oh, well i dont know what i just did but that should not happen... Ahh i was inactive for tooo long in here 😶 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sam Warfel Posted August 31, 2022 Share Posted August 31, 2022 3 hours ago, Solar_Marcel said: Ahh i was inactive for tooo long in here 😶 Welcome back! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solarflaretracker200 Posted August 31, 2022 Share Posted August 31, 2022 4 hours ago, Solar_Marcel said: That literally got me for a sec, before i realized im not the only one with this name here Oh, well i dont know what i just did but that should not happen... Ahh i was inactive for tooo long in here 😶 You…I forgot you existed. No offense 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WildWill Posted September 1, 2022 Share Posted September 1, 2022 On 8/30/2022 at 6:51 PM, Philalethes Bythos said: Was it this Solar tornado from earlier? This was clearly visible in H-alpha last Sunday (28th). I was giving my new filter first light, finally. I was wondering about that feature. Last Sunday, it extended farther out from the sun and had more of a cone shape. It also had a “companion” at about 8 o’clock. It was still visible on GONG H-alpha yesterday, but it’s not there today. It was definitely very cool looking! And it lasted at least several days. WnA 😉 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cat Perkinton Posted September 2, 2022 Share Posted September 2, 2022 On 8/31/2022 at 7:19 PM, Solar_Marcel said: That literally got me for a sec, before i realized im not the only one with this name here Oh, well i dont know what i just did but that should not happen... Ahh i was inactive for tooo long in here 😶 Totally confused over here - I dont even remember typing your name or what the context was..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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