tniickck Posted July 27, 2023 Share Posted July 27, 2023 isnt there a small delta forming? this region appeared less than 48 hours ago and has already grown so much, so if it keeps growing it can be really active (hopefully not like it was with 3376) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Philalethes Posted July 27, 2023 Share Posted July 27, 2023 5 hours ago, tniickck said: isnt there a small delta forming? this region appeared less than 48 hours ago and has already grown so much, so if it keeps growing it can be really active (hopefully not like it was with 3376) Can't say I see any delta currently, nor for the last ~20 hours or so, so not sure what you were referring to there. It's seen some growth, but doesn't look like any significant complexity for the time being. Not a region I'd expect much from as it looks now, but I'd certainly love to be proven wrong. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesterface23 Posted August 2, 2023 Share Posted August 2, 2023 Not a fast CME, but I think this is the 2nd CME the region has launched over the past day or two. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tniickck Posted August 2, 2023 Author Share Posted August 2, 2023 that was a filament launch because of a flare, i wrote about it already in filament topic 18 minutes ago, Jesterface23 said: Not a fast CME, but I think this is the 2nd CME the region has launched over the past day or two. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesterface23 Posted August 2, 2023 Share Posted August 2, 2023 6 minutes ago, tniickck said: that was a filament launch because of a flare, i wrote about it already in filament topic The region is the overall source of the CME with a minor eruptive long duration flare, so it is fine to post them in the region topics 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesterface23 Posted August 2, 2023 Share Posted August 2, 2023 The CME may actually be a bit faster than I first thought. Maybe 54-66 hours travel time, G2 could be a possibility if on the earlier end. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tniickck Posted August 2, 2023 Author Share Posted August 2, 2023 30 minutes ago, Jesterface23 said: The CME may actually be a bit faster than I first thought. Maybe 54-66 hours travel time, G2 could be a possibility if on the earlier end. it is from russian amateur astronomers Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesterface23 Posted August 4, 2023 Share Posted August 4, 2023 3386 sends us another CME. An asymmetric halo. If it is a bulk hit it may have a travel time under 60 hours, but if it is a glancing blow the travel time may be over 3 days. ........ So far I am leaning towards a bulk hit with a 51-63 hour travel time. G2 would seem possible with this one as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tniickck Posted August 4, 2023 Author Share Posted August 4, 2023 1 hour ago, Jesterface23 said: 3386 sends us another CME. An asymmetric halo. If it is a bulk hit it may have a travel time under 60 hours, but if it is a glancing blow the travel time may be over 3 days. ........ So far I am leaning towards a bulk hit with a 51-63 hour travel time. G2 would seem possible with this one as well. you talking about M1.9 CME? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesterface23 Posted August 4, 2023 Share Posted August 4, 2023 10 minutes ago, tniickck said: you talking about M1.9 CME? Yep 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Philalethes Posted August 5, 2023 Share Posted August 5, 2023 (edited) Looks like quite a long-duration flare, and looks like there was some mass ejected already too. In fact, looking at LASCO now it looks like quite an eruption indeed. Edited August 5, 2023 by Philalethes 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tniickck Posted August 5, 2023 Author Share Posted August 5, 2023 ????????? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesterface23 Posted August 5, 2023 Share Posted August 5, 2023 The last event resulted in a multi CME event. It looks like this is similar with a flare CME and filament eruption. There is an Earth directed component, but the CME is likely to be a glancing blow if it arrives. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cgrant26 Posted August 5, 2023 Share Posted August 5, 2023 (edited) I thought it originated from 3387, even made a thread about it. (although it took a while for that post to go through after I hit submit) You can see it better in the SDO video Edited August 5, 2023 by cgrant26 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesterface23 Posted August 5, 2023 Share Posted August 5, 2023 9 minutes ago, cgrant26 said: I thought it originated from 3387 A little bit more further west, Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Philalethes Posted August 5, 2023 Share Posted August 5, 2023 13 minutes ago, cgrant26 said: I thought it originated from 3387, even made a thread about it. (although it took a while for that post to go through after I hit submit) You can see it better in the SDO video What you're seeing in that image was some very minor flaring in comparison before the longer-duration flare in question, which was definitely from 3386. The CME seemed to erupt from 3386 and all the way down from the southern hemisphere it looked like. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tniickck Posted August 5, 2023 Author Share Posted August 5, 2023 3386 is very rich in eruptive solar flares Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Newbie Posted August 5, 2023 Share Posted August 5, 2023 (edited) 3380 has come to the party as well. M 2.1 N. Who knows how big this flare was considering it’s position! Edited August 5, 2023 by Newbie 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tniickck Posted August 5, 2023 Author Share Posted August 5, 2023 there is gonna be like S1 storm 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hamateur 1953 Posted August 5, 2023 Share Posted August 5, 2023 X marks the spot. Figuratively and literally! Almost at S1 now. Good call 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tniickck Posted August 5, 2023 Author Share Posted August 5, 2023 one of the strongest recent CMEs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesterface23 Posted August 5, 2023 Share Posted August 5, 2023 Welp, looks like there will be another CME near the limb. Coming up near an X-Class flare .... And it passes the X-Class threshold 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mozy Posted August 5, 2023 Share Posted August 5, 2023 Lol wtf 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tniickck Posted August 5, 2023 Author Share Posted August 5, 2023 YOOOOO M8.5 YOOOOO X1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SpaceWeather5464 Posted August 5, 2023 Share Posted August 5, 2023 Long duration X class flare WOW! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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