Is AR2891 active?

[Tomasz Mielec]

1 minute ago, Orneno said:

Did a CME just hit DSCOVR??

I’m seeing big spike in several graphs 

It looks like. Solar wind on ACE 700km/s

[Sam Warfel]

2 minutes ago, Tomasz Mielec said:

It looks like. Solar wind on ACE 700km/s

Yup, I just got the notification!

Earlier than expected, isn’t it? It doesn’t seem very strong though. 

Maybe ENIL was wrong and this is a glancing blow from an earlier one, not the 2891 halo-CME?

[Tomasz Mielec]

Just now, Orneno said:

Yup, I just got the notification!

Earlier than expected, isn’t it? It doesn’t seem very strong though. 

Maybe ENIL was wrong and this is a glancing blow from an earlier one, not the 2891 halo-CME?

Is much earlier even ENIL forecast, we must wait

[Dominic Cantin]

6 hours ago, Marcel de Bont said:

Welcome Dominic. I recognize you from Facebook or Twitter? I have seen your name somewhere haha. Yes, that is indeed a good source where people leave their predictions!

Thanks Marcel ! Maybe from FB but I also participated on the french translation of spacewetherlive :) 

[Chris, HB9DFG]

Hi Tomasz

Yes indeed, I also watching the steep rise the last minutes of the EPAMp graph in the 2h-plot.

It looks much better than the last one from the dissapointimg X1. Usually a good peak is from

the 1.0E+05 up to the 1.0E+06 mark, so let's see if this is now the early (and fast) arrival of the CME!

 

[MinYoongi]

31 minutes ago, Orneno said:

Yup, I just got the notification!

Earlier than expected, isn’t it? It doesn’t seem very strong though. 

Maybe ENIL was wrong and this is a glancing blow from an earlier one, not the 2891 halo-CME?

I thought it ate up the other cme's ? 

[Tillson]

Getting quite windy!

 

Edited November 3, 2021 by Tillson

[Tomasz Mielec]

4 minutes ago, Tillson said:

Getting quite windy!

 

Yup maybe me prediction to G3 its was not wrong

[Sam Warfel]

Wow this is nice, hopefully it stays strong as the sun sets here!

[Tomasz Mielec]

It will be strong looks on ACE

[Sam Warfel]

4 minutes ago, Tomasz Mielec said:

It will be strong looks on ACE

The data from SWL (so DSCOVR atm) is also coming in strong.

Why did the speed and density drop off so suddenly?
Is that a data error?

[Tillson]

Hemispheric Power could soon reach 100 which would be considered a "very significant geomagnetic storm"?

Edit: Just reached a 100

Edited November 3, 2021 by Tillson

[MinYoongi]

34 minutes ago, Orneno said:

The data from SWL (so DSCOVR atm) is also coming in strong.

Why did the speed and density drop off so suddenly?
Is that a data error?

Yep! DSCOVR has problems with its faraday cup.

[Drax Spacex]

9 hours ago, MinYoongi said:

I thought it ate up the other cme's ? 

Perhaps it was more of an additive superposition, CMEs combining forces?

I see that AR2887 is giving us a parting shot it rounds the west limb - a C5+ flare at 2021-11-03 21:15, coincidentally at about the same time this CME hit and the S1 radiation storm threshold for proton flux was exceeded.

Grab some popcorn !

Edited November 4, 2021 by Drax Spacex
S1 due to CME hit not from C5 flare

[No pseudoscience]

Lol I am so lucky, when this happened I happened to be in my bed , which has a metal frame holding up a bunch of springs above it, it's almost like I'm in a feriday cage.

[Sam Warfel]

14 minutes ago, Tillson said:

Hemispheric Power could soon reach 100 which would be considered a "very significant geomagnetic storm"?

Edit: Just reached a 100

I have no idea what they mean by “very significant” but this looks like G3 sorta action to me. 

[MinYoongi]

4 minutes ago, Orneno said:

I have no idea what they mean by “very significant” but this looks like G3 sorta action to me. 

It's just the ovation model! It simply means theres a lot of aurora  

[Tomasz Mielec]

Yup G3 i was right

[Isatsuki San]

there is a geomagnetic storm warning g2, in the next few hours

[Sam Warfel]

Oh no the BZ went positive 😭😭

let’s hope it goes back 

[Larron]

So sad, 100% cloud coverage here and fog.

[MinYoongi]

7 minutes ago, Tomasz Mielec said:

Yup G3 i was right

Where is that Screenshot from? The DST doesnt reflect this  

[Tomasz Mielec]

Just now, MinYoongi said:

Where is that Screenshot from? The DST doesnt reflect this  

[MinYoongi]

2 minutes ago, Tomasz Mielec said:

But isnt it G1 rn? 

[Tomasz Mielec]

Just now, MinYoongi said:

But isnt it G1 rn? 

Still yes, but not for long