40 minutes ago, Miles said:

SFI at 208!

When was the last time we were over 200?

Going by the 20:00 values, technically 2023-11-28, but I'm pretty sure that was due to a big flare.

Last time before that was 2023-07-18, with an observed flux of 218.5 and adjusted flux of 225.7. Haven't checked if that was from any flaring though, and I guess it gets tricky if one is to discount various levels of C-flaring that happen frequently and often continuously near and after maximum. Before that was 2023-07-13, not long before, at 202.9 observed and 209.7 adjusted. Here are all the dates in SC25 with either observed or adjusted flux above 200, with no regards to whether flaring was occurring or not:

Quote

['20220331', '0239.5', '0239.0']
['20220828', '0251.9', '0257.0']
['20230112', '0211.6', '0204.7']
['20230113', '0208.5', '0201.7']
['20230114', '0227.8', '0220.4']
['20230115', '0234.3', '0226.7']
['20230116', '0228.1', '0220.7']
['20230117', '0221.7', '0214.6']
['20230118', '0220.3', '0213.2']
['20230119', '0226.1', '0218.9']
['20230120', '0217.5', '0210.6']
['20230121', '0208.7', '0202.1']
['20230209', '0214.9', '0209.1']
['20230210', '0207.8', '0202.3']
['20230211', '0209.5', '0204.1']
['20230217', '0343.1', '0335.0']
['20230225', '0279.3', '0273.7']
['20230711', '0213.5', '0220.6']
['20230713', '0202.9', '0209.7']
['20230718', '0218.5', '0225.7']
['20231128', '0254.6', '0247.8']
['20240212', '0208.3', '0203.0']

 

Observed on the left, adjusted on the right. Apparently no dates where either observed or adjusted was under 200 while the other was over it.

Been awhile.  @Miles We did crack it unofficially a few weeks ago however at the last NRC posting.  Things are only going to continue to improve as we approach solar max.  Expect dips below 150 occasionally. No biggie. Hopefully the link below works for you.  Us radio amateurs use the far left column which is observed flux at ground level. NRC canada checks three times daily and usually uses local noon or 20:00 utc figures as they did today.  Scroll down until ya see 208. You will also see 211 which was at 22:00 hours.  Have fun!  Mike. 

1 hour ago, Miles said:

SFI at 208!

When was the last time we were over 200?

https://www.spaceweather.gc.ca/forecast-prevision/solar-solaire/solarflux/sx-5-flux-en.php 

Edited February 13, 20241 yr by hamateur 1953
Added link

Fun fact...

The incoming region looks very complex

I will make another stretches picture in zhe afternoon, when im at home again

29 minutes ago, Solar_Marcel said:

Fun fact...

The incoming region looks very complex

I will make another stretches picture in zhe afternoon, when im at home again

Where are you getting images of the new region? It hasn’t turned the limb yet.

52 minutes ago, Miles said:

Where are you getting images of the new region? It hasn’t turned the limb yet.

Are we talking about different regions? The one im talking about is barely visible in SDO HMIIC

I am hoping y’all are talking about the massive loop producer on the limb. According to Solar Soft anyway, we probably have at least two nice regions up there.  The loop producer is high latitude estimated at around North 27 degrees.  The lower latitude one around 12-13 degrees and I think seems to be coming in just ahead or just arriving. With all the activity there, we may even have more.  

6 hours ago, hamateur 1953 said:

I am hoping y’all are talking about the massive loop producer on the limb. According to Solar Soft anyway, we probably have at least two nice regions up there.  The loop producer is high latitude estimated at around North 27 degrees.  The lower latitude one around 12-13 degrees and I think seems to be coming in just ahead or just arriving. With all the activity there, we may even have more.  

when should we see something from the other region? i cant make out the slightest glimpse of a region turnung in there sadly...

Yeah, I agree unfortunately.  Just looked now.   It seems pretty barren incoming north.  Well, both regions have to arrive sometime.  Haha…… Mike 

4 hours ago, hamateur 1953 said:

Yeah, I agree unfortunately.  Just looked now.   It seems pretty barren incoming north.  Well, both regions have to arrive sometime.  Haha…… Mike 

Hopefully there will be something coming...

@hamateur 1953

now i can see something on the limb very high latitude-ish, hopefully this turns in and reveals itself as a nice deltaaic region which shoots off one or the other nice X flare, but i hold my hopes down for the moment beeing

37 minutes ago, Solar_Marcel said:

Hopefully there will be something coming...

@hamateur 1953

now i can see something on the limb very high latitude-ish, hopefully this turns in and reveals itself as a nice deltaaic region which shoots off one or the other nice X flare, but i hold my hopes down for the moment beeing

Better to be happily surprised than dismayed?? Haha.  I getcha!! 

barely can make out one spot on the limb... hopefully nothing dissappointing

but looks like thats the source of all the loops

Edited February 13, 20241 yr by Solar_Marcel

looks pretty big on magnetogram so far!

ok. now...

there is a BIG spot coming oh my goooooooooood

can you see that? (the indentation)

Edit: hopefully, that is infact a spot and not an image error, i would be standing dumb here

Edited February 13, 20241 yr by Solar_Marcel

looks like a single spot….

OOOOH BABY!!!

Looks like this is the remnants of AR 3559.

http://jsoc.stanford.edu/data/farside/Recent/Movie.gif

It was going over the limb about Jan. 29th and let off the M6.8 flare

https://spaceweather.com/archive.php?view=1&day=29&month=01&year=2024

@Solar_Marcel Could it really be that big? Check this one out:
https://sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov/assets/img/latest/latest_4096_1700.jpg

 

Edited February 14, 20241 yr by Sapphire828
Addition of 1700 angstrom image

in the HMIIC picture there you can see one big spot now, but iu think there is something behind that as well

sadly cant attach the picture for some reason

Edited February 14, 20241 yr by Solar_Marcel

There seems to be coming more. (Looked at the Magnetogram)

https://ibb.co/6YMSf5T

Well @Solar_Marcel, I hope that the “ lake of plasma” with its associated loops of glory isn’t spent yet.  Honestly, that looong duration M class was staggeringly beautiful to watch in its entirety.  

1 minute ago, hamateur 1953 said:

Well @Solar_Marcel, I hope that the “ lake of plasma” with its associated loops of glory isn’t spent yet.  Honestly, that looong duration M class was staggeringly beautiful to watch in its entirety.  

i hope so too!

 

This looks increasingly promising 

 

https://ibb.co/1nzRFKG

 

looks promising, first the pool of loops isnt done (im speaking of AR 3586) and somethings also behind the limb thats very bright

Edited February 16, 20241 yr by Solar_Marcel

This thread is now retired.  In the future, please use the new topic for the same purpose, that is located here:
Thank you!