Isatsuki San Posted July 22, 2022 Share Posted July 22, 2022 for me it will reach 2 utc or 4 utc 30 minutes ago, MinYoongi said: ¿Cómo es eso? ¿TIENE que ir más alto/pico? ¡Creo que está pronosticado para alrededor de la medianoche UTC , que es muy pronto! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MinYoongi Posted July 22, 2022 Author Share Posted July 22, 2022 2 minutes ago, Isatsuki San said: for me it will reach 2 utc or 4 utc u think? how do you come to that conclusion? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Flareguy18 Posted July 22, 2022 Share Posted July 22, 2022 38 minutes ago, MinYoongi said: how so? does it HAS to go higher/peak? I think its forecasted for around Midnight UTC which is very soon! It doesn't necessarily have to go much higher. It could be peaking soon which would coincide with CME arrival. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MinYoongi Posted July 23, 2022 Author Share Posted July 23, 2022 4 minutes ago, Flareguy18 said: It doesn't necessarily have to go much higher. It could be peaking soon which would coincide with CME arrival. would be right on prediction then, right? What do you think? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isatsuki San Posted July 23, 2022 Share Posted July 23, 2022 10 minutes ago, MinYoongi said: u think? how do you come to that conclusion? Well, my conclusion is the epam that I do not see a speed or an arrival of a cme so I calculate that it will take 2 hours later than expected or 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MinYoongi Posted July 23, 2022 Author Share Posted July 23, 2022 4 minutes ago, Isatsuki San said: Well, my conclusion is the epam that I do not see a speed or an arrival of a cme so I calculate that it will take 2 hours later than expected or 4 Hmm, but didnt others say it doesnt has to get higher? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isatsuki San Posted July 23, 2022 Share Posted July 23, 2022 1 minute ago, MinYoongi said: Hmm, but didnt others say it doesnt has to get higher? well yes for that reason 6 minutes ago, MinYoongi said: Hmm, but didnt others say it doesnt has to get higher? how slow it goes up I guess it will take the cme Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sam Warfel Posted July 23, 2022 Share Posted July 23, 2022 11 minutes ago, MinYoongi said: Hmm, but didnt others say it doesnt has to get higher? Not necessarily Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesterface23 Posted July 23, 2022 Share Posted July 23, 2022 The EPAM may have started its rise, so maybe an arrival any time from now to the next 8 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MinYoongi Posted July 23, 2022 Author Share Posted July 23, 2022 6 minutes ago, Jesterface23 said: The EPAM may have started its rise, so maybe an arrival any time from now to the next 8 hours. 29 minutes ago, Orneno said: Not necessarily cool, thank you. the earlier the more geomagnetic storming to expect, right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesterface23 Posted July 23, 2022 Share Posted July 23, 2022 2 minutes ago, MinYoongi said: the earlier the more geomagnetic storming to expect, right? The faster, the better the odds are. The max velocities from an arrival right now could be around 700km/s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MinYoongi Posted July 23, 2022 Author Share Posted July 23, 2022 7 minutes ago, Jesterface23 said: The faster, the better the odds are. The max velocities from an arrival right now could be around 700km/s. oh, i thought faster. damn. i still remember an 800+ Coronal Hole windstream Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Flareguy18 Posted July 23, 2022 Share Posted July 23, 2022 Quite a sharp rise now in EPAM, we must be getting very close! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MinYoongi Posted July 23, 2022 Author Share Posted July 23, 2022 9 minutes ago, Flareguy18 said: Quite a sharp rise now in EPAM, we must be getting very close! nice since its 2hrs "late" (take late with a grain of salt since we cannot pinpoint arrival) how fast do you think it could be and is G2 still in the cards? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sam Warfel Posted July 23, 2022 Share Posted July 23, 2022 43 minutes ago, MinYoongi said: still remember an 800+ Coronal Hole windstream I’m sorry, WHAT?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Flareguy18 Posted July 23, 2022 Share Posted July 23, 2022 1 minute ago, MinYoongi said: nice since its 2hrs "late" (take late with a grain of salt since we cannot pinpoint arrival) how fast do you think it could be and is G2 still in the cards? G2 is definitely still in the cards! I think the assessment remains unchanged, G1-G2 is expected tonight with a chance for G3. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MinYoongi Posted July 23, 2022 Author Share Posted July 23, 2022 1 minute ago, Orneno said: I’m sorry, WHAT?? mustve been august or september 2019. G2-G1 storming for 2 days (on and off) I think you can search the archive for it! One of my favorite space weather youtubers (not fearmongering) even featured it in a stream after i reminded him about it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sam Warfel Posted July 23, 2022 Share Posted July 23, 2022 I would think it would have to be like 6 or 8 hours late to lower the geomagnetic storm prediction by much Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MinYoongi Posted July 23, 2022 Author Share Posted July 23, 2022 1 minute ago, Flareguy18 said: G2 is definitely still in the cards! I think the assessment remains unchanged, G1-G2 is expected tonight with a chance for G3. cool Because @Jesterface23 said 700 km/s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Flareguy18 Posted July 23, 2022 Share Posted July 23, 2022 We likely are experiencing CME arrival, solar wind is rapidly rising! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MinYoongi Posted July 23, 2022 Author Share Posted July 23, 2022 2 minutes ago, Flareguy18 said: We likely are experiencing CME arrival, solar wind is rapidly rising! Its back down now isnt a cme arrival a slam? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LunarLights58 Posted July 23, 2022 Share Posted July 23, 2022 4 minutes ago, Flareguy18 said: We likely are experiencing CME arrival, solar wind is rapidly rising! Explain what was rapidly rising? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sam Warfel Posted July 23, 2022 Share Posted July 23, 2022 1 minute ago, MinYoongi said: Its back down now isnt a cme arrival a slam? That must have been some kind of shockwave, the speed dropped all the way back down so it wasn’t the CME Just now, LunarLights58 said: Explain what was rapidly rising? The solar wind speed was, it spiked to about 620km/s Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Flareguy18 Posted July 23, 2022 Share Posted July 23, 2022 Just now, LunarLights58 said: Explain what was rapidly rising? Solar wind briefly spiked to 620 km/s, it's going back down now to 550 ish. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesterface23 Posted July 23, 2022 Share Posted July 23, 2022 Good time for a random velocity spike 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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