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Patrick P.A. Geryl

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Sunspot 2808

I calculated everything 2 years ago. Took me 6 months to find the alignments for 3 years. Didn't double check, so faults are possible. Afterwards i had to make the calculations for the sunspots. So don't shoot me... but I found a wrong calculation... The Triple Line Up   Vesta – Mercury – Pallas should have been related to the Opposition Mercury – Uranus across the Sun

Sunspot 2808  / March 1 / Northern Hemisphere

February 28 (04:00)

February 26 (14:30) – 28 (17:15), 2021: Conjunction Venus – Pallas and the Sun

February 27  (11:15) – March 1 (06:00), 2021 Triple Line Up   Mercury - Venus – Neptune

February 28 (04:00) – March 1 (11:45), 2021: Opposition Mercury – Uranus across the Sun

March 1 (03:00)- 13 (20:00), 2021 Triple Line Up   Vesta – Mercury – Pallas

 

My guess is that the formula  was split in 2...

Sunspot 2806 becomes this...

Sunspot 2806  / February 28 / Southern Hemisphere

 February 28 (04:00)

February 26 (14:30) – 28 (17:15), 2021: Conjunction Venus – Pallas and the Sun

February 27  (11:15) – March 1 (06:00), 2021 Triple Line Up   Mercury - Venus – Neptune

Sunspot 2807 becomes this...

 

Sunspot 2807  / March 2 / Southern Hemisphere

 March 2 around 12:00 - 14:00 instead of March 3 (04:00)

March 2  (12:45)- 7 (08:00), 2021 Triple Line Up  Jupiter – Mercury – Earth

March 3 (04:00) – 6 (08:0), 2021: Conjunction Vesta - Earth and the Sun

 

This makes sense because sunspot 2808 is a long living sunspot (on stereo it was already active 8 days ago) and the others not!

 

Sunspot 2808  / March 1 / Northern Hemisphere

February 28 (04:00)

February 28 (04:00) – March 1 (11:45), 2021: Opposition Mercury – Uranus across the Sun

March 1 (03:00)- 13 (20:00), 2021 Triple Line Up   Vesta – Mercury – Pallas

 

The March 8 and 9 sunspots have to be on the farside. The next one could appear on this side and could be large:

 

March 13 (23:30)?

March 12 (14:45)- 15 (17:30), 2021 Triple Line Up   Neptune – Venus – Earth

March 1 (03:00)- 13 (20:00), 2021 Triple Line Up   Vesta – Mercury – Pallas

March 12 (22:45) – 15 (23:45), 2021: Opposition Vesta - Venus  across the Sun

March 13 (23:30) - 15 (21:45), 2021 Triple Line Up   Mercury – Venus – Ceres

March 14 (00:15) - 19 (02:30), 2021 Triple Line Up   Mars – Venus – Saturn

March 13 (23:30) - 15 (21:45), 2021 Triple Line Up   Mercury – Venus – Ceres

March 15 (12:15) – 17 (23:15), 2021: Conjunction Neptune – Venus and the Sun

March 17 (04:00) - 23 (13:45), 2021 Triple Line Up   Neptune – Venus – Vesta?

Edited by Patrick Geryl
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2 hours ago, Kundalini said:

Well look at that, Patrick is right again.. eruption in Russia

I'll just quickly point out a few things wrong with what you just said:

  1. Patrick did not comment on the subject matter that you have tied into this conversation. Nothing about quakes/volcanoes here.
  2. Volcanoes erupt all the time around the world. There's nothing special about it. The interesting stuff is when new volcanoes form.
  3. You are doing more harm than good to the perception of Geryl's work, by attaching your stigmatic astrological mysticism to his predictions.
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 The end of Line Ups also induces sunspots... The current sunspot in the southern hemisphere (March 11) = S6764 on Solar Terrestrial Activity Report is probably the end of the  Conjunction Vesta - Earth and the Sun

March 6, 2021

March 1 (03:00)- 13 (20:00), 2021 Triple Line Up   Vesta – Mercury – Pallas

March 2  (12:45)- 7 (08:00), 2021 Triple Line Up   Mercury– Earth – Jupiter

March 3 (04:00) – 6 (08:0), 2021: Conjunction Vesta - Earth and the Sun

March 6 (23:45) – 9 (15:15), 2021 Triple Line Up    Venus – Earth - Vesta

 End Line Up:

March 3 (04:00) – 6 (08:0), 2021: Conjunction Vesta - Earth and the Sun

 

Start Line Up:

March 6 (23:45) – 9 (15:15), 2021 Triple Line Up    Venus – Earth - Vesta

March 7, 2021

March 1 (03:00)- 13 (20:00), 2021 Triple Line Up   Vesta – Mercury – Pallas

March 2  (12:45)- 7 (08:00), 2021 Triple Line Up   Mercury– Earth – Jupiter

March 6 (23:45) – 9 (15:15), 2021 Triple Line Up    Venus – Earth - Vesta

 

End Line Up:

March 2  (12:45)- 7 (08:00), 2021 Triple Line Up   Mercury– Earth – Jupiter

  

March 8, 2021

March 1 (03:00)- 13 (20:00), 2021 Triple Line Up   Vesta – Mercury – Pallas

March 6 (23:45) – 9 (15:15), 2021 Triple Line Up    Venus – Earth - Vesta

March 8 (21:30) – 18 (12:00), 2021 Triple Line Up   Chiron – Ceres – Earth

Start Line Up:

March 8 (21:30) – 18 (12:00), 2021 Triple Line Up   Chiron – Ceres – Earth

 

March 9, 2021

March 1 (03:00)- 13 (20:00), 2021 Triple Line Up   Vesta – Mercury – Pallas

March 6 (23:45) – 9 (15:15), 2021 Triple Line Up    Venus – Earth - Vesta

March 8 (21:30) – 18 (12:00), 2021 Triple Line Up   Chiron – Ceres – Earth

March 9 (23:45) – 13 (00:30), 2021: Opposition Earth - Neptune  across the Sun

 End Line Up:

March 6 (23:45) – 9 (15:15), 2021 Triple Line Up    Venus – Earth - Vesta

 Start Line Up:

March 9 (23:45) – 13 (00:30), 2021: Opposition Earth - Neptune  across the Sun

 

March 10, 2021

March 1 (03:00)- 13 (20:00), 2021 Triple Line Up   Vesta – Mercury – Pallas

March 8 (21:30) – 18 (12:00), 2021 Triple Line Up   Chiron – Ceres – Earth

March 9 (23:45) – 13 (00:30), 2021: Opposition Earth - Neptune  across the Sun

 

March 11, 2021

March 1 (03:00)- 13 (20:00), 2021 Triple Line Up   Vesta – Mercury – Pallas

March 8 (21:30) – 18 (12:00), 2021 Triple Line Up   Chiron – Ceres – Earth

March 9 (23:45) – 13 (00:30), 2021: Opposition Earth - Neptune  across the Sun

 

March 12, 2021

March 1 (03:00)- 13 (20:00), 2021 Triple Line Up   Vesta – Mercury – Pallas

March 8 (21:30) – 18 (12:00), 2021 Triple Line Up   Chiron – Ceres – Earth

March 9 (23:45) – 13 (00:30), 2021: Opposition Earth - Neptune  across the Sun

March 12 (14:45)- 15 (17:30), 2021 Triple Line Up   Neptune – Venus – Earth

March 12 (22:45) – 15 (23:45), 2021: Opposition Vesta - Venus  across the Sun

 Start Line Up:

March 12 (14:45)- 15 (17:30), 2021 Triple Line Up   Neptune – Venus – Earth

March 12 (22:45) – 15 (23:45), 2021: Opposition Vesta - Venus  across the Sun

 

March 13, 2021

March 1 (03:00)- 13 (20:00), 2021 Triple Line Up   Vesta – Mercury – Pallas

March 8 (21:30) – 18 (12:00), 2021 Triple Line Up   Chiron – Ceres – Earth

March 9 (23:45) – 13 (00:30), 2021: Opposition Earth - Neptune  across the Sun

March 12 (14:45)- 15 (17:30), 2021 Triple Line Up   Neptune – Venus – Earth

March 12 (22:45) – 15 (23:45), 2021: Opposition Vesta - Venus  across the Sun

 End Line Up:

March 1 (03:00)- 13 (20:00), 2021 Triple Line Up   Vesta – Mercury – Pallas

March 9 (23:45) – 13 (00:30), 2021: Opposition Earth - Neptune  across the Sun

 

March 14, 2021

March 8 (21:30) – 18 (12:00), 2021 Triple Line Up   Chiron – Ceres – Earth

March 12 (14:45)- 15 (17:30), 2021 Triple Line Up   Neptune – Venus – Earth

March 12 (22:45) – 15 (23:45), 2021: Opposition Vesta - Venus  across the Sun

 

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Old sunspot 2804 which had many small spots is back...

As stated it has a long Triple Pluto – Saturn – Ceres

Important:

We had a C2.7 flare on February 27 around 18:00 UTC under influence from Mercury

We had a C3.9 flare on February 28 around 06:45 UTC under influence from Mercury:

February 27  (11:15) – March 1 (06:00), 2021 Triple Line Up   Mercury - Venus – Neptune

February 28 (04:00) – March 1 (11:45), 2021: Opposition Mercury – Uranus across the Sun

Remark:

Watch alignments with Mercury

 

Sunspot 2810 = old Sunspot 2804 (rotated into view March 15) / February 21 / Northern Hemisphere

February 22 (04:00)

February 9 (08:00) – 27 (21:30), 2021: Conjunction Chiron - Ceres and the Sun

February 16 (02:15) – 22 (07:15), 2021 Triple Line Up   Chiron – Ceres – Mercury?

February 22 (04:00)- June 9 (09:15), 2021 Triple Line Up   Pluto – Saturn – Ceres

  

March 16, 2021

February 22 (04:00)- June 9 (09:15), 2021 Triple Line Up   Pluto – Saturn – Ceres

March 4 (21:30) – April 5 (01:15), 2021 Triple Line Up    Juno – Pallas - Chiron

March 8 (21:30) – 18 (12:00), 2021 Triple Line Up   Chiron – Ceres – Earth

March 14 (00:15) - 19 (02:30), 2021 Triple Line Up   Mars – Venus – Saturn

March 15 (12:15) – 17 (23:15), 2021: Conjunction Neptune – Venus and the Sun

 

March 17, 2021

February 22 (04:00)- June 9 (09:15), 2021 Triple Line Up   Pluto – Saturn – Ceres

March 4 (21:30) – April 5 (01:15), 2021 Triple Line Up    Juno – Pallas - Chiron

March 8 (21:30) – 18 (12:00), 2021 Triple Line Up   Chiron – Ceres – Earth

March 14 (00:15) - 19 (02:30), 2021 Triple Line Up   Mars – Venus – Saturn

March 15 (12:15) – 17 (23:15), 2021: Conjunction Neptune – Venus and the Sun

March 17 (01:45) - 19 (18:45), 2021 Triple Line Up   Earth – Mercury – Pallas

March 17 (04:00) - 23 (13:45), 2021 Triple Line Up   Neptune – Venus – Vesta

 End Line Up:

March 15 (12:15) – 17 (23:15), 2021: Conjunction Neptune – Venus and the Sun

 Start Line Up:

March 17 (01:45) - 19 (18:45), 2021 Triple Line Up   Earth – Mercury – Pallas

March 17 (04:00) - 23 (13:45), 2021 Triple Line Up   Neptune – Venus – Vesta

 

March 18, 2021

February 22 (04:00)- June 9 (09:15), 2021 Triple Line Up   Pluto – Saturn – Ceres

March 4 (21:30) – April 5 (01:15), 2021 Triple Line Up    Juno – Pallas - Chiron

March 8 (21:30) – 18 (12:00), 2021 Triple Line Up   Chiron – Ceres – Earth

March 14 (00:15) - 19 (02:30), 2021 Triple Line Up   Mars – Venus – Saturn

March 17 (01:45) - 19 (18:45), 2021 Triple Line Up   Earth – Mercury – Pallas

March 17 (04:00) - 23 (13:45), 2021 Triple Line Up   Neptune – Venus – Vesta

 End Line Up:

March 8 (21:30) – 18 (12:00), 2021 Triple Line Up   Chiron – Ceres – Earth

 

March 19, 2021

February 22 (04:00)- June 9 (09:15), 2021 Triple Line Up   Pluto – Saturn – Ceres

March 4 (21:30) – April 5 (01:15), 2021 Triple Line Up    Juno – Pallas - Chiron

March 14 (00:15) - 19 (02:30), 2021 Triple Line Up   Mars – Venus – Saturn

March 17 (01:45) - 19 (18:45), 2021 Triple Line Up   Earth – Mercury – Pallas

March 17 (04:00) - 23 (13:45), 2021 Triple Line Up   Neptune – Venus – Vesta

 End Line Up:

March 14 (00:15) - 19 (02:30), 2021 Triple Line Up   Mars – Venus – Saturn

March 17 (01:45) - 19 (18:45), 2021 Triple Line Up   Earth – Mercury – Pallas

 

March 20, 2021

February 22 (04:00)- June 9 (09:15), 2021 Triple Line Up   Pluto – Saturn – Ceres

March 4 (21:30) – April 5 (01:15), 2021 Triple Line Up    Juno – Pallas - Chiron

March 17 (04:00) - 23 (13:45), 2021 Triple Line Up   Neptune – Venus – Vesta

March 20 (06:45) - 25 (12:15), 2021 Triple Line Up   Mars – Venus – Jupiter

March 20 (07:15) – April 3 (22:00), 2021: Opposition Vesta - Neptune  across the Sun

Start Line Up:

March 20 (06:45) - 25 (12:15), 2021 Triple Line Up   Mars – Venus – Jupiter

March 20 (07:15) – April 3 (22:00), 2021: Opposition Vesta - Neptune  across the Sun

 

March 21, 2021

February 22 (04:00)- June 9 (09:15), 2021 Triple Line Up   Pluto – Saturn – Ceres

March 4 (21:30) – April 5 (01:15), 2021 Triple Line Up    Juno – Pallas - Chiron

March 17 (04:00) - 23 (13:45), 2021 Triple Line Up   Neptune – Venus – Vesta

March 20 (06:45) - 25 (12:15), 2021 Triple Line Up   Mars – Venus – Jupiter

March 20 (07:15) – April 3 (22:00), 2021: Opposition Vesta - Neptune  across the Sun

March 21 (17:45) – 24 (01:45), 2021 Triple Line Up    Mercury – Earth - Vesta

 Start Line Up:

March 21 (17:45) – 24 (01:45), 2021 Triple Line Up    Mercury – Earth - Vesta

 

March 22, 2021

February 22 (04:00)- June 9 (09:15), 2021 Triple Line Up   Pluto – Saturn – Ceres

March 4 (21:30) – April 5 (01:15), 2021 Triple Line Up    Juno – Pallas - Chiron

March 17 (04:00) - 23 (13:45), 2021 Triple Line Up   Neptune – Venus – Vesta

March 20 (06:45) - 25 (12:15), 2021 Triple Line Up   Mars – Venus – Jupiter

March 20 (07:15) – April 3 (22:00), 2021: Opposition Vesta - Neptune  across the Sun

March 21 (17:45) – 24 (01:45), 2021 Triple Line Up    Mercury – Earth - Vesta

March 22 (22:15) – 29 (14:00), 2021: Opposition Venus - Earth  across the Sun

 Start Line Up:

March 22 (22:15) – 29 (14:00), 2021: Opposition Venus - Earth  across the Sun

 

March 23, 2021

February 22 (04:00)- June 9 (09:15), 2021 Triple Line Up   Pluto – Saturn – Ceres

March 4 (21:30) – April 5 (01:15), 2021 Triple Line Up    Juno – Pallas - Chiron

March 17 (04:00) - 23 (13:45), 2021 Triple Line Up   Neptune – Venus – Vesta

March 20 (06:45) - 25 (12:15), 2021 Triple Line Up   Mars – Venus – Jupiter

March 20 (07:15) – April 3 (22:00), 2021: Opposition Vesta - Neptune  across the Sun

March 21 (17:45) – 24 (01:45), 2021 Triple Line Up    Mercury – Earth - Vesta

March 22 (22:15) – 29 (14:00), 2021: Opposition Venus - Earth  across the Sun

March 23 (17:30) – 25 (08:00), 2021: Opposition Mercury – Mars across the Sun

 End Line Up:

March 17 (04:00) - 23 (13:45), 2021 Triple Line Up   Neptune – Venus – Vesta

 Start Line Up:

March 23 (17:30) – 25 (08:00), 2021: Opposition Mercury – Mars across the Sun

 

March 24, 2021

February 22 (04:00)- June 9 (09:15), 2021 Triple Line Up   Pluto – Saturn – Ceres

March 4 (21:30) – April 5 (01:15), 2021 Triple Line Up    Juno – Pallas - Chiron

March 20 (06:45) - 25 (12:15), 2021 Triple Line Up   Mars – Venus – Jupiter

March 20 (07:15) – April 3 (22:00), 2021: Opposition Vesta - Neptune  across the Sun

March 21 (17:45) – 24 (01:45), 2021 Triple Line Up    Mercury – Earth - Vesta

March 22 (22:15) – 29 (14:00), 2021: Opposition Venus - Earth  across the Sun

March 23 (17:30) – 25 (08:00), 2021: Opposition Mercury – Mars across the Sun

March 24 (00:30) – April 8 (14:00), 2021 Triple Line Up   Neptune – Ceres – Mars

 End Line Up:

March 21 (17:45) – 24 (01:45), 2021 Triple Line Up    Mercury – Earth - Vesta

 Start Line Up:

March 24 (00:30) – April 8 (14:00), 2021 Triple Line Up   Neptune – Ceres – Mars

 

March 25, 2021

February 22 (04:00)- June 9 (09:15), 2021 Triple Line Up   Pluto – Saturn – Ceres

March 4 (21:30) – April 5 (01:15), 2021 Triple Line Up    Juno – Pallas - Chiron

March 20 (06:45) - 25 (12:15), 2021 Triple Line Up   Mars – Venus – Jupiter

March 20 (07:15) – April 3 (22:00), 2021: Opposition Vesta - Neptune  across the Sun

March 22 (22:15) – 29 (14:00), 2021: Opposition Venus - Earth  across the Sun

March 23 (17:30) – 25 (08:00), 2021: Opposition Mercury – Mars across the Sun

March 24 (00:30) – April 8 (14:00), 2021 Triple Line Up   Neptune – Ceres – Mars

March 25 (06:45) - 27 (16:45), 2021 Triple Line Up   Mercury – Venus – Uranus

 End Line Up:

March 20 (06:45) - 25 (12:15), 2021 Triple Line Up   Mars – Venus – Jupiter

March 23 (17:30) – 25 (08:00), 2021: Opposition Mercury – Mars across the Sun

 Start Line Up:

March 25 (06:45) - 27 (16:45), 2021 Triple Line Up   Mercury – Venus – Uranus

 

March 26, 2021

February 22 (04:00)- June 9 (09:15), 2021 Triple Line Up   Pluto – Saturn – Ceres

March 4 (21:30) – April 5 (01:15), 2021 Triple Line Up    Juno – Pallas - Chiron

March 20 (07:15) – April 3 (22:00), 2021: Opposition Vesta - Neptune  across the Sun

March 22 (22:15) – 29 (14:00), 2021: Opposition Venus - Earth  across the Sun

March 24 (00:30) – April 8 (14:00), 2021 Triple Line Up   Neptune – Ceres – Mars

March 25 (06:45) - 27 (16:45), 2021 Triple Line Up   Mercury – Venus – Uranus

March 26 (11:45) – April 17 (07:30), 2021 Triple Line Up   Uranus – Ceres – Juno

March 26 (12:45) – 27 (19:30), 2021: Conjunction Pluto - Mercury and the Sun

March 26 (23:00) – 29 (09:15), 2021: Conjunction Chiron – Venus and the Sun

Start Line Up:

March 26 (11:45) – April 17 (07:30), 2021 Triple Line Up   Uranus – Ceres – Juno

March 26 (12:45) – 27 (19:30), 2021: Conjunction Pluto - Mercury and the Sun

March 26 (23:00) – 29 (09:15), 2021: Conjunction Chiron – Venus and the Sun

 

March 27, 2021

February 22 (04:00)- June 9 (09:15), 2021 Triple Line Up   Pluto – Saturn – Ceres

March 4 (21:30) – April 5 (01:15), 2021 Triple Line Up    Juno – Pallas - Chiron

March 20 (07:15) – April 3 (22:00), 2021: Opposition Vesta - Neptune  across the Sun

March 22 (22:15) – 29 (14:00), 2021: Opposition Venus - Earth  across the Sun

March 24 (00:30) – April 8 (14:00), 2021 Triple Line Up   Neptune – Ceres – Mars

March 25 (06:45) - 27 (16:45), 2021 Triple Line Up   Mercury – Venus – Uranus

March 26 (11:45) – April 17 (07:30), 2021 Triple Line Up   Uranus – Ceres – Juno

March 26 (12:45) – 27 (19:30), 2021: Conjunction Pluto - Mercury and the Sun

March 26 (23:00) – 29 (09:15), 2021: Conjunction Chiron – Venus and the Sun

March 27 (03:30) – 30 (05:30), 2021 Triple Line Up   Chiron – Venus – Earth

March 27 (07:15) – 31l (09:15), 2021: Opposition Chiron - Earth  across the Sun

 End Line Up:

March 25 (06:45) - 27 (16:45), 2021 Triple Line Up   Mercury – Venus – Uranus

March 26 (12:45) – 27 (19:30), 2021: Conjunction Pluto - Mercury and the Sun

Start Line Up:

March 27 (03:30) – 30 (05:30), 2021 Triple Line Up   Chiron – Venus – Earth

March 27 (07:15) – 31l (09:15), 2021: Opposition Chiron - Earth  across the Sun

 

March 28, 2021

February 22 (04:00)- June 9 (09:15), 2021 Triple Line Up   Pluto – Saturn – Ceres

March 4 (21:30) – April 5 (01:15), 2021 Triple Line Up    Juno – Pallas - Chiron

March 20 (07:15) – April 3 (22:00), 2021: Opposition Vesta - Neptune  across the Sun

March 22 (22:15) – 29 (14:00), 2021: Opposition Venus - Earth  across the Sun

March 24 (00:30) – April 8 (14:00), 2021 Triple Line Up   Neptune – Ceres – Mars

March 26 (11:45) – April 17 (07:30), 2021 Triple Line Up   Uranus – Ceres – Juno

March 26 (23:00) – 29 (09:15), 2021: Conjunction Chiron – Venus and the Sun

March 27 (03:30) – 30 (05:30), 2021 Triple Line Up   Chiron – Venus – Earth

March 27 (07:15) – 31l (09:15), 2021: Opposition Chiron - Earth  across the Sun

March 28 (21:15) – April 6 (19:00), 2021 Triple Line Up    Pallas – Earth - Vesta

March 28 (23:00) - 31 (07:30), 2021 Triple Line Up   Earth – Mercury – Neptune

 Start Line Up:

March 28 (21:15) – April 6 (19:00), 2021 Triple Line Up    Pallas – Earth - Vesta

March 28 (23:00) - 31 (07:30), 2021 Triple Line Up   Earth – Mercury – Neptune

 

March 29, 2021

February 22 (04:00)- June 9 (09:15), 2021 Triple Line Up   Pluto – Saturn – Ceres

March 4 (21:30) – April 5 (01:15), 2021 Triple Line Up    Juno – Pallas - Chiron

March 20 (07:15) – April 3 (22:00), 2021: Opposition Vesta - Neptune  across the Sun

March 22 (22:15) – 29 (14:00), 2021: Opposition Venus - Earth  across the Sun

March 24 (00:30) – April 8 (14:00), 2021 Triple Line Up   Neptune – Ceres – Mars

March 26 (11:45) – April 17 (07:30), 2021 Triple Line Up   Uranus – Ceres – Juno

March 26 (23:00) – 29 (09:15), 2021: Conjunction Chiron – Venus and the Sun

March 27 (03:30) – 30 (05:30), 2021 Triple Line Up   Chiron – Venus – Earth

March 27 (07:15) – 31l (09:15), 2021: Opposition Chiron - Earth  across the Sun

March 28 (21:15) – April 6 (19:00), 2021 Triple Line Up    Pallas – Earth - Vesta

March 28 (23:00) - 31 (07:30), 2021 Triple Line Up   Earth – Mercury – Neptune

March 29 (08:30) – April 9 (10:00), 2021 Triple Line Up   Vesta – Mars – Uranus

 End Line Up:

March 22 (22:15) – 29 (14:00), 2021: Opposition Venus - Earth  across the Sun

March 26 (23:00) – 29 (09:15), 2021: Conjunction Chiron – Venus and the Sun

Start Line Up:

March 29 (08:30) – April 9 (10:00), 2021 Triple Line Up   Vesta – Mars – Uranus

 

March 30, 2021

February 22 (04:00)- June 9 (09:15), 2021 Triple Line Up   Pluto – Saturn – Ceres

March 4 (21:30) – April 5 (01:15), 2021 Triple Line Up    Juno – Pallas - Chiron

March 20 (07:15) – April 3 (22:00), 2021: Opposition Vesta - Neptune  across the Sun

March 24 (00:30) – April 8 (14:00), 2021 Triple Line Up   Neptune – Ceres – Mars

March 26 (11:45) – April 17 (07:30), 2021 Triple Line Up   Uranus – Ceres – Juno

March 27 (03:30) – 30 (05:30), 2021 Triple Line Up   Chiron – Venus – Earth

March 27 (07:15) – 31l (09:15), 2021: Opposition Chiron - Earth  across the Sun

March 28 (21:15) – April 6 (19:00), 2021 Triple Line Up    Pallas – Earth - Vesta

March 28 (23:00) - 31 (07:30), 2021 Triple Line Up   Earth – Mercury – Neptune

March 29 (08:30) – April 9 (10:00), 2021 Triple Line Up   Vesta – Mars – Uranus

March 30 (04:00) – 31 (08:15), 2021: Conjunction Saturn - Mercury and the Sun

March 30 (06:45) – April 3 (03:00), 2021 Triple Line Up   Pluto – Mercury – Mars

 

 

Edited by Patrick Geryl
Flare watch for alignments with Mercury
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We certainly seem to be seeing a more sustained period of sunspots - albeit at a relatively low level. At what (average) number of sunspots would you be ready to declare that we have reached the Terminator?

Are you suggesting in your last post that we should expect to see sunspots for the remainder of March?

Edited by 3gMike
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Op 16/3/2021 om 17:16, 3gMike zei:

We certainly seem to be seeing a more sustained period of sunspots - albeit at a relatively low level. At what (average) number of sunspots would you be ready to declare that we have reached the Terminator?

Are you suggesting in your last post that we should expect to see sunspots for the remainder of March?

The Terminator is related to the strength of sunspots and if there are no remaining sc 24 sunspots. Still sc 24 sunspots in high resolution:

https://www.solen.info/solar/

After the Terminator sunspot 2810 would for sure remain several months on the Sun. The polar fields are to weak to let it live that long now.

The new sunspots can have several formulas. I can only see a small part of the Farside, so it is hard to guess which is the right one.

I will be watching the new sunspot 2812...

Next ones:

March 22 (22:15)

March 20 (06:45) - 25 (12:15), 2021 Triple Line Up   Mars – Venus – Jupiter

March 17 (04:00) - 23 (13:45), 2021 Triple Line Up   Neptune – Venus – Vesta

March 20 (06:45) - 25 (12:15), 2021 Triple Line Up   Mars – Venus – Jupiter

March 21 (17:45) – 24 (01:45), 2021 Triple Line Up    Mercury – Earth - Vesta

March 20 (07:15) – April 3 (22:00), 2021: Opposition Vesta - Neptune  across the Sun

March 22 (22:15) – 29 (14:00), 2021: Opposition Venus - Earth  across the Sun

March 23 (17:30) – 25 (08:00), 2021: Opposition Mercury – Mars across the Sun

March 24 (00:30) – April 8 (14:00), 2021 Triple Line Up   Neptune – Ceres – Mars

 

March 26 (12:45)

March 25 (06:45) - 27 (16:45), 2021 Triple Line Up   Mercury – Venus – Uranus

March 25 (06:45) - 27 (16:45), 2021 Triple Line Up   Mercury – Venus – Uranus

March 26 (12:45) – 27 (19:30), 2021: Conjunction Pluto - Mercury and the Sun

March 26 (23:00) – 29 (09:15), 2021: Conjunction Chiron – Venus and the Sun

March 27 (03:30) – 30 (05:30), 2021 Triple Line Up   Chiron – Venus – Earth

March 27 (07:15) – 31l (09:15), 2021: Opposition Chiron - Earth  across the Sun

Edited by Patrick Geryl
Sunspots added
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On 23/3/2021 at 2:58, Patrick Geryl said:

 

El Terminator está relacionado con la fuerza de las manchas solares y si no quedan manchas solares sc 24. Still sc 24 manchas solares en alta resolución:

https://www.solen.info/solar/

Después de la mancha solar Terminator, 2810 seguramente permanecería varios meses en el sol. Los campos polares son demasiado débiles para permitirle vivir tanto tiempo ahora.

Las nuevas manchas solares pueden tener varias fórmulas. Solo puedo ver una pequeña parte del Farside, por lo que es difícil adivinar cuál es el correcto.

Estaré viendo la nueva mancha solar 2812 ...

Próximos:

22 de marzo (22:15)

20 de marzo (06:45) - 25 (12:15), 2021 Triple alineación    Marte - Venus - Júpiter

17 de marzo (04:00) - 23 (13:45), 2021 Triple alineación    Neptuno - Venus - Vesta

20 de marzo (06:45) - 25 (12:15), 2021 Triple alineación    Marte - Venus - Júpiter

21 de marzo (17:45) - 24 (01:45), 2021 Triple alineación     Mercurio - Tierra - Vesta

20 de marzo (07:15) - 3 de abril (22:00), 2021: Oposición Vesta - Neptuno a   través del Sol

22 de marzo (22:15) - 29 (14:00), 2021: Oposición Venus - Tierra a   través del Sol

23 de marzo (17:30) - 25 (08:00), 2021: Oposición Mercurio - Marte a través del Sol

24 de marzo (00:30) - 8 de abril (14:00), 2021 Triple Line Up    Neptune - Ceres - Marte

 

26 de marzo (12:45)

25 de marzo (06:45) - 27 (16:45), 2021 Triple alineación    Mercurio - Venus - Urano

25 de marzo (06:45) - 27 (16:45), 2021 Triple alineación    Mercurio - Venus - Urano

26 de marzo (12:45) - 27 (19:30), 2021: Conjunción Plutón - Mercurio y el Sol

26 de marzo (23:00) - 29 (09:15), 2021: Conjunción Quirón - Venus y el Sol

27 de marzo (03:30) - 30 (05:30), 2021 Triple alineación    Chiron - Venus - Tierra

27 de marzo (07:15) - 31l (09:15), 2021: Oposición Quirón - Tierra a   través del Sol

So there is still no sign, of a can happen the "terminator in my last days? also the "terminator" has to do with the position of the solar spot, in addition to strength, an example, in 2010 there was a magnetic pin to release a flare m or an isolated x, but the terminator happened later in 2011

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So Patrick, are you going to develop your technique and formulae to include probability as a useful metric? Right now, you don't distinguish between levels of confidence, i.e. no difference between 90% confidence in forecast vs 0.1% confidence.

I feel that it would greatly enhance your predictions, if you were to discover a solid method to measure the efficacy of every possible alignment, weigh them against each other, and attribute simple and shorthand values to describe the tenacity of a given alignment. I'm certain some planetary bodies are more conducive to sunspot formation than others, and it may be of time-saving value to not merely include every "non-zero chance" scenario.

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On 3/23/2021 at 2:58 AM, Patrick Geryl said:

 

The Terminator is related to the strength of sunspots and if there are no remaining sc 24 sunspots. Still sc 24 sunspots in high resolution:

https://www.solen.info/solar/

After the Terminator sunspot 2810 would for sure remain several months on the Sun. The polar fields are to weak to let it live that long now.

The new sunspots can have several formulas. I can only see a small part of the Farside, so it is hard to guess which is the right one.

I will be watching the new sunspot 2812...

Next ones:

March 22 (22:15)

March 20 (06:45) - 25 (12:15), 2021 Triple Line Up   Mars – Venus – Jupiter

March 17 (04:00) - 23 (13:45), 2021 Triple Line Up   Neptune – Venus – Vesta

March 20 (06:45) - 25 (12:15), 2021 Triple Line Up   Mars – Venus – Jupiter

March 21 (17:45) – 24 (01:45), 2021 Triple Line Up    Mercury – Earth - Vesta

March 20 (07:15) – April 3 (22:00), 2021: Opposition Vesta - Neptune  across the Sun

March 22 (22:15) – 29 (14:00), 2021: Opposition Venus - Earth  across the Sun

March 23 (17:30) – 25 (08:00), 2021: Opposition Mercury – Mars across the Sun

March 24 (00:30) – April 8 (14:00), 2021 Triple Line Up   Neptune – Ceres – Mars

 

March 26 (12:45)

March 25 (06:45) - 27 (16:45), 2021 Triple Line Up   Mercury – Venus – Uranus

March 25 (06:45) - 27 (16:45), 2021 Triple Line Up   Mercury – Venus – Uranus

March 26 (12:45) – 27 (19:30), 2021: Conjunction Pluto - Mercury and the Sun

March 26 (23:00) – 29 (09:15), 2021: Conjunction Chiron – Venus and the Sun

March 27 (03:30) – 30 (05:30), 2021 Triple Line Up   Chiron – Venus – Earth

March 27 (07:15) – 31l (09:15), 2021: Opposition Chiron - Earth  across the Sun

Hey Pratick, can I ask you if the "terminator" you said about manzo happened or the "terminator" hasn't happened yet?

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8 hours ago, Sss321 said:

So are you pretty much trying to come up with a solution to predict solar events. Cause I don’t really get the whole “terminator” or Planet Alignment situation. 

More or less. trying to figure these out means figuring out when the start of SC25 occurred.

Edited by Quilloz
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On 3/25/2021 at 7:43 AM, Christopher S. said:

So Patrick, are you going to develop your technique and formulae to include probability as a useful metric? Right now, you don't distinguish between levels of confidence, i.e. no difference between 90% confidence in forecast vs 0.1% confidence.

I feel that it would greatly enhance your predictions, if you were to discover a solid method to measure the efficacy of every possible alignment, weigh them against each other, and attribute simple and shorthand values to describe the tenacity of a given alignment. I'm certain some planetary bodies are more conducive to sunspot formation than others, and it may be of time-saving value to not merely include every "non-zero chance" scenario.

 

This is by far the most constructive thing I've seen suggested to Patrick. 

 

Nice observation Christopher!

 

 

Edited by Archmonoth
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Op 6/4/2021 om 18:03, Archmonoth zei:

So Patrick, are you going to develop your technique and formulae to include probability as a useful metric? Right now, you don't distinguish between levels of confidence, i.e. no difference between 90% confidence in forecast vs 0.1% confidence.

I feel that it would greatly enhance your predictions, if you were to discover a solid method to measure the efficacy of every possible alignment, weigh them against each other, and attribute simple and shorthand values to describe the tenacity of a given alignment. I'm certain some planetary bodies are more conducive to sunspot formation than others, and it may be of time-saving value to not merely include every "non-zero chance" scenario.

 

Well, it was not the STRENGTH of the alignment, but the strength of the polar fields that was the problem

Formula sunspot = strength polar field multiplied with strength sunspot.

Strength polar fields was very low the last months!

So after a long search I came to this conclusion. Strongest alignment that could lift the solar flux strong up and could induce the Terminator:

 

April 22 (06:15)

April 21 (11:30) – 24 (14:15), 2021 Triple Line Up    Uranus – Venus - Earth

April 15 (16:00) - 22 (07:15), 2021 Triple Line Up   Vesta – Venus – Chiron

April 22 (06:15) –  (18:30), 2021: Conjunction Venus - Mercury and the Sun

April 22 (15:00) - 28 (13:30), 2021 Triple Line Up   Vesta – Venus – Ceres

 

April 26 (08:00) – May 14 (01:45), 2021 Triple Line Up   Vesta – Mercury – Chiron

Unused

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8 hours ago, Patrick Geryl said:

 

Well, it was not the STRENGTH of the alignment, but the strength of the polar fields that was the problem

Formula sunspot = strength polar field multiplied with strength sunspot.

Strength polar fields was very low the last months!

So after a long search I came to this conclusion. Strongest alignment that could lift the solar flux strong up and could induce the Terminator:

 

April 22 (06:15)

April 21 (11:30) – 24 (14:15), 2021 Triple Line Up    Uranus – Venus - Earth

April 15 (16:00) - 22 (07:15), 2021 Triple Line Up   Vesta – Venus – Chiron

April 22 (06:15) –  (18:30), 2021: Conjunction Venus - Mercury and the Sun

April 22 (15:00) - 28 (13:30), 2021 Triple Line Up   Vesta – Venus – Ceres

 

April 26 (08:00) – May 14 (01:45), 2021 Triple Line Up   Vesta – Mercury – Chiron

Unused

 

This is great to see Patrick!

Christopher S was the original poster of the quote, but I share the sentiment.

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13 hours ago, Patrick Geryl said:

 

Well, it was not the STRENGTH of the alignment, but the strength of the polar fields that was the problem

Formula sunspot = strength polar field multiplied with strength sunspot.

Strength polar fields was very low the last months!

So after a long search I came to this conclusion. Strongest alignment that could lift the solar flux strong up and could induce the Terminator:

 

April 22 (06:15)

April 21 (11:30) – 24 (14:15), 2021 Triple Line Up    Uranus – Venus - Earth

April 15 (16:00) - 22 (07:15), 2021 Triple Line Up   Vesta – Venus – Chiron

April 22 (06:15) –  (18:30), 2021: Conjunction Venus - Mercury and the Sun

April 22 (15:00) - 28 (13:30), 2021 Triple Line Up   Vesta – Venus – Ceres

 

April 26 (08:00) – May 14 (01:45), 2021 Triple Line Up   Vesta – Mercury – Chiron

Unused

Patrick, I am confused. You are suggesting that polar fields were low in the last months, but the solen website says that they will reduce  to a minimum (and reverse polarity) at sunspot maximum. https://www.solen.info/solar/polarfields/polar.html

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15 uren geleden, Jesterface23 zei:

In previous weeks or months how strong has the polar field been given as values?

 

We have absolute proof that the polar fields are in phase.

 We explained that already for the axial dipole field:

Up until now only a basic formula has been presented for the axial dipole field. However, if we delve deeper into the issue, we find that there are 2 solutions for the problem, just like matter and anti-matter exist, the axial dipole field can be in phase or in anti-phase.
 https://www.researchgate.net/publication/333445984_2_Solutions_for_the_Axial_Dipole_Field_In_Phase_and_in_Anti-Phase [accessed Apr 10 2021].

In the same manner we find that the highest polar field strength in absolute value in the ascending or descending phase is correlated to the strength of the sunspot cycle.

https://www.researchgate.net/publication/348686960_Polar_Field_Strength_107_cm_Solar_Radio_Flux

 Normally the Terminator should have happened in March. However the absolute value of the Northern field reached 70 and not 74 as demanded in our theory. After that value it declined in strength to 50 in March (latest value March 16). The same for the Southern field. They both weakened. The Southern went from 75 in September to 26 on March 16). That is the reason why the solar flux is so low. 

8 uren geleden, 3gMike zei:

Patrick, I am confused. You are suggesting that polar fields were low in the last months, but the solen website says that they will reduce  to a minimum (and reverse polarity) at sunspot maximum. https://www.solen.info/solar/polarfields/polar.html

See above explanation. It is linear so you can do the math.

Here i explain the Terminator:

https://www.researchgate.net/publication/348917424_Relating_the_Polar_Magnetic_Fields_to_the_Onset_of_Solar_Cycle_25_and_a_Significant_X-Class_Flare_Event

And here the sunspot theory:

https://www.researchgate.net/publication/348917006_Electromagnetic_Waves_and_Massive_X-Class_Flares

Edited by Patrick Geryl
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On 4/10/2021 at 3:11 AM, Patrick Geryl said:

 

We have absolute proof that the polar fields are in phase.

 We explained that already for the axial dipole field:

Up until now only a basic formula has been presented for the axial dipole field. However, if we delve deeper into the issue, we find that there are 2 solutions for the problem, just like matter and anti-matter exist, the axial dipole field can be in phase or in anti-phase.
 https://www.researchgate.net/publication/333445984_2_Solutions_for_the_Axial_Dipole_Field_In_Phase_and_in_Anti-Phase [accessed Apr 10 2021].

In the same manner we find that the highest polar field strength in absolute value in the ascending or descending phase is correlated to the strength of the sunspot cycle.

https://www.researchgate.net/publication/348686960_Polar_Field_Strength_107_cm_Solar_Radio_Flux

 Normally the Terminator should have happened in March. However the absolute value of the Northern field reached 70 and not 74 as demanded in our theory. After that value it declined in strength to 50 in March (latest value March 16). The same for the Southern field. They both weakened. The Southern went from 75 in September to 26 on March 16). That is the reason why the solar flux is so low. 

See above explanation. It is linear so you can do the math.

Here i explain the Terminator:

https://www.researchgate.net/publication/348917424_Relating_the_Polar_Magnetic_Fields_to_the_Onset_of_Solar_Cycle_25_and_a_Significant_X-Class_Flare_Event

And here the sunspot theory:

https://www.researchgate.net/publication/348917006_Electromagnetic_Waves_and_Massive_X-Class_Flares

So the theory failed in manzo, it means that there cannot be a super call x100 in June or July, right?

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12 hours ago, Isatsuki San said:

So the theory failed in manzo, it means that there cannot be a super call x100 in June or July, right?

As of the information we have right now, there is too small of a chance of a super flare to even be worth a discussion about it. It sounds big and scary, it's just not a feasible thing that is going to happen - at least not in our lifetimes, I'm pretty sure. Maybe next cycle things will be a little more explosive, but that gives us plenty of time to do some independent research and refine prediction techniques.

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7 hours ago, Christopher S. said:

A partir de la información que tenemos en este momento, hay muy pocas posibilidades de que se produzca un superbrote como para que valga la pena discutirlo. Suena grande y aterrador, simplemente no es algo factible que suceda, al menos no en nuestras vidas, estoy bastante seguro. Tal vez el próximo ciclo las cosas sean un poco más explosivas, pero eso nos da mucho tiempo para hacer una investigación independiente y refinar las técnicas de predicción.

You are really right there is very little probability that this will happen, also I only asked about the theory of pratick geryl, nothing else I am sorry if my question scared someone

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Op 10/4/2021 om 23:33, Jesterface23 zei:

So in short, your sunspot predictions currently use future polar field predictions?

I don't know them, so that is a major problem. The last values are from March 26. The northern field was still weakening then...  Southern growing stronger again...

Currently there are only 4 alignments:

February 22 (04:00)- June 9 (09:15), 2021 Triple Line Up   Pluto – Saturn – Ceres 
April 15 (16:00) - 22 (07:15), 2021 Triple Line Up   Vesta – Venus – Chiron
April 15 (19:15) – 18 (05:30), 2021: Conjunction Uranus - Venus and the Sun
April 18 (15:15) – 19 (11:45), 2021: Opposition Mercury - Earth  across the Sun

Sunspot 2816 is still visible, while the active alignments are barely active.

Important conclusion:

The southern field is unusual active. This can only mean that the TERMINATOR has been reached for the southern field...

The formula for the farside sunspot with the CME is the following:

April 15 (19:15)

April 15 (16:00) - 22 (07:15), 2021 Triple Line Up   Vesta – Venus – Chiron

March 26 (11:45) – April 17 (07:30), 2021 Triple Line Up   Uranus – Ceres – Juno

April 15 (19:15) – 18 (05:30), 2021: Conjunction Uranus - Venus and the Sun

April 16 (23:15) – 17 (15:45), 2021: Conjunction Ceres - Mercury and the Sun
 

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2 uren geleden, SFx zei:

So, is this good or bad that we reached this “Terminator”?

First: astronomers are not so fast to say it has happened. The same was with my theory concerning the start of a new sunspot cycle. NASA thought in December 2019 it was months away, while it already happened!

https://www.researchgate.net/publication/342766380_A_Formula_for_the_Start_of_a_New_Sunspot_Cycle

 

Second: this has to happen today, but I don't know if it is on the Farside or on the Earthside

April 20 (17:00)

April 20 (16:30) - 24 (19:00), 2021 Triple Line Up   Mars – Mercury – Jupiter

April 20 (17:00) – 21 (09:15), 2021: Conjunction Uranus - Mercury and the Sun

 

Third:

The expected sunspot from April 22 has X flare potential:

 

April 22 (06:15)

April 21 (11:30) – 24 (14:15), 2021 Triple Line Up    Uranus – Venus - Earth

April 15 (16:00) - 22 (07:15), 2021 Triple Line Up   Vesta – Venus – Chiron

April 22 (06:15) –  (18:30), 2021: Conjunction Venus - Mercury and the Sun

April 22 (15:00) - 28 (13:30), 2021 Triple Line Up   Vesta – Venus – Ceres

 

April 23 (09:00) - 25 (04:30), 2021 Triple Line Up   Uranus – Mercury – Earth

Unused

 

April 26 (08:00) – May 14 (01:45), 2021 Triple Line Up   Vesta – Mercury – Chiron

Unused

 

Fourth:

Sunspot 2817 is way stronger then expected

Conclusion: the Northern field has reached the Terminator!

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5 hours ago, Patrick Geryl said:

First: astronomers are not so fast to say it has happened. The same was with my theory concerning the start of a new sunspot cycle. NASA thought in December 2019 it was months away, while it already happened!

https://www.researchgate.net/publication/342766380_A_Formula_for_the_Start_of_a_New_Sunspot_Cycle

 

Second: this has to happen today, but I don't know if it is on the Farside or on the Earthside

April 20 (17:00)

April 20 (16:30) - 24 (19:00), 2021 Triple Line Up   Mars – Mercury – Jupiter

April 20 (17:00) – 21 (09:15), 2021: Conjunction Uranus - Mercury and the Sun

 

Third:

The expected sunspot from April 22 has X flare potential:

 

April 22 (06:15)

April 21 (11:30) – 24 (14:15), 2021 Triple Line Up    Uranus – Venus - Earth

April 15 (16:00) - 22 (07:15), 2021 Triple Line Up   Vesta – Venus – Chiron

April 22 (06:15) –  (18:30), 2021: Conjunction Venus - Mercury and the Sun

April 22 (15:00) - 28 (13:30), 2021 Triple Line Up   Vesta – Venus – Ceres

 

April 23 (09:00) - 25 (04:30), 2021 Triple Line Up   Uranus – Mercury – Earth

Unused

 

April 26 (08:00) – May 14 (01:45), 2021 Triple Line Up   Vesta – Mercury – Chiron

Unused

 

Fourth:

Sunspot 2817 is way stronger then expected

Conclusion: the Northern field has reached the Terminator!

Hey, and in conclusion with your theory, then if that is going to happen between June or July, what did you say or not? What happens to that part of the theory in conjunction with that, what happens? Patrick Geril

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Op 20/4/2021 om 14:39, Isatsuki San zei:

Hey, and in conclusion with your theory, then if that is going to happen between June or July, what did you say or not? What happens to that part of the theory in conjunction with that, what happens? Patrick Geril

First we watch the new sunspot with X flare potential:

I think it started yesterday by splitting of from sunspot 2816. The Triple Uranus – Venus - Earth activated it on April 21 in the afternoon.

We will know tomorrow or at the latest on April 24. Otherwise we have to wait a day to see on the GONG farside image if a strong sunspot appears there. My guess is that it has >X5 potential.

April 22 (06:15)

April 21 (11:30) – 24 (14:15), 2021 Triple Line Up    Uranus – Venus - Earth

April 15 (16:00) - 22 (07:15), 2021 Triple Line Up   Vesta – Venus – Chiron

April 22 (06:15) –  (18:30), 2021: Conjunction Venus - Mercury and the Sun

April 22 (15:00) - 28 (13:30), 2021 Triple Line Up   Vesta – Venus – Ceres

 

April 23 (09:00) - 25 (04:30), 2021 Triple Line Up   Uranus – Mercury – Earth

Unused

 

April 26 (08:00) – May 14 (01:45), 2021 Triple Line Up   Vesta – Mercury – Chiron

Unused

 

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