Philalethes Posted June 29, 2023 Share Posted June 29, 2023 3 minutes ago, MinYoongi said: im not sure about any ejecta I would guess not, but you never know; some more updates from SUVI will probably give some idea. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MinYoongi Posted June 29, 2023 Share Posted June 29, 2023 1 minute ago, Philalethes said: I would guess not, but you never know; some more updates from SUVI will probably give some idea. keep me updated please ! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Philalethes Posted June 29, 2023 Share Posted June 29, 2023 2 minutes ago, mozy said: And it looks to be coming from the area with barely any spots or if it's even AR3351 instead? 😅 You're right, the flare does look like it's close to that region. I'm guessing it might be interaction between the negative area there and the positive area of the larger region (this one, 3354). 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ester89 Posted June 29, 2023 Share Posted June 29, 2023 I'm interested in knowing which part of the region the flare came from specifically. Is there a way to find out? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Philalethes Posted June 29, 2023 Share Posted June 29, 2023 2 minutes ago, MinYoongi said: keep me updated please ! Looking at 14:20 now I think there might actually be some ejecta, but I'm not sure. It's often hard to tell from SUVI. I think there's some dimming too. 1 minute ago, Ester89 said: I'm interested in knowing which part of the region the flare came from specifically. Is there a way to find out? The most live imagery (at least as far as I'm aware) is from SUVI, the ultraviolet imager on the GOES satellites (that are the ones measuring the X-ray flux too), which can be found here. It's very close to real-time, typically you get imagery 5-10 minutes after the X-ray flux indicates a flare so you can tell where it's coming from. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mozy Posted June 29, 2023 Share Posted June 29, 2023 3 minutes ago, Philalethes said: The most live imagery (at least as far as I'm aware) is from SUVI, the ultraviolet imager on the GOES satellites (that are the ones measuring the X-ray flux too), which can be found here. It's very close to real-time, typically you get imagery 5-10 minutes after the X-ray flux indicates a flare so you can tell where it's coming from. Let me add in that watching AIA 1600 & AIA 1700 over at https://sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov/data/ has the fastest updates & is the easiest way (in my opinion) to see which region is flaring or what part of a certain region is flaring. 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesterface23 Posted June 29, 2023 Author Share Posted June 29, 2023 Welp, power went out right before the flare lol. There were some nice arcs across the region before the M-Class flare, so hopefully this is the start. This one seemes a little slight eruptive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mozy Posted June 29, 2023 Share Posted June 29, 2023 Solarsoft assigned the flare to AR3351 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Philalethes Posted June 29, 2023 Share Posted June 29, 2023 (edited) 6 minutes ago, mozy said: Let me add in that watching AIA 1600 & AIA 1700 over at https://sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov/data/ has the fastest updates & is the easiest way (in my opinion) to see which region is flaring or what part of a certain region is flaring. Didn't know any of the SDO imagery even updated that fast, that's cool. Do those wavelengths show the flaring as clearly while it's happening? Definitely going to check it out next time a flare occurs and see if I can spot it. Edited June 29, 2023 by Philalethes typo 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MinYoongi Posted June 29, 2023 Share Posted June 29, 2023 thanks mozy! Thats easier than suvi which laggs behind often. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SpaceWeather5464 Posted June 29, 2023 Share Posted June 29, 2023 10 minutes ago, mozy said: Let me add in that watching AIA 1600 & AIA 1700 over at https://sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov/data/ has the fastest updates & is the easiest way (in my opinion) to see which region is flaring or what part of a certain region is flaring. Are AIA 1600 & AIA 1700 both faster than any of the AIA images from SDO? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Popular Post Jesterface23 Posted June 29, 2023 Author Popular Post Share Posted June 29, 2023 (edited) Here is the flare, sort of looped over 3351 a little, Edited June 29, 2023 by Jesterface23 1 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Philalethes Posted June 29, 2023 Share Posted June 29, 2023 1 minute ago, Jesterface23 said: Here is the flare, sort of looped over 3351 a little, Very cool; so it wasn't between the negative region of 3351 and the positive of 3354, but the other way around. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ester89 Posted June 29, 2023 Share Posted June 29, 2023 Region 3351 no longer appears on this page. I suspect that it's so close to 3354 that it's considered part of it 🤔 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mozy Posted June 29, 2023 Share Posted June 29, 2023 (edited) 21 minutes ago, Philalethes said: Didn't know any of the SDO imagery even updated that fast, that's cool. Do those wavelengths show the flaring as clearly while it's happening? Definitely going to check it out next time a flare occurs and see if I can spot it. Yes, you'll be able to spot it without question, you'll know once you see it. 17 minutes ago, MinYoongi said: thanks mozy! Thats easier than suvi which laggs behind often. Yeah, I use that first while waiting for SUVI 15 minutes ago, SpaceWeather5464 said: Are AIA 1600 & AIA 1700 both faster than any of the AIA images from SDO? Yes, for some reason they are. Edited June 29, 2023 by mozy 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Drax Spacex Posted June 29, 2023 Share Posted June 29, 2023 The SDO images for Potential-field Source-surface (PFSS) overlay with good match to the path and connections of this flare. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paulo Scaldaferri Posted June 29, 2023 Share Posted June 29, 2023 Trend? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Popular Post Philalethes Posted June 29, 2023 Popular Post Share Posted June 29, 2023 18 minutes ago, Paulo Scaldaferri said: Trend? Nah, you cherry-picked the wrong time interval and the wrong regression function and the wrong data points, this is the real trend from the true time interval and the data points and regression function of universal truth: Definitely an X10,000-flare sometimes tomorrow, prepare accordingly. Much science! Very flare! Wow! 1 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SpaceWeather5464 Posted June 29, 2023 Share Posted June 29, 2023 Delta? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ester89 Posted June 29, 2023 Share Posted June 29, 2023 14 minutes ago, SpaceWeather5464 said: Delta? No, i would say there is no delta 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Drax Spacex Posted June 29, 2023 Share Posted June 29, 2023 34 minutes ago, Paulo Scaldaferri said: Trend? Yes - there is an upward trend in X-Ray Flux over the past several days using a peak detector function. Will it continue or have we reached an inflection point? TBD. Also monitor magnetic classification and AR sunspot / area development, and summarily, the daily SWPC Whole Disk Forecast, currently C=99%, M=40%, X=10%. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MinYoongi Posted June 29, 2023 Share Posted June 29, 2023 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Philalethes Posted June 29, 2023 Share Posted June 29, 2023 53 minutes ago, SpaceWeather5464 said: Delta? 38 minutes ago, Ester89 said: No, i would say there is no delta Agree with that assessment. Another case where looking at the intensitygram is necessary, as the negative area itself doesn't have any clear umbra, nor do the surrounding positive areas. It gets quite obvious when you compare: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Popular Post CapeCodShade Posted June 29, 2023 Popular Post Share Posted June 29, 2023 I’ve been watching this region since it first appeared. It has been a blast to watch (no pun intended). First post here and really glad I found this community! 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sam Warfel Posted June 30, 2023 Share Posted June 30, 2023 3 hours ago, CapeCodShade said: I’ve been watching this region since it first appeared. It has been a blast to watch (no pun intended). First post here and really glad I found this community! Welcome! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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