Surely this one has to start flaring soon, looking more spicy, still growing.

It’s looking neat, surely an X candidate 😇

54 minutes ago, mozy said:

Surely this one has to start flaring soon, looking more spicy, still growing.

🌶️  

45 minutes ago, Vancanneyt Sander said:

It’s looking neat, surely an X candidate 😇

I find this region interesting to look at. I wonder why its not flaring? I think we have not even seen a low M-Class from that spot, right? When looking at the intensigrams the Umbrae look to be very close to each other.

However, it's difficult for me to match the magnetogram with the intensigram, sometimes it's just harder with complex regions

6 minutes ago, MinYoongi said:

🌶️  

I find this region interesting to look at. I wonder why its not flaring? I think we have not even seen a low M-Class from that spot, right? When looking at the intensigrams the Umbrae look to be very close to each other. 

two possibilites:

1. it preserves energy for strong flares while growing

2. it will dissolve without flaring

10 minutes ago, tniickck said:

two possibilites:

1. it preserves energy for strong flares while growing

2. it will dissolve without flaring

3.It will start shooting on the limb

10 minuten geleden, Adrian Kobyłecki zei:

3.It will start shooting on the limb

Seems very likely 😂

This region is a beast 😍

Two days of development in a video.

I definitely think this one is going to start popping soon. The newest large positive spot to form makes one of the strongest deltas I've seen in a long time, with the penumbra they share being significantly darker rather than the lighter color you typically see when there's some separation. In cases like this I really wish there were some good high-resolution imagery of the field lines so we could see the amount of shear more clearly.

Edited February 4, 20241 yr by Philalethes
typo

2 hours ago, Philalethes said:

I definitely think this one is going to start popping soon. The newest large positive spot to form makes one of the strongest deltas I've seen in a long time, with the penumbra they share being significantly darker rather than the lighter color you typically see when there's some separation. In cases like this I really wish there were some good high-resolution imagery of the field lines so we could see the amount of shear more clearly.

Looking better & better, It's obviously just waiting a bit so It's further away from the earth facing position 😎

2 hours ago, Philalethes said:

I definitely think this one is going to start popping soon. The newest large positive spot to form makes one of the strongest deltas I've seen in a long time, with the penumbra they share being significantly darker rather than the lighter color you typically see when there's some separation. In cases like this I really wish there were some good high-resolution imagery of the field lines so we could see the amount of shear more clearly.

Do you maybe have one of your super nice gifs for what youre describing?   thanks for the updates guys

6 minutes ago, MinYoongi said:

Do you maybe have one of your super nice gifs for what youre describing?   thanks for the updates guys

Yeah, here you can see the area of interest:

The dark penumbral area between the spots is what I was referring to above, and now there seems to be some more positive spots forming near the bottom of the rectangle too. Will surprise me if this dies out without doing much, but as mozy says it's probably just waiting until it's rounded the limb of disappointment...

2 deltas are literally touching each other, i cant wait for it to explode

Yea it’s really complex at the moment. How I wished we had a good coronagraph on the far side of the sun 😔

And as if on cue…

It's waking up

It looks massive I would not be surprised if it will produce an X5 or something. 

 

Plus my first meme 😜

 

 

8 hours ago, Adrian Kobyłecki said:

3.It will start shooting on the limb

better than nothing 

It has started decaying slightly, are we really gonna see it fizzle out without anything 😜

it is decaying

2 minutes ago, mozy said:

It has started decaying slightly, are we really gonna see it fizzle out without anything 😜

you were ahead of me

I think it's waking up

7 minutes ago, Adrian Kobyłecki said:

I think it's waking up

How did you determine this? 

10 hours ago, mozy said:

It has started decaying slightly, are we really gonna see it fizzle out without anything 😜

10 hours ago, tniickck said:

it is decaying

What a disappointment so far...

We were being too optimistic 

It better hurry up! We're running out of time before the limb of disappointment rears it ugly head once again!

Who would've thought, now It's erupting suddenly 🙃

Looks eruptive with a CME followed by a filament lifting within the region right after

Edited February 6, 20241 yr by mozy