MinYoongi Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 1 minute ago, Tomasz Mielec said: Its looks like impulsive flare, so CME its not expected that mutch there is something in suvi 3 minutes ago, arjemma said: Please write in English. Really nice eruption, let’s hope for a big CME 😎 what do you think based on suvi 304? There is ejecta but based on where the region currently is and trajectory on suvi i dont know if its much for earth. i'd love opinions though since im often wrong! (and not ashamed to admit that!) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tomasz Mielec Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 1 minute ago, arjemma said: Too early to say if this is an impulsive flare, it just started. Also a CME is more likely when flares go over X-class. Unfortunately no, flare is impulsive 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mozy Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 1 minute ago, MinYoongi said: there is something in suvi what do you think based on suvi 304? There is ejecta but based on where the region currently is and trajectory on suvi i dont know if its much for earth. i'd love opinions though since im often wrong! (and not ashamed to admit that!) You're always too fast on these questions, the images have barely come in, no one can say anything yet 😅 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chronical Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 1 minute ago, arjemma said: Too early to say if this is an impulsive flare, it just started. Also a CME is more likely when flares go over X-class. It’s dropping back to normal background X-ray levels very quickly though, why should it not be impulsive? 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
arjemma Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 (edited) 3 minutes ago, MinYoongi said: there is something in suvi what do you think based on suvi 304? There is ejecta but based on where the region currently is and trajectory on suvi i dont know if its much for earth. i'd love opinions though since im often wrong! (and not ashamed to admit that!) I’m looking at it now and yes it does look like something was ejected. I see some dimming. Way too early though. Based on the location of the region I would say that there is a smaller chance for a direct hit but a glancing blow is possible depending on in which direction the CME is going. I love this community and how we all can share our opinions ❤️ Edited February 21 by arjemma 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isatsuki San Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 haha, I was watching a YouTube video and I got a notification of: flare 2 M6.01 IN PROGRESS and the flare R3 x 1.67 and I quickly came here 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tomasz Mielec Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 Impulsive but still nice Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
arjemma Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 2 minutes ago, chronical said: It’s dropping back to normal background X-ray levels very quickly though, why should it not be impulsive? When I was writing the comment it was too early to say if it was impulsive or not. We can’t say that directly when a flare is staring. We need to see how it calms down. So that’s why I wrote what I did. Things change fast. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chronical Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 Just now, arjemma said: When I was writing the comment it was too early to say if it was impulsive or not. We can’t say that directly when a flare is staring. We need to see how it calms down. So that’s why I wrote what I did. Things change fast. I see now, thanks 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Popular Post Philalethes Posted February 21 Popular Post Share Posted February 21 2 minutes ago, chronical said: It’s dropping back to normal background X-ray levels very quickly though, why should it not be impulsive? Sometimes there might be an eruption even when that happens, especially for X-flares. Looking at the latest SUVI imagery there seems to be some movement of plasma, but it's still hard to tell if there's really any eruption. Now with a couple more frames I'd say there's no significant eruption to speak of, at least not that I can see. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wolf star Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 Wow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Adohran Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 Could we expect to see the protons rising from this solar flare or will they stay below the 1 range? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris_Wicklund Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 Looking at the complexity of the region with the X flare, complexity looks to be gradually increasing today with that delta and a couple other interesting spots. Finally an X flare player heading to center disk? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Adrian Kobyłecki Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 2 minutes ago, Adohran said: Could we expect to see the protons rising from this solar flare or will they stay below the 1 range? I don't think so Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SpaceWeather5464 Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 2 minutes ago, Chris_Wicklund said: Looking at the complexity of the region with the X flare, complexity looks to be gradually increasing today with that delta and a couple other interesting spots. Finally an X flare player heading to center disk? It’s getting interesting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MinYoongi Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 2 minutes ago, Chris_Wicklund said: Looking at the complexity of the region with the X flare, complexity looks to be gradually increasing today with that delta and a couple other interesting spots. Finally an X flare player heading to center disk? it just produced an X flare so obviously maybe, but im still wondering based on its complexity. it grew today, but when comparing pictures from the morning to now not "spectacular" .. interesting days ahead! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesterface23 Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 Well, at least this X-Class flare isn't over and done in 30 minutes lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Philalethes Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 11 minutes ago, Adohran said: Could we expect to see the protons rising from this solar flare or will they stay below the 1 range? I would definitely not expect that. That tends to be from much more explosive events. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesterface23 Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 The flare seems slightly eruptive so far, but it looks to be a slower CME release. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hamateur 1953 Posted February 21 Share Posted February 21 I was expecting an M from that delta. A pleasant surprise indeed. Higher up on the scale needed. It has a few days left to perform for us…… Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MinYoongi Posted February 22 Share Posted February 22 i wonder if the region shows decay after the flare. @mozy, ill keep my eyes peeled! another flare in progress? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tomasz Mielec Posted February 22 Share Posted February 22 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MinYoongi Posted February 22 Share Posted February 22 it might be 3575 returning with a flare by the looks of it. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Popular Post Jesterface23 Posted February 22 Popular Post Share Posted February 22 Here's the flaring lined up with the sunspots, 5 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesterface23 Posted February 22 Share Posted February 22 Given we see the CME from the southeast limb before something noticeable from this region, the CME from this region didn't do much. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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