1 hour ago, Velocity said:

Worth noting that xray has been M+ for almost 6 hours now 

Let's not forget that it's the combined effects from the entire disk. But yes, impressive nonetheless.

Class M for more than 6 hours !!!

 

2 hours ago, Velocity said:

Worth noting that xray has been M+ for almost 6 hours now 

Our ionosphere thanks it!  Unfortunately dark in American territory now! 

Edited May 8, 20241 yr by hamateur 1953

I think kp7+

Not geomagnetic unfortunately. At least yet….

Edited May 8, 20241 yr by hamateur 1953

this makes ozone if im not mistaken?

3 minutes ago, hamateur 1953 said:

Our ionosphere thanks it! 

2 minutes ago, hamateur 1953 said:

Our ionosphere thanks it! 

24-hour average also comfortably in the M-range, heh:

Quote

M1.6 (2024-05-07 08:56 to 2024-05-08 08:56)

Wow wow wow 

1 minute ago, Philalethes said:

24-hour average also comfortably in the M-range, heh:

 

In the almost 2 years I've been following space weather, I don't remember seeing the x-ray flux above M for that long at a time. Is this region responsible for the flux remaining so high?

Unless I missed something over the  last three years, this is unprecedented for SC-25. Haha. @Ester89 great minds think alike. 

Edited May 8, 20241 yr by hamateur 1953

3 minutes ago, Ester89 said:

In the almost 2 years I've been following space weather, I don't remember seeing the x-ray flux above M for that long at a time. Is this region responsible for the flux remaining so high?

Sorry, I asked before checking. It seems that 3663 also still has something to do with this

We can only measure the highest flux at any given moment as far as I am aware. Our abilities are limited by aperture I think.  

17 minutes ago, Philalethes said:

24-hour average also comfortably in the M-range, heh:

Crazy to see an M-range average. 3663 and 3664 are my new favourite sunspots. Also most impressive thing I've seen since I've started following space weather

6 minutes ago, Ester89 said:

In the almost 2 years I've been following space weather, I don't remember seeing the x-ray flux above M for that long at a time. Is this region responsible for the flux remaining so high?

3 minutes ago, Ester89 said:

Sorry, I asked before checking. It seems that 3663 also still has something to do with this

Yeah, it's those two regions for the most part, both highly active and complex; you can see them flash on and off almost constantly lately.

4 minutes ago, hamateur 1953 said:

We can only measure the highest flux at any given moment as far as I am aware. Our abilities are limited by aperture I think.  

The X-ray flux is the total flux from the entire disc at any point in time; there was some discussion about that lately, and while there is a quad diode present that is used for a flare location product, it's not used to isolate individual flares in terms of the listed flux itself.

39 minutes ago, coinpeace said:

this makes ozone if im not mistaken?

Ozone as far as I am aware is primarily generated by ionisation of oxygen atoms by ultraviolet light.  And keeps us all safe.  It is another interesting subject worth looking into.  

Hey @Philalethes  I meant to ask you a question and may have in the past, but cannot recall now.  What level of SFU is the M baseline?  Tnx. Mike   I always “ ballparked” it at 200 before 

Edited May 8, 20241 yr by hamateur 1953

13 minutes ago, hamateur 1953 said:

Hey @Philalethes  I meant to ask you a question and may have in the past, but cannot recall now.  What level of SFU is the M baseline?  Tnx. Mike   I always “ ballparked” it at 200 before 

That's a good question, but I'm not sure. To get an idea of the correspondence between the two one could take successive 24-hour averages of the X-ray flux and compare them to the F10.7 measurements, but since F10.7 remains a daily measurement (well, three times daily, but the 20:00 one in this case) it might be a bit off. Perhaps comparing the X-ray flux at 20:00 daily with the F10.7 and seeing what the ratio is that way could be an idea. I think you'd ideally have long-term X-ray flux data to check that, but I'm not sure where to find that, the X-ray data I've been using is the one listed on the data tab here, and only goes 7 days back. I guess checking those 7 days first would be a preliminary step, but it's a low sample size; might do that later though, can always check it against the 18:00 and 22:00 F10.7 measurements too (maybe they'll finally be useful for something, heh).

1 minute ago, Philalethes said:

That's a good question, but I'm not sure. To get an idea of the correspondence between the two one could take successive 24-hour averages of the X-ray flux and compare them to the F10.7 measurements, but since F10.7 remains a daily measurement (well, three times daily, but the 20:00 one in this case) it might be a bit off. Perhaps comparing the X-ray flux at 20:00 daily with the F10.7 and seeing what the ratio is that way could be an idea. I think you'd ideally have long-term X-ray flux data to check that, but I'm not sure where to find that, the X-ray data I've been using is the one listed on the data tab here, and only goes 7 days back. I guess checking those 7 days first would be a preliminary step, but it's a low sample size; might do that later though, can always check it against the 18:00 and 22:00 F10.7 measurements too (maybe they'll finally be useful for something, heh).

Yeah I have always wondered about that, because there is a definite relationship, however flux varies wildly too. But to see an Average for 24 hrs at M class levels is staggering to me at least!!   Tnx. @Philalethes.  Mike 

This will shoot X 4+ today watch me

Which AR??  Haha. If it has an association with 3663 by prevailing rules it must be a limb event.  😆

4 minutes ago, Open said:

This will shoot X 4+ today watch me

 

Possibly new eruption incoming? Stuff is starting to lift/rise

11 minutes ago, mozy said:

Possibly new eruption incoming? Stuff is starting to lift/rise

Noticed this too, well visible on 131A again. Would be cool

Just now, SamDieGurke said:

Noticed this too, well visible on 131A again. Would be cool

There is indeed a CME lifting currently, so far it doesn't look that impressive but it could trigger a bigger one

3 minutes ago, mozy said:

There is indeed a CME lifting currently, so far it doesn't look that impressive but it could trigger a bigger one

Due to filaments?

23 minutes ago, mozy said:

Possibly new eruption incoming? Stuff is starting to lift/rise

Flux is on a slow rise aswell, an eruption it is. M5.63 right now

M6.77 now (11:54 UTC)

M7.02 (11:55 UTC)

M7.27 (11:56 UTC)

M7.9 (11:59 UTC)

Edited May 8, 20241 yr by chronical

1 minute ago, MinYoongi said:

Due to filaments?

No, like the X-flare, didn't look that impressive on the rise but once it reached higher it caused more mass to blast out, same could happen now.