MinYoongi Posted January 14, 2023 Share Posted January 14, 2023 6 minutes ago, mozy said: One could hope so you tend to a nope? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mozy Posted January 14, 2023 Share Posted January 14, 2023 5 minutes ago, SunspotRager93 said: Is this common to happen? What I mean is like does a region flare and then flare again like how it is right now? Is that common? It occurs often, one event triggers another area in the region. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solarflaretracker200 Posted January 14, 2023 Share Posted January 14, 2023 Well, it looks like it's slowly falling back down Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MinYoongi Posted January 14, 2023 Share Posted January 14, 2023 1 minute ago, Solarflaretracker200 said: Well, it looks like it's slowly falling back down yes but its only going down really really slowly. also the speed is getting slower. is this normal with long flares? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solarflaretracker200 Posted January 14, 2023 Share Posted January 14, 2023 Just now, MinYoongi said: is this normal with long flares? Well, I think. To be honest, I don't know. I haven't been watching as much as used to (but I am going to start watching solar activity more) ,but maybe 🤷♀️ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesterface23 Posted January 14, 2023 Share Posted January 14, 2023 (edited) Yay, sparky finally launched. Now to see if it is a good CME. Edited January 14, 2023 by Jesterface23 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MinYoongi Posted January 14, 2023 Share Posted January 14, 2023 Just now, Jesterface23 said: Yay, sparky finally launched. Now to see it it is a good CME. It launches to the right (west) as far as i can see and the region is not in a good position anyways if anyone has a clue as to why the ramp down is getting slower and slower please let me know. I'm currently often reading papers and read a book about sunspots but there are still things to learn 🙂 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hamateur 1953 Posted January 14, 2023 Share Posted January 14, 2023 We all still have things to learn. Forshore! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SpaceWeather5464 Posted January 14, 2023 Share Posted January 14, 2023 Look at SDO AIA 211 the CME is launched at us yes. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MinYoongi Posted January 14, 2023 Share Posted January 14, 2023 5 minutes ago, SpaceWeather5464 said: Look at SDO AIA 211 the CME is launched at us yes. i have to disagree it clearly launches to the west Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesterface23 Posted January 14, 2023 Share Posted January 14, 2023 It's not pointed directly at us, but it is in a reasonable position and if it is large enough it may impact us. We just don't even know the size or speed yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SpaceWeather5464 Posted January 14, 2023 Share Posted January 14, 2023 1 minute ago, MinYoongi said: i have to disagree it clearly launches to the west As CME's leave the sun they grow bigger we could get some parts of that CME on our way i hope. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MinYoongi Posted January 14, 2023 Share Posted January 14, 2023 1 minute ago, Jesterface23 said: It's not pointed directly at us, but it is in a reasonable position and if it is large enough it may impact us. We just don't even know the size or speed yet. i agree with you but how can it in any way impact us when its not only in a bad position but also the ejecta seems strongly to go to the west? i try to make a loop gif 3 minutes ago, SpaceWeather5464 said: As CME's leave the sun they grow bigger we could get some parts of that CME on our way i hope. understandable now its starting to ramp down slightly faster. before only 0,4 - 0,6 per minute. now up to 0,30 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesterface23 Posted January 14, 2023 Share Posted January 14, 2023 12 minutes ago, MinYoongi said: i agree with you but how can it in any way impact us when its not only in a bad position but also the ejecta seems strongly to go to the west? i try to make a loop gif These are different major events, but we've been hit by CMEs that have launched from the limb of the Sun. So all we can do is wait for coronagraph imagery. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Vancanneyt Sander Posted January 14, 2023 Share Posted January 14, 2023 56 minuten geleden, MinYoongi zei: i have to disagree it clearly launches to the west Never forget the Parker spiral effect too 😉 M4.6 was a somewhat long duration event so there’s good hope for a descent CME. Looks like there is some coronal dimming and some ejects to be seen. But as usual waiting for LASCO imagery for the CME trajectory. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MinYoongi Posted January 14, 2023 Share Posted January 14, 2023 5 minutes ago, Vancanneyt Sander said: Never forget the Parker spiral effect too 😉 M4.6 was a somewhat long duration event so there’s good hope for a descent CME. Looks like there is some coronal dimming and some ejects to be seen. But as usual waiting for LASCO imagery for the CME trajectory. There is some Lasco imagery up to 21:24 but nothing visible there. i asked Dr.Skov a while ago and she said the parker spiral effect doesnt apply to CME's. Only Protons Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Vancanneyt Sander Posted January 14, 2023 Share Posted January 14, 2023 1 minuut geleden, MinYoongi zei: There is some Lasco imagery up to 21:24 but nothing visible there. That’s bit too early to see. 1 minuut geleden, MinYoongi zei: i asked Dr.Skov a while ago and she said the parker spiral effect doesnt apply to CME's. Only Protons Well a CME will indeed push through the spiral but particles can still go along the flow and reach earth. Not only solar protons. For example the CME of the X28 on the western limb did have a flank impact on Earth! If it was on the eastern limb it would likely not have reached Earth as it’s against the flow of the Parker spiral. Just to say that regions don’t have to be Center disk, even if they’re moving to the western limb there’s still chance. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MinYoongi Posted January 14, 2023 Share Posted January 14, 2023 a faint CME begins to show Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Vancanneyt Sander Posted January 14, 2023 Share Posted January 14, 2023 @MinYoongia visual representation of what I explained: 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MinYoongi Posted January 14, 2023 Share Posted January 14, 2023 5 minutes ago, Vancanneyt Sander said: @MinYoongia visual representation of what I explained: Thank you. I always struggle with those Charts though so i have to stare at it for a couple more minutes ! Will you guys keep us updated through a news article or in the forum regarding CME impact? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Vancanneyt Sander Posted January 14, 2023 Share Posted January 14, 2023 1 minuut geleden, MinYoongi zei: Will you guys keep us updated through a news article or in the forum regarding CME impact? If it’s earthbounded we likely make a news item but that will be tomorrow after some good night rest 😜 LASCO will then be complete 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesterface23 Posted January 14, 2023 Share Posted January 14, 2023 There is a small first CME and the 2nd main CME. Eh, it just looks really slow. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sam Warfel Posted January 14, 2023 Share Posted January 14, 2023 Can’t wait for the new coronagraph next year! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MinYoongi Posted January 14, 2023 Share Posted January 14, 2023 1 minute ago, Jesterface23 said: There is a small first CME and the 2nd main CME. Eh, it just looks really slow. what do you think about the CMES? Cannibal maybe? for everyone else interested in updates : https://twitter.com/SolarHam/status/1614403275389894656 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sam Warfel Posted January 14, 2023 Share Posted January 14, 2023 45 minutes ago, MinYoongi said: i asked Dr.Skov a while ago and she said the parker spiral effect doesnt apply to CME's. Only Protons Perhaps it’s not called the Parker Spiral strictly speaking, but anything launched from the sun should exhibit some spiraling motion, as the sun spins. The faster the launched material, the less pronounced. For example, CMEs faster than the solar wind exhibit less spiraling than the solar wind, but should still spiral some 3 minutes ago, MinYoongi said: what do you think about the CMES? Cannibal maybe? for everyone else interested in updates : https://twitter.com/SolarHam/status/1614403275389894656 Doesn’t look great, but it is still early 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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