Jump to content

Featured Replies

  • Replies 487
  • Views 70.5k
  • Created
  • Last Reply

Top Posters In This Topic

Most Popular Posts

  • Marcel de Bont
    Marcel de Bont

    This region is really interesting. Complex and facing Earth right now with a solid potential for a large flare. It has the ingredients for fireworks. Exciting!  

  • Philalethes
    Philalethes

    I just checked the unsigned flux for this region again (here), and it has increased to 8.3e+22 Mx now, which is closer to the upper part of the moderate range identified in the paper on magnetic cagin

  • no to anyone who is interested: I am alive and well after the incident in Moscow

Posted Images

New flare in progress from the region!! M4 at the moment 

About to reach X 😎

And finally stopped at M 7.4

Edited by Ester89
Spelling mistake

  • Popular Post

Yes, looks like maxed out at M7.4.

P.S. Looks impulsive and from first glance at imagery, I don't see any material moving, so likely no CME or very small one.

1000058187.thumb.jpg.13e88be329c820a84807772603f1b5b1.jpg

Edited by MeteoLatvia

Good Morning. 
 

Another strong M-Class from this region! Since it was quiet for so long besides a M1.2 I thought it lost its power.  Looking at the Intensigram it still has the Delta from yesterday. ☺️

  • Popular Post
2 hours ago, MinYoongi said:

https://gyazo.com/9a02b89e5839abe860e6ea919b0225ff

Its very hard for me to tell which one of the sunspots is still part of the red. i think it might need a bit more traveling for it to allign better on imagery.

Here's a gif with some arrows drawn in, if it helps:

imageedit-3-8822756675.gif

50 minutes ago, Philalethes said:

Here's a gif with some arrows drawn in, if it helps:

imageedit-3-8822756675.gif

a lot :) thank you. i was unsure if the middle spot was a negative or positive.

  • Popular Post
2 minutes ago, MinYoongi said:

https://gyazo.com/ae3b665e1e19ce1c2d17148bde1037eb

 

I think its decaying a bit? @mozy

 

despite, it still produced an M1. flare right now :) (i think) 

Yeah decaying a tad, this flare came from the small delta area in the southern part of the region, but as long as the overall coverage doesn't just start decaying then It's fine, more spots will hopefully keep growing while others decay.

In the last 12 hours, the region seems to start growing more quickly, especially in the southern part. I now see at least 3 deltas. They are very small so come and go, but still.

Screenshot-2024-03-22-0751599.thumb.jpg.8aafd0804caa3dd67795a087d40cfdb5.jpg

49 minutes ago, MeteoLatvia said:

In the last 12 hours, the region seems to start growing more quickly, especially in the southern part. I now see at least 3 deltas. They are very small so come and go, but still.

Screenshot-2024-03-22-0751599.thumb.jpg.8aafd0804caa3dd67795a087d40cfdb5.jpg

If we are talking about the same deltas I think I see them in both polarities on the most current pics. 
The next SWPC update will definitely be interesting. 

15 minutes ago, hamateur 1953 said:

If we are talking about the same deltas I think I see them in both polarities on the most current pics. 
The next SWPC update will definitely be interesting. 

Why? 
☺️ and good morning guys. 

Just now, MinYoongi said:

Why? 
☺️ and good morning guys. 

Good morning. This region has grown substantially and @MeteoLatvia is correct. I think see four deltas if not more now. And in BOTH polarities as well. I don’t recall ever seeing that so far this cycle, although it likely may have occurred. 

1 hour ago, hamateur 1953 said:

Good morning. This region has grown substantially and @MeteoLatvia is correct. I think see four deltas if not more now. And in BOTH polarities as well. I don’t recall ever seeing that so far this cycle, although it likely may have occurred. 

Can you maybe show me where you see the four? I just had a look and comparing intensigram with magnetograms I see 2 very clearly, 1 really tiny. The fourth you mentioned must be like Waldo :D I can’t find it, haha

I will check again @MinYoongi  I don’t use gyazzo or the cool stuff @Philalethes does however.  It is also possible that the other two in the positive region currently being infiltrated by the two Neg deltas has changed again.  @MeteoLatvia noted the dynamics of this region already I think I recall. Backinabit   Yep, they are still there.  I also looked at our 131 ang most recent and this entire region certainly stands out now.  Hopefully development  continues before LOD. The lower portion of this region as @MeteoLatvia indicates has the most developed area and seems hottest magnetically though I am certainly no expert.  Try zooming in for the northern region. You will see the small deltas then. 

Edited by hamateur 1953

Well the spots have nearly doubled since last count, however I probably am mistaken or a delta or two died in last hour. In either event, it seems like it should be doing more than it is presently: only a few lower Cs to its credit.  Hmmmm

There's definitely some complexity brewing in this region, especially in the lower part. Wouldn't surprise me at all to see more flaring from it.

11 minutes ago, Davbit said:

Impressive development. 
Surely gonna start flaring soon, yeah. 

Screenshot (322).jpeg

WOW. The region just exploded in size and spots overnight. That is what I like to see. I have a feeling we’re in for something huge soon.

I hope this is the one to finally give us our deserved CMEs. It looks really promising

Create an account or sign in to comment

Important Information

We have placed cookies on your device to help make this website better. You can adjust your cookie settings, otherwise we'll assume you're okay to continue. By using this site, you also agree to our Terms of Use and our Privacy Policy.

Configure browser push notifications

Chrome (Android)
  1. Tap the lock icon next to the address bar.
  2. Tap Permissions → Notifications.
  3. Adjust your preference.
Chrome (Desktop)
  1. Click the padlock icon in the address bar.
  2. Select Site settings.
  3. Find Notifications and adjust your preference.