6 minutes ago, Solar_Marcel said:

woah lol, its classified bgd here as well

where else? SWL pulls from noaa.

4 minutes ago, Solar_Marcel said:

woah lol, its classified bgd here as well

but i dont think its a strong delta? maybe someone who knows better about deltas could verify/clarify that because im just beginning to understand how to spot deltas

thats the current delta. very small blue spot

Just now, MinYoongi said:

where else? SWL pulls from noaa.

oops. i just cant read today for some reason

Just now, MinYoongi said:

thats the current delta. very small blue spot

very small one, but lets see 
if it pops then its good i guess

M flare from this region i think.

Just now, MinYoongi said:

M flare from this region i think.

yup

i wonder why though, the delta looked really small. @Philalethes @mozy any idea?

at least M5

edit: X

Edited February 21, 20241 yr by Adrian Kobyłecki

x-flare here we go ?

Edited February 21, 20241 yr by Herr Salz

oh its X now

If i releases CME, is there a chance of a hit at this region position?

LOL THE ONE GUY WHO PREDICTED FLARE WAS RIGHT

Yep, only we can do its wait

Just now, tniickck said:

LOL THE ONE GUY WHO PREDICTED FLARE WAS RIGHT

i dont think so

1 minute ago, Adrian Kobyłecki said:

If i releases CME, is there a chance of a hit at this region position?

maybe 

4 minutes ago, MinYoongi said:

i wonder why though, the delta looked really small. @Philalethes @mozy any idea?

I guess the takeaway is that you can still get big flares even when there's not much complexity!

5 minutes ago, MinYoongi said:

i wonder why though, the delta looked really small. @Philalethes @mozy any idea?

All it takes is beta-gamma sometimes, so this doesn't come as a surprise to me.

Just now, Philalethes said:

I guess the takeaway is that you can still get big flares even when there's not much complexity!

yeah i think thats something that has to do with overall cycle progression as well. still confused about it. did not expect it  

Just now, mozy said:

All it takes is beta-gamma sometimes, so this doesn't come as a surprise to me.

i didnt know that! I mean, i saw m-flares from a plage so i get the not a surprise part.

still going..

Edited February 21, 20241 yr by Herr Salz

4 minutes ago, Adrian Kobyłecki said:

If i releases CME, is there a chance of a hit at this region position?

Może nie być CME bo za szybki koniec przy X2 oby wolno spadało.

Just now, Herr Salz said:

still going..

short is going down

Just now, Herr Salz said:

still going..

Its over arund X2

Just now, Tomasz Mielec said:

Może nie być CME bo za szybki koniec przy X2 oby wolno spadało.

Please write in English.

Really nice eruption, let’s hope for a big CME 😎

2 minutes ago, Herr Salz said:

still going..

X1.9

3 minutes ago, arjemma said:

Please write in English.

Really nice eruption, let’s hope for a big CME 😎

Its looks like impulsive flare, so CME its not expected that mutch

 

Edited February 21, 20241 yr by Tomasz Mielec
More info

1 minute ago, Tomasz Mielec said:

Its looks like impulsive flare, so CME its not expected that mutch

Too early to say if this is an impulsive flare, it just started. Also a CME is more likely when flares go over X-class.