Cathy Posted December 1, 2023 Share Posted December 1, 2023 Im new Learning about northern lights, is there anyone out there that can give me some hope that this big one is gonna hit this evening. It's 103 eastern time where I am. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bugz000 Posted December 1, 2023 Share Posted December 1, 2023 nothing in minnesota yet, seen a few green pulses on the horizon but certainly not the "big one", it is late to the party 😅 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cathy Posted December 1, 2023 Share Posted December 1, 2023 3 am in morning and nothing. Doesnt look promising. I drove 6 hours to lake superior upper peninsula to see lights. All i got was moonlight lol kp index never went over a 4 ugh frustrating 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mozy Posted December 1, 2023 Share Posted December 1, 2023 (edited) Another impact now, doesn't look that impressive at first glance. Edited December 1, 2023 by mozy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Philalethes Posted December 1, 2023 Share Posted December 1, 2023 7 minutes ago, mozy said: Another impact now, doesn't look that impressive at first glance. Edit: Nvm data stopped updating, can't really see yet. Bt just spiked to 25, density and speed rising, maybe this is it. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mozy Posted December 1, 2023 Share Posted December 1, 2023 3 minutes ago, Philalethes said: Bt just spiked to 25, density and speed rising, maybe this is it. Is it possible that this is one of the other filaments or do you think this is the M9.8 just from first glance? Looks kinda wimpy, I know it can intensify fast in Its wake but I'm not impressed so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Philalethes Posted December 1, 2023 Share Posted December 1, 2023 Just now, mozy said: Is it possible that this is one of the other filaments or do you think this is the M9.8 just from first glance? Looks kinda wimpy, I know it can intensify fast in Its wake but I'm not impressed so far. It's definitely weird that the speed and density remain so low if it is, but it's hard to tell how it might have interacted with others on the way. Not sure if it could be any of the filaments at this point, but maybe. Or maybe it'll pick up eventually. Might as well wait a few hours, it's the middle of the day here. 1 hour ago, Cathy said: 3 am in morning and nothing. Doesnt look promising. I drove 6 hours to lake superior upper peninsula to see lights. All i got was moonlight lol kp index never went over a 4 ugh frustrating That's tough, but that sounds like an awfully long drive for an expected G2-G3 only, especially when there's still a lot of uncertainty about when it might hit because it looked relatively weak and slow from the coronagrams. Sounds like it could be discouraging, but if I were you I'd try again if/when there's a much stronger event, maybe try to find something more local for small-medium events like this. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mozy Posted December 1, 2023 Share Posted December 1, 2023 Ok this is definitely the one. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wimair.at Posted December 1, 2023 Share Posted December 1, 2023 (edited) I guess it's coming... To bad (for me) almost all of mainland europe is covered in clouds. And it's daytime 😄 Edited December 1, 2023 by Wimair.at 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mozy Posted December 1, 2023 Share Posted December 1, 2023 3 minutes ago, Wimair.at said: I guess it's coming... To bad (for me) almost all of europe is covered in clouds. And it's daytime 😄 Possibly the worst timing ever for everyone, daytime in Europe & late night in the US, but these conditions could persist until darkness falls. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Adrian Kobyłecki Posted December 1, 2023 Share Posted December 1, 2023 I think that the best conditions will be in a few hours and it will be night in Europe Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cathy Posted December 1, 2023 Share Posted December 1, 2023 May I ask why is the k p index staying so low Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tmfunk Posted December 1, 2023 Share Posted December 1, 2023 11 minutes ago, Adrian Kobyłecki said: I think that the best conditions will be in a few hours and it will be night in Europe Hope so Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mozy Posted December 1, 2023 Share Posted December 1, 2023 4 minutes ago, Cathy said: May I ask why is the k p index staying so low It's gonna fly up soon, the second impact just hit this past hour Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isatsuki San Posted December 1, 2023 Share Posted December 1, 2023 8 minutes ago, mozy said: Va a volar pronto, el segundo impacto acaba de ocurrir en la última hora. Yes, although I received a warning :geomagnetic k-index of 6 expected Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mozy Posted December 1, 2023 Share Posted December 1, 2023 2 minutes ago, Isatsuki San said: Yes, although I received a warning :geomagnetic k-index of 6 expected It's easily gonna reach kp7 with these conditions. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Karel Dewaele Posted December 1, 2023 Share Posted December 1, 2023 EPAM still on the rise. Is the big one yet to arrive? 🤔 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isatsuki San Posted December 1, 2023 Share Posted December 1, 2023 26 minutes ago, Karel Dewaele said: EPAM sigue en aumento. ¿Aún no llega el grande? 🤔 I think... I just think it goes down when you get to the flow rope, right? Or is the September 28 cme slower than expected? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Adrian Kobyłecki Posted December 1, 2023 Share Posted December 1, 2023 in my opinion the density is still too low for this CME 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Philalethes Posted December 1, 2023 Share Posted December 1, 2023 49 minutes ago, Karel Dewaele said: EPAM still on the rise. Is the big one yet to arrive? 🤔 21 minutes ago, Isatsuki San said: I think... I just think it goes down when you get to the flow rope, right? Or is the September 28 cme slower than expected? Yeah, I think the EPAM can still keep rising after the first parts hit, and I would guess that this is the "big one" (the halo CME). 18 minutes ago, Adrian Kobyłecki said: in my opinion the density is still too low for this CME It's definitely on the low side, speed too, but I suspect it is the halo CME we've been expecting. It would surprise me at this point if it weren't, but I guess we'll see. Already at G3 now though, that went very fast from G1. Maybe the people of Yakutia will enjoy some nice aurorae. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Popular Post bugz000 Posted December 1, 2023 Popular Post Share Posted December 1, 2023 she's here 6 1 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hamateur 1953 Posted December 1, 2023 Share Posted December 1, 2023 Glad someone got some skycandy!! Overcast throughout Seattle and western washington haha. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bugz000 Posted December 1, 2023 Share Posted December 1, 2023 (edited) 5 minutes ago, hamateur 1953 said: Glad someone got some skycandy!! Overcast throughout Seattle and western washington haha. it's still going! i had to head home but i see it glowing above the houses, it's spectacular edit: i'm just north of minneapolis about 20 minutes, this aurora is very low latitude and cuts through light pollution too!, the aurora on my cover pic i had to drive 30 mins north to a very dark area to get a faint green glow... this is something else, took the pic just down the road 5 mins away Edited December 1, 2023 by bugz000 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tniickck Posted December 1, 2023 Share Posted December 1, 2023 the aurora has been seen at Khabarovsk though Light pollution by phone camera (48° north latitude) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isatsuki San Posted December 1, 2023 Share Posted December 1, 2023 1 hour ago, Philalethes said: Yeah, I think the EPAM can still keep rising after the first parts hit, and I would guess that this is the "big one" (the halo CME). It's definitely on the low side, speed too, but I suspect it is the halo CME we've been expecting. It would surprise me at this point if it weren't, but I guess we'll see. Already at G3 now though, that went very fast from G1. Maybe the people of Yakutia will enjoy some nice aurorae. I think he doesn't have that much desity why he didn't eat the other cme, but this is the cme of 28 The speed is fine, if 3 more hours of forecast arrives it makes sense 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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