MinYoongi Posted October 1, 2022 Share Posted October 1, 2022 1 minute ago, mozy said: There appears to be some ejecta, mainly aiming north Thank you mozy. Do you rule out a glancing blow? I wish i could see aia videos with my phone, sadly their videoplayer spasms out every damn time i try it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solarflaretracker200 Posted October 1, 2022 Share Posted October 1, 2022 Just now, MinYoongi said: I wish i could see aia videos with my phone, sadly their videoplayer spasms out every damn time i try it. I have the same thing happen lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Landon Moeller Posted October 1, 2022 Author Share Posted October 1, 2022 1 minute ago, MinYoongi said: Thank you mozy. Do you rule out a glancing blow? I wish i could see aia videos with my phone, sadly their videoplayer spasms out every damn time i try it. Hi Min. Try GOES SUVI here: https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/goes-solar-ultraviolet-imager-suvi Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mozy Posted October 1, 2022 Share Posted October 1, 2022 2 minutes ago, MinYoongi said: Thank you mozy. Do you rule out a glancing blow? I wish i could see aia videos with my phone, sadly their videoplayer spasms out every damn time i try it. Maybe too early to tell but it looks way off atm, also doesn't look that impressive 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solarflaretracker200 Posted October 1, 2022 Share Posted October 1, 2022 Just now, mozy said: Maybe too early to tell but it looks way off atm, also doesn't look that impressive Yeah it looks that way 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Landon Moeller Posted October 1, 2022 Author Share Posted October 1, 2022 1 minute ago, mozy said: Maybe too early to tell but it looks way off atm, also doesn't look that impressive Agree. Too bad! A couple days ago would've been nice but you know how these ARs are with timing haha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mozy Posted October 1, 2022 Share Posted October 1, 2022 2 minutes ago, Landon Moeller said: Agree. Too bad! A couple days ago would've been nice but you know how these ARs are with timing haha I'll never understand the sun, that wimpy region manages to put out a strong M flare but not the incoming big guy 🤦♂️ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MinYoongi Posted October 1, 2022 Share Posted October 1, 2022 7 minutes ago, Landon Moeller said: Agree. Too bad! A couple days ago would've been nice but you know how these ARs are with timing haha 4 minutes ago, mozy said: I'll never understand the sun, that wimpy region manages to put out a strong M flare but not the incoming big guy 🤦♂️ Msybe not a dud like you think @mozy? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mozy Posted October 1, 2022 Share Posted October 1, 2022 2 minutes ago, MinYoongi said: Msybe not a dud like you think @mozy? People tend to overhype events, I'll stick to a miss for now. I also don't really care about small glancing blows, so that's still a miss for me 😎 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MinYoongi Posted October 1, 2022 Share Posted October 1, 2022 Just now, mozy said: People tend to overhype events, I'll stick to a miss for now. Full miss? Damn. By the way, is stereo in a position where it could work as good as lasco in telling earth directedness? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Landon Moeller Posted October 1, 2022 Author Share Posted October 1, 2022 1 minute ago, MinYoongi said: Full miss? Damn. By the way, is stereo in a position where it could work as good as lasco in telling earth directedness? I mainly just us STEREO to detemine north-south propagation to a CME. LASCO is better for East-West propagation IMO Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Calder Posted October 1, 2022 Share Posted October 1, 2022 19 minutes ago, mozy said: I'll never understand the sun, that wimpy region manages to put out a strong M flare but not the incoming big guy 🤦♂️ It isn’t as wimpy now as it looked yesterday. Still a small little region though. And here’s the intensitygram too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IlikeAuroras Posted October 1, 2022 Share Posted October 1, 2022 Surprising that AR3110 shot out an M5.9 flare when it only had a 20% chance of shooting out a C-flare Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solarflaretracker200 Posted October 1, 2022 Share Posted October 1, 2022 9 minutes ago, IlikeAuroras said: Surprising that AR3110 shot out an M5.9 flare when it only had a 20% chance of shooting out a C-flare Regions tend to do that sometimes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IlikeAuroras Posted October 2, 2022 Share Posted October 2, 2022 2 hours ago, Solarflaretracker200 said: Regions tend to do that sometimes. Yep! I also remember: The odds of it happening is low but not zero Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solarflaretracker200 Posted October 2, 2022 Share Posted October 2, 2022 4 minutes ago, IlikeAuroras said: Yep! I also remember: The odds of it happening is low but not zero your absolutely correct about it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Drax Spacex Posted October 2, 2022 Share Posted October 2, 2022 (edited) In SUVI imagery there was some kind of localized eruption (possible CME) near AR3110 at about 2022-10-02 0200 UT. Will be on the lookout for another faint halo on LASCO. Those stealthy CMEs can creep up on you! Edited October 2, 2022 by Drax Spacex creepy crawly things Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sam Warfel Posted October 2, 2022 Share Posted October 2, 2022 M8! Almost an X, the strongest since May! It seems to have been eruptive, we're waiting on the dimming detector to confirm that, and then LASCO to see what we got... But hopeful! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Strom Posted October 2, 2022 Share Posted October 2, 2022 (edited) 18 minutes ago, Drax Spacex said: In SUVI imagery there was some kind of localized eruption (possible CME) near AR3110 at about 2022-10-02 0200 UT. Will be on the lookout for another faint halo on LASCO. Those stealthy CMEs can creep up on you! Looks like it was pretty strong; must the the M8.77 just reported. Edited October 2, 2022 by Strom Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solarflaretracker200 Posted October 2, 2022 Share Posted October 2, 2022 Jeez that came out of no where. 2 minutes ago, Orneno said: M8! Almost an X, the strongest since May! It seems to have been eruptive, we're waiting on the dimming detector to confirm that, and then LASCO to see what we got... But hopeful! Well that came out of the blue. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MinYoongi Posted October 2, 2022 Share Posted October 2, 2022 2 minutes ago, Orneno said: M8! Almost an X, the strongest since May! It seems to have been eruptive, we're waiting on the dimming detector to confirm that, and then LASCO to see what we got... But hopeful! 14 minutes ago, Drax Spacex said: In SUVI imagery there was some kind of localized eruption (possible CME) near AR3110 at about 2022-10-02 0200 UT. Will be on the lookout for another faint halo on LASCO. Those stealthy CMEs can creep up on you! Due to the Almost X Class Flare? also @Orneno please keep me updated! Where do you look for dimmings and eruptiveness? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesterface23 Posted October 2, 2022 Share Posted October 2, 2022 2 CMEs are launched within a few minutes, but the 2nd CME is certainly directed more northwestward. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solarflaretracker200 Posted October 2, 2022 Share Posted October 2, 2022 Just now, Jesterface23 said: 2 CMEs are launched within a few minutes, but the 2nd CME is certainly directed more northwestward. That’s definitely true. What caused the second one? Was it this flare? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Landon Moeller Posted October 2, 2022 Author Share Posted October 2, 2022 Just now, Jesterface23 said: 2 CMEs are launched within a few minutes, but the 2nd CME is certainly directed more northwestward. For sure. 1st one looked more like a bubble CME and has the better chance to hit near earth. I'll say the major one directly associated with the M8.7 flare is a miss Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesterface23 Posted October 2, 2022 Share Posted October 2, 2022 Just now, Solarflaretracker200 said: That’s definitely true. What caused the second one? Was it this flare? The first CME that was launching may have triggered the M-Class flare launching the 2nd CME. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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