Vancanneyt Sander Posted April 25, 2022 Share Posted April 25, 2022 2 uren geleden, MinYoongi zei: I just read that in noaas forecast, but are we sure this time? Oh 😕 @Solarflaretracker200 Im unsure because i read this on Solen.info 4 hours ago : Region 12993 [N20W31] decayed further with fragmentation of the main penumbral area and several small spots disappearing. The region was active early on April 25 producing a long duration M1.2 flare peaking at 02:00 and an impulsive M1.2 flare at 04:02 UT. Region 12994 [N14W25] decayed slowly but could still produce M flares. This combined with Noaa calling one of them Beta gamma delta yesterday with @mozy and @Orneno pointing out no deltas to be visible has made me suspicious of noaa SWPC/NOAA sometimes makes mistakes and defining 2993 and 2994 as BGD was a clear mistake as it was clear that there are no delta's present in both regions. A reason more to learn the magnetic classification so you can see what it actually is instead 😉 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MinYoongi Posted April 25, 2022 Share Posted April 25, 2022 43 minutes ago, Vancanneyt Sander said: SWPC/NOAA sometimes makes mistakes and defining 2993 and 2994 as BGD was a clear mistake as it was clear that there are no delta's present in both regions. A reason more to learn the magnetic classification so you can see what it actually is instead 😉 Indeed! Even watching Videos on it 😀🤗 Its just frustrating. They even assigned 2994 BGD today. So now BOTH are misassigned? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sam Warfel Posted April 25, 2022 Share Posted April 25, 2022 Really? Come on, NOAA, these are legit sunspots we need accurate classification on Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
farm24 Posted April 25, 2022 Share Posted April 25, 2022 good ol NOAA SWPC. At least the NWS (National Weather Service) isn't as bad Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solarflaretracker200 Posted April 25, 2022 Author Share Posted April 25, 2022 5 hours ago, MinYoongi said: @Solarflaretracker200 Im unsure because i read this on Solen.info 4 hours ago : Region 12993 [N20W31] decayed further with fragmentation of the main penumbral area and several small spots disappearing. The region was active early on April 25 producing a long duration M1.2 flare peaking at 02:00 and an impulsive M1.2 flare at 04:02 UT. Region 12994 [N14W25] decayed slowly but could still produce M flares. This combined with Noaa calling one of them Beta gamma delta yesterday with @mozy and @Orneno pointing out no deltas to be visible has made me suspicious of noaa Honestly, I really don't know, I am just going off a picture i took from the last Beta gamma delta we had. So I just compare the pics and see if they are similar 🤷♂️ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Archmonoth Posted April 25, 2022 Share Posted April 25, 2022 14 hours ago, MinYoongi said: Do you think there will be an X soon? Yeah, especially since the background flux is in the C range. *rolls dice* 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mozy Posted April 30, 2022 Share Posted April 30, 2022 Ofc it starts spewing out flares once it reaches the limb 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sam Warfel Posted April 30, 2022 Share Posted April 30, 2022 That M2 was very eclipsed, it was almost surely well above M5 and maybe even an X-class Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mozy Posted April 30, 2022 Share Posted April 30, 2022 Guess we just had another possible X-flare behind the limb Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris, HB9DFG Posted April 30, 2022 Share Posted April 30, 2022 (edited) 1 hour ago, mozy said: Guess we just had another possible X-flare behind the limb Hi mozi and all I believe it won't be the last departing "spitting out" on the west limb from a region who was quiet while looking in our direction and is now starting with fireing as soon it reaches the limb side again. Meanwhile I belive it will become a good solar maxima, but with big and optimized earth directed CMEs we will continue to be very unlucky. Hope I am wrong... Regards, Chris Edited April 30, 2022 by Chris, HB9DFG Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mozy Posted April 30, 2022 Share Posted April 30, 2022 4 minutes ago, Chris, HB9DFG said: Hi mozi and all I believe it won't be the last departing "spit" on the west limb from a region who was quiet while looking in our direction and now starting with fireing as soon it reaches the limb side again. Yeah we're kinda used to it at this point, It'll keep happening for sure Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MinYoongi Posted April 30, 2022 Share Posted April 30, 2022 Just woke up. Looked at the Data, Jaw dropped. 🥲 Is there a scientific reason for this stuff? Some people talk about "The earth facing quiet effect" but i dont think its something that was more than a theory. Well, atleast we get some twinkling from our Friends 2993/4... ☺️💫✨️ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MinYoongi Posted April 30, 2022 Share Posted April 30, 2022 @Solarflaretracker200 youre gonna be so mad when you wake up and see 2994 blasted an X-Class right on the Limb after being quiet for over a week Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solarflaretracker200 Posted April 30, 2022 Author Share Posted April 30, 2022 WHAT THE ACTUAL HECK At least I wasn’t sleeping Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LunarLights58 Posted April 30, 2022 Share Posted April 30, 2022 Whoa, we have another X? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sammyy Posted April 30, 2022 Share Posted April 30, 2022 I acutally dreamt a few hours ago there would be a new x-flare xD Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solarflaretracker200 Posted April 30, 2022 Author Share Posted April 30, 2022 @MinYoongi I would’ve been mad if I was sleeping and That happened 😂 Just now, Sammyy said: I acutally dreamt a few hours ago there would be a new x-flare xD I had one about that a few days ago and every time I do it happens lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sammyy Posted April 30, 2022 Share Posted April 30, 2022 3 minutes ago, Solarflaretracker200 said: @MinYoongi I would’ve been mad if I was sleeping and That happened 😂 I had one about that a few days ago and every time I do it happens lol Now you have to predict the next one Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solarflaretracker200 Posted April 30, 2022 Author Share Posted April 30, 2022 Just now, Sammyy said: Now you have to predict the next one Well I usually dream 5 to 7 days before it happens lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MinYoongi Posted April 30, 2022 Share Posted April 30, 2022 Okay.. lets not drift into the #other section.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solarflaretracker200 Posted April 30, 2022 Author Share Posted April 30, 2022 1 minute ago, MinYoongi said: Okay.. lets not drift into the #other section.. my bad lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tristan Posted April 30, 2022 Share Posted April 30, 2022 hmm. wonder if this has a shot at returning for a 3rd trip. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solarflaretracker200 Posted April 30, 2022 Author Share Posted April 30, 2022 Just now, Tristan said: hmm. wonder if this has a shot at returning for a 3rd trip. It’s possible but I doubt it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tristan Posted April 30, 2022 Share Posted April 30, 2022 7 minutes ago, Solarflaretracker200 said: It’s possible but I doubt it. certainly would be a rare event if it did. Presumably it is in a rapid growth phase as flaring and background flux are increasing despite it traveling further round the limb, so you never know. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LunarLights58 Posted May 1, 2022 Share Posted May 1, 2022 These regions, now certainly beyond range of Earth, have lately been chucking out CMEs, almost every couple hours. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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