Marcel de Bont Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 Activity on the east limb? Huge coronal loops starting to become visible on the AIA images from SDO! This topic is for you! Solar flares and sunspot regions on the east limb that are not numbered yet are discussed in this topic. The previous version of this thread can be found here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solar_Marcel Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 (edited) Looks promising, also to note the pool of loops (got its name by @hamateur 1953, speaking of AR 3586) isnt done, and more importantly, behind the limb, barely visible there seems to be an active region with bright loops, hopefully its better that thre recently turned in regions, haha Edited February 16 by Solar_Marcel got it to work lol 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MinYoongi Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 23 minutes ago, Marcel de Bont said: Activity on the east limb? Huge coronal loops starting to become visible on the AIA images from SDO! This topic is for you! Solar flares and sunspot regions on the east limb that are not numbered yet are discussed in this topic. Thanks for this new thread at first i thought you were talking about a specific incoming AR/ Loops, then checked and saw no coronal loops so i figured this is the new thread for incoming regions. is the old thread that was started by me still archived? There was a lot of nice info that accumulated over the months 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Marcel de Bont Posted February 16 Author Share Posted February 16 Zojuist, MinYoongi zei: Thanks for this new thread at first i thought you were talking about a specific incoming AR/ Loops, then checked and saw no coronal loops so i figured this is the new thread for incoming regions. is the old thread that was started by me still archived? There was a lot of nice info that accumulated over the months It will of course exist until the end of time. Or until the servers go up in flames. Whichever one comes first. Just wanting to make a fresh start on the three topics. It also got really big the old topic which is intensive for the server to handle. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sam Warfel Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 (edited) 3 minutes ago, MinYoongi said: Thanks for this new thread at first i thought you were talking about a specific incoming AR/ Loops, then checked and saw no coronal loops so i figured this is the new thread for incoming regions. is the old thread that was started by me still archived? There was a lot of nice info that accumulated over the months You bet! We made sure to keep that, lots of good discussion there! You’ll see it has just been locked and renamed. Edited February 16 by Sam Warfel Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MinYoongi Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 ❤️ thanks guys! off to a fresh start. Just so we dont go offtopic : This is whats incoming. Any Idea if the "big black blob" in the Northern Hemisphere is a possible recurring region? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Miles Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 43 minutes ago, MinYoongi said: ❤️ thanks guys! off to a fresh start. Just so we dont go offtopic : This is whats incoming. Any Idea if the "big black blob" in the Northern Hemisphere is a possible recurring region? I believe it’s a newly developed region. According to JSOC images and video Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
3gMike Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 43 minutes ago, MinYoongi said: ❤️ thanks guys! off to a fresh start. Just so we dont go offtopic : This is whats incoming. Any Idea if the "big black blob" in the Northern Hemisphere is a possible recurring region? Looking at the photospheric map from Jan 29th there was nothing much at that latitude but there was a large positive polarity field at C240, with a high latitude negative above it. I guess they may have re-organised to C210, but whatever the case we cannot tell what the configuration will be. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LunarLights58 Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 8 hours ago, MinYoongi said: ❤️ thanks guys! off to a fresh start. Just so we dont go offtopic : This is whats incoming. Any Idea if the "big black blob" in the Northern Hemisphere is a possible recurring region? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solar_Marcel Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 (edited) Woah magnificent beautiful loops on the incoming side... I hope there is something complex over there, because as it seems everything on the board now is decaying and/or shrinking and fading away into nothinglessness Edited February 17 by Solar_Marcel looks haha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Popular Post Marcel de Bont Posted February 17 Author Popular Post Share Posted February 17 4 uren geleden, LunarLights58 zei: I have Halo CME in the highest most regard but writing SCARY BIG ACTIVE REGION is not classy and a bit disappointed to see such writing from him. There is a nice active region on the far side for sure we have seen the CMEs coming from there but we have no idea how the region looks like. Using the word scary does not benefit anyone. There could be a large far side active region there yes but a massive area of faculae also shows up like this on far side imaging. Or two regions close to each other. 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mozy Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 36 minutes ago, Marcel de Bont said: I have Halo CME in the highest most regard but writing SCARY BIG ACTIVE REGION is not classy and a bit disappointed to see such writing from him. There is a nice active region on the far side for sure we have seen the CMEs coming from there but we have no idea how the region looks like. Using the word scary does not benefit anyone. There could be a large far side active region there yes but a massive area of faculae also shows up like this on far side imaging. Or two regions close to each other. I felt the same, there's another specific Twitter person that does this exact same thing so a bit disappointing to see the same thing from Halo CME too.. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MinYoongi Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 3 hours ago, Marcel de Bont said: I have Halo CME in the highest most regard but writing SCARY BIG ACTIVE REGION is not classy and a bit disappointed to see such writing from him. There is a nice active region on the far side for sure we have seen the CMEs coming from there but we have no idea how the region looks like. Using the word scary does not benefit anyone. There could be a large far side active region there yes but a massive area of faculae also shows up like this on far side imaging. Or two regions close to each other. Exactly. Also the cmes are most likely not from that Region/s but from old 3575 as he himself states later in the Post. I was very disappointed because for the past 5 years he was always very professional and not a sensationalist.. I saw a couple regions on farside imagery as big as this or even bigger. Mostly they were large areas of plage surrounding „normal“ sized sunspots. And even if it were to be that big, big does not equal complex or „scary“ 😕 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hamateur 1953 Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 (edited) 1 hour ago, MinYoongi said: Exactly. Also the cmes are most likely not from that Region/s but from old 3575 as he himself states later in the Post. I was very disappointed because for the past 5 years he was always very professional and not a sensationalist.. I saw a couple regions on farside imagery as big as this or even bigger. Mostly they were large areas of plage surrounding „normal“ sized sunspots. And even if it were to be that big, big does not equal complex or „scary“ 😕 Because most of us love this stuff even Tamitha Skov became aware of how some ill informed people are easy prey to some of the hyperbole present on some websites and selects her verbiage very carefully these days. Even brilliant scientific minds make mistakes. I'm unfortunately not as circumspect at times in my descriptions having no fear of most things save a certain unnamed feline…. Edited February 17 by hamateur 1953 Unnamed cat. Hagrid Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hamateur 1953 Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 6 hours ago, Solar_Marcel said: Woah magnificent beautiful loops on the incoming side... I hope there is something complex over there, because as it seems everything on the board now is decaying and/or shrinking and fading away into nothinglessness This is only a temporary lull, no problem. Within a week moderate activity should resume, solar flux increase yet again on our climb towards Solar Maximum. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Miles Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 I have a feeling that this new region will probably be the same size as 3576. Based on the amount of loops we see so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Miles Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 Looks like the first bit is showing on magnetogram! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Patrick P.A. Geryl Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 11 uren geleden, hamateur 1953 zei: This is only a temporary lull, no problem. Within a week moderate activity should resume, solar flux increase yet again on our climb towards Solar Maximum. I hijacked the Minions. They will follow my orders. Maximum was in June 2023🤣 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesterface23 Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 We should have only about a 2-4 more day wait before we see the first spots of old region 3575 on our side. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Patrick P.A. Geryl Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 48 minuten geleden, Jesterface23 zei: We should have only about a 2-4 more day wait before we see the first spots of old region 3575 on our side. It maybe could be an active region. However, June 2023 was the maximum. Therefore the total sunspot count for the rest of February, March and April should be lower then those of 2023… stay tuned…😉🤔 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesterface23 Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 The region is possibly linked to 7 strong far side CMEs. The region size doesn't matter much, it is about the complexity. 56 minutes ago, Patrick P.A. Geryl said: However, June 2023 was the maximum. Therefore the total sunspot count for the rest of February, March and April should be lower then those of 2023… stay tuned…😉🤔 If you want to end this in this topic now, "was" could very well be correct. All we need is February and March to have monthly sunspot numbers at or above 129.2 and September 2023 will become the next new possible maximum. It may very well fall back to October, but we'll just need to wait and see. Stay tuned, in another topic. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Popular Post Justanerd Posted February 18 Popular Post Share Posted February 18 Patrick, I’ve been reading your theories and postulates about solar max for the past year and my opinion is as follows: whether or not solar max has come and gone, whether your calculations and theories are correct or not, people are not swayed by your Sheldonistic attitude and demeanor, because in real life, people do not find arrogant know-it-alls charming or cute and therefore acceptable. In fact, quite the opposite. How you present your theory and argue your case is oftentimes more important than the content of the argument where acceptance by your peers is concerned. Learn from someone who has walked that path long before you… 11 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Philalethes Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 3 hours ago, Patrick P.A. Geryl said: It maybe could be an active region. However, June 2023 was the maximum. Therefore the total sunspot count for the rest of February, March and April should be lower then those of 2023… stay tuned…😉🤔 Ah, yes, the excellent scientific attitude of, "I predicted this, therefore what I didn't predict can't possibly occur". Sounds very reasonable. 2 hours ago, Justanerd said: Patrick, I’ve been reading your theories and postulates about solar max for the past year and my opinion is as follows: whether or not solar max has come and gone, whether your calculations and theories are correct or not, people are not swayed by your Sheldonistic attitude and demeanor, because in real life, people do not find arrogant know-it-alls charming or cute and therefore acceptable. In fact, quite the opposite. How you present your theory and argue your case is oftentimes more important than the content of the argument where acceptance by your peers is concerned. Learn from someone who has walked that path long before you… If we were in fact talking about insufferable genius it would be more forgivable, but it's especially bad when the track record so far seems to be closer to a know-nothing know-it-all... For some more on-topic discussion instead, I see the incoming spot now, looks quite big indeed. The loops in the 171 Å imagery still look impressive, and I see fair amount of transequatorial loops too. Looks like an interesting region for sure. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MinYoongi Posted February 18 Share Posted February 18 4 hours ago, Jesterface23 said: The region is possibly linked to 7 strong far side CMEs. The region size doesn't matter much, it is about the complexity. If you want to end this in this topic now, "was" could very well be correct. All we need is February and March to have monthly sunspot numbers at or above 129.2 and September 2023 will become the next new possible maximum. It may very well fall back to October, but we'll just need to wait and see. Stay tuned, in another topic. I thought the strong cmes came from old 3575 in the southern hemisphere? Or do you mean other cmes ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Popular Post Solar_Marcel Posted February 18 Popular Post Share Posted February 18 (edited) woah wow wow wow... that is... big @MinYoongi i am going to try to edit the 4096x4096 picture again, so we have semi nice pictures of that spot(s) Edited February 18 by Solar_Marcel 6 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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