Is AR2891 active?

[Jesterface23]

Awesome, awesome, a direct hit it is.

[Chris, HB9DFG]

I am looking out for a radio aurora on 144MHz but there is nothing to copy down here now since scandinavian and russian radio amateurs are better situated at the moment it seems and bz has moved positive. Waiting for a longer negative bz value...

 

[Sam Warfel]

17 minutes ago, Chris, HB9DFG said:

I am looking out for a radio aurora on 144MHz but there is nothing to copy down here now since scandinavian and russian radio amateurs are better situated at the moment it seems and bz has moved positive. Waiting for a longer negative bz value...

 

Me too, I’m waiting for it to hopefully flip back negative before I go out looking for Aurora but all other data looks good 

1 hour ago, Tomasz Mielec said:

Still yes, but not for long

@Tomasz Mielecit is now G2, and SpaceWeather.com says it could even escalate to G3 in the coming hours so it’s definitely not just G1

[Jesterface23]

The SWPC did issue a G3 warning.

[MinYoongi]

Watching Dr.Skov's live forecast now!

[Sam Warfel]

6 minutes ago, MinYoongi said:

Watching Dr.Skov's live forecast now!

Oooh what’s in there? Should I drag my family out to see the lights?

[MinYoongi]

11 minutes ago, Orneno said:

Oooh what’s in there? Should I drag my family out to see the lights?

Rn not, the BZ is northward!   But if it gets southward again yes! 

[Sam Warfel]

1 minute ago, MinYoongi said:

Rn not, the BZ is northward!   But if it gets southward again yes! 

That’s what I thought, thanks!

🤞

[Tomasz Mielec]

Looking on ACE and Bz slowly will going to south, and solr wind speed around 800km/s

Is south and be more maybe even -20

[kamilb]

Hey everyone, glad I've found this thread! Tonight when Bz was negative it was the most intense Aurora I've ever seen in Iceland, also disturbance of the magnetic field measured on the ground was substantial

Edited November 4, 2021 by kamilb
Language

[Tomasz Mielec]

I have some pictures on my friends on aurora in north Poland

[Isatsuki San]

geomagnetic storm g3 now

[MinYoongi]

I have a question, how long do you think will the CME last? Like, until its through?

[Jesterface23]

The IMF may eventually stabilize as well once the front bit is finished. 

[Tomasz Mielec]

3 minutes ago, Isatsuki San said:

geomagnetic storm g3 now

I saw this two hours ago

[Jesterface23]

1 minute ago, MinYoongi said:

I have a question, how long do you think will the CME last? Like, until its through?

It could last 36-60 hours, but not at max strength.

[MinYoongi]

Just now, Jesterface23 said:

It could last 36-60 hours, but not at max strength.

With those high speeds, when do you think it will be through? 

 

And to the stabilizing part: BT or BZ? 

[Tomasz Mielec]

3 minutes ago, MinYoongi said:

I have a question, how long do you think will the CME last? Like, until its through?

This storm can be 24h but we dont know so both CME arrived. One of course but well its another

[MinYoongi]

1 minute ago, Tomasz Mielec said:

This storm can be 24h but we dont know so both CME arrived. One of course but well its another

if they didnt arrive together the 2nd one will be much slower

[Tomasz Mielec]

Just now, MinYoongi said:

if they didnt arrive together the 2nd one will be much slower

Yup it can be, but we dont know right now maybe the other one its comes

[Jesterface23]

3 minutes ago, MinYoongi said:

With those high speeds, when do you think it will be through? 

 

And to the stabilizing part: BT or BZ? 

They are both hard to tell. The high velocities could last maybe 5-12 hours longer. The IMF is hard to tell. Once the flux portion hits the IMF components might stop jumping around.

[MinYoongi]

6 minutes ago, Jesterface23 said:

They are both hard to tell. The high velocities could last maybe 5-12 hours longer. The IMF is hard to tell. Once the flux portion hits the IMF components might stop jumping around.

No sign of slowing down yet.

[Tillson]

This seems to be live right now, it's mesmerizing!

 

[MinYoongi]

G3 waned off to a G1 i believe.

 

The thing im trying to wrap my mind around :

 

What did arrive? Only a glancing blow from one of the CME's , or the CME's combined? 

 

[Jesterface23]

100% a direct hit of the early 11/02 CME. The other CMEs didn't stand a chance and it's remains may have been what made this CME's entry a little messy for about 30-60 minutes.

Edited November 4, 2021 by Jesterface23