SpaceWeather5464 Posted July 17, 2023 Share Posted July 17, 2023 This flare is acting weird but when it's done that will be one fast CME. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tniickck Posted July 17, 2023 Author Share Posted July 17, 2023 oooooof hot Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEAurora Posted July 18, 2023 Share Posted July 18, 2023 Whooo buddy, that’s gonna be one nice looking cme, too bad it’s on the limb. Sigh. It’s always the one on the limb. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tniickck Posted July 18, 2023 Author Share Posted July 18, 2023 it acts really strange just grows slowly 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SpaceWeather5464 Posted July 18, 2023 Share Posted July 18, 2023 2 minutes ago, tniickck said: it acts really strange just grows slowly It's like the flare wants to be a X class flare but it can't lol. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tniickck Posted July 18, 2023 Author Share Posted July 18, 2023 2 minutes ago, SpaceWeather5464 said: It's like the flare wants to be a X class flare but it can't lol. poor flare XD 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Philalethes Posted July 18, 2023 Share Posted July 18, 2023 12 minutes ago, NEAurora said: Whooo buddy, that’s gonna be one nice looking cme, too bad it’s on the limb. Sigh. It’s always the one on the limb. At around 70-75W it's within the bounds of potential geoeffectiveness depending on what the eruption looks like, especially for fast eruptions; eagerly awaiting coronagrams as usual. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesterface23 Posted July 18, 2023 Share Posted July 18, 2023 At least a glancing blow of a CME wouldn't be out of the question. Hopefully the coronagraph imagery gets back up and running as normal to see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEAurora Posted July 18, 2023 Share Posted July 18, 2023 2 minutes ago, Philalethes said: At around 70-75W it's within the bounds of potential geoeffectiveness depending on what the eruption looks like, especially for fast eruptions; eagerly awaiting coronagrams as usual. I’ll also note, it’s a remarkably long duration event that is still on going. Maybe it will just keep going until it rotates around again in august 😁 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesterface23 Posted July 18, 2023 Share Posted July 18, 2023 4 minutes ago, Philalethes said: At around 70-75W it's within the bounds of potential geoeffectiveness depending on what the eruption looks like We're at around 80 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Philalethes Posted July 18, 2023 Share Posted July 18, 2023 4 minutes ago, Jesterface23 said: We're at around 80 Looks closer to 70-75 in the latest images I have from SDO (17T23:45Z). With a live grid based on the actual orientation overlaid: SWL also has it listed at 73W, which seems to correspond fairly well to this. It can be hard to distinguish at such extreme longitudes on the visible disc, but 80°+ is really extremely close to the edge in comparison; and the current tilt towards us also makes longitudes look even closer to the edge. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tniickck Posted July 18, 2023 Author Share Posted July 18, 2023 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesterface23 Posted July 18, 2023 Share Posted July 18, 2023 10 minutes ago, Philalethes said: Looks closer to 70-75 in the latest images I have from SDO (17T23:45Z). With a live grid based on the actual orientation overlaid: I guess meeting in the middle at 75 heh. The imagery is around different layers, so some is close and some further. This is at least the flare prior, then the next engulfed it. The edge of 90, the next is 75 and so on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mozy Posted July 18, 2023 Share Posted July 18, 2023 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesterface23 Posted July 18, 2023 Share Posted July 18, 2023 SOHO's C3 imagery's date isn't :00Z as well, so fingers crossed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MinYoongi Posted July 18, 2023 Share Posted July 18, 2023 4 minutes ago, mozy said: Glancing Blow? or nothing? @Philalethes 28 minutes ago, Philalethes said: Looks closer to 70-75 in the latest images I have from SDO (17T23:45Z). With a live grid based on the actual orientation overlaid: SWL also has it listed at 73W, which seems to correspond fairly well to this. It can be hard to distinguish at such extreme longitudes on the visible disc, but 80°+ is really extremely close to the edge in comparison; and the current tilt towards us also makes longitudes look even closer to the edge. i thought its a bit optimistic but im not sure if its earth directed or not Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesterface23 Posted July 18, 2023 Share Posted July 18, 2023 Nice and eruptive, so far beyond 180 degrees, 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MinYoongi Posted July 18, 2023 Share Posted July 18, 2023 Just now, Jesterface23 said: Nice and eruptive, so far beyond 180 degrees, so glancing blow possible? i saw the imagery from mozy there but im not sure my guess would be bulk missing and shockwave graze ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesterface23 Posted July 18, 2023 Share Posted July 18, 2023 Just now, MinYoongi said: so glancing blow possible? i saw the imagery from mozy there but im not sure my guess would be bulk missing and shockwave graze ? Yeah, a glancing blow is possible. I think the only way we'd get a bulk hit from a CME that far away is if it was a really good filament eruption. Currently we don't have enough coronagraph imagery to look at yet to see what is coming at us. ....... And woo, SOHO's C3 imagery is back to normal Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MinYoongi Posted July 18, 2023 Share Posted July 18, 2023 2 minutes ago, Jesterface23 said: Yeah, a glancing blow is possible. I think the only way we'd get a bulk hit from a CME that far away is if it was a really good filament eruption. Currently we don't have enough coronagraph imagery to look at yet to see what is coming at us. But isnt there imagery already? and you can see on Suvi/SDO that it flings western.. i hate the waiting game! hehe "EIT wave in SUVI 195 crosses the central meridian, probably a small Earth-directed component." i dont think its a bulk hit 4 minutes ago, Jesterface23 said: And woo, SOHO's C3 imagery is back to normal nice Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Xavier Stanton Posted July 18, 2023 Share Posted July 18, 2023 (edited) The C3 imagery makes me think it's not that fast. It actually looks slower than some of the other CMEs I've seen this year with the bulk of it moving southwest. But then again, I'm not good with estimating CME speed. Edited July 18, 2023 by Xavier Stanton N/A Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MinYoongi Posted July 18, 2023 Share Posted July 18, 2023 this doesnt looks like it really crossed that much into central meridan? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesterface23 Posted July 18, 2023 Share Posted July 18, 2023 3 minutes ago, MinYoongi said: this doesnt looks like it really crossed that much into central meridan? I there is a CH hidden somewhere there in the west-central disk that is blocking some of it. We are currently in the HSS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MinYoongi Posted July 18, 2023 Share Posted July 18, 2023 Just now, Jesterface23 said: I there is a CH hidden somewhere there in the west-central disk that is blocking some of it. We are currently in the HSS. Ah, thank you. didnt notice the CH. Hm, i dont know what to think/hope for now in regards to the cme Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isatsuki San Posted July 18, 2023 Share Posted July 18, 2023 9 minutes ago, MinYoongi said: ¿Esto no parece que realmente cruzó tanto hacia el centro de Méridan? From my point of view, the only thing that comes from the CME is a weak and not very noticeable part, most of the eruption went into space. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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