Solarflaretracker200 Posted January 9, 2022 Share Posted January 9, 2022 1 hour ago, Orneno said: I hope it works as reverse psychology like last time you talked down to a faculae group and it became a large AR 😉 Your wrong. The sun was trying to prove him wrong. And it did. 😂 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sam Warfel Posted January 10, 2022 Author Share Posted January 10, 2022 5 hours ago, Solarflaretracker200 said: Your wrong. The sun was trying to prove him wrong. And it did. 😂 Let's hope it does it again! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sam Warfel Posted January 10, 2022 Author Share Posted January 10, 2022 A very nice big CME was just shot off someplace behind the NorthEast limb. I’ll be excited to see where it came from in the coming days! 20 hours ago, Vancanneyt Sander said: I do get excited when you see the loops moving, CME’s hurled away just behind the limb Well, here’s some activity around the limb for you! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LunarLights58 Posted January 10, 2022 Share Posted January 10, 2022 An area on the far side has been blasting out CME's. Now that's something to be excited for! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Vancanneyt Sander Posted January 10, 2022 Share Posted January 10, 2022 1 uur terug, Orneno zei: Well, here’s some activity around the limb for you! Now we’re talking 😎 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solarflaretracker200 Posted January 10, 2022 Share Posted January 10, 2022 35 minutes ago, Vancanneyt Sander said: Now we’re talking 😎 Sun proved you wrong again Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sam Warfel Posted January 10, 2022 Author Share Posted January 10, 2022 2 hours ago, Solarflaretracker200 said: Sun proved you wrong again Well, not on the regions we were talking about, but maybe on this coming one 🤞 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LunarLights58 Posted January 10, 2022 Share Posted January 10, 2022 42 minutes ago, Orneno said: Well, not on the regions we were talking about, but maybe on this coming one 🤞 Yeah. The hype is real, just that we had it on the wrong regions. 15 minutes ago, LunarLights58 said: Yeah. The hype is real, just that we had it on the wrong regions. Speaking of regions, looking at the ones from one-half rotation ago that may be responsible are 2918 and 2921, as they were on the northwestern edge on the near side. They would have rotated to behind the northeastern limb by now. Just one thing I wanted to mention, seeing that portion of the Sun put out plenty of C and M-class flares last time we saw it. In a few days, we'll be able to see the region responsible for the CME. Should we expect it to have a complex of spots? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sam Warfel Posted January 10, 2022 Author Share Posted January 10, 2022 1 hour ago, LunarLights58 said: Yeah. The hype is real, just that we had it on the wrong regions. Speaking of regions, looking at the ones from one-half rotation ago that may be responsible are 2918 and 2921, as they were on the northwestern edge on the near side. They would have rotated to behind the northeastern limb by now. Just one thing I wanted to mention, seeing that portion of the Sun put out plenty of C and M-class flares last time we saw it. In a few days, we'll be able to see the region responsible for the CME. Should we expect it to have a complex of spots? Yeah, I wouldn’t be surprised to see the activity increase dramatically as we return to the side of the sun that gave us 10+ ARs last rotation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
farm24 Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 Also 2927 could do what 2673 did in 2017 going from a small alpha to a large beta-gamma-delta in just a day Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solarflaretracker200 Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 14 minutes ago, farm24 said: Also 2927 could do what 2673 did in 2017 going from a small alpha to a large beta-gamma-delta in just a day Dang! That's possible? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
farm24 Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 52 minutes ago, Solarflaretracker200 said: Dang! That's possible? This was it September 1st And this was it September 3rd while not officially classed as a beta-gamma-delta I can see a delta spot so I would say it’s ether a beta-gamma-delta or a beta-delta It was also not exactly 1 day just a little over Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LunarLights58 Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 (edited) 10 minutes ago, farm24 said: This was it September 1st And this was it September 3rd while not officially classed as a beta-gamma-delta I can see a delta spot so I would say it’s ether a beta-gamma-delta or a beta-delta Then on September 4th, 2017, it was classed as beta-gamma-delta. It went into a frenzy of M flares during that time. A few days after that, it produced an X9.3 Edited January 11, 2022 by LunarLights58 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solarflaretracker200 Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 13 minutes ago, farm24 said: This was it September 1st And this was it September 3rd while not officially classed as a beta-gamma-delta I can see a delta spot so I would say it’s ether a beta-gamma-delta or a beta-delta It was also not exactly 1 day just a little over That’s pretty amazing. 4 minutes ago, LunarLights58 said: Then on September 4th, 2017, it was classed as beta-gamma-delta. It went into a frenzy of M flares during that time. A few days after that, it produced an X9.3 Wow! That’s insane! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sam Warfel Posted January 11, 2022 Author Share Posted January 11, 2022 1 hour ago, farm24 said: Also 2927 could do what 2673 did in 2017 going from a small alpha to a large beta-gamma-delta in just a day We can always hope! 19 minutes ago, LunarLights58 said: Then on September 4th, 2017, it was classed as beta-gamma-delta. It went into a frenzy of M flares during that time. A few days after that, it produced an X9.3 wow! X9 from a former alpha! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Patrick P.A. Geryl Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 This is explained in my article (2) (PDF) Electromagnetic Waves and Solar Killshots https://www.researchgate.net/publication/355037930_Electromagnetic_Waves_and_Solar_Killshots Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FairyG Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 On 1/9/2022 at 2:07 PM, Vancanneyt Sander said: Another lesson learned: loops at the limb don’t say a thing about a possible sunspot region behind the limb as it can always be faculae. That’s why I never get excited when this happens 😉. I do get excited when you see the loops moving, CME’s hurled away just behind the limb, a rising flux when the region gets close to the limb with topped of C-level and limb flares. so another lesson learned only start a topic about new emerging “bright loops” when there is noticeable activity detected around the limb 😜 ps: hope I wasn’t too pessimistic 😇 I like it. I like getting hyped up and your notes are easy to understand what your saying even though I'm still learning everything. But I will admit, I don't trust OUR sun. Probably the only force in the universe that comes close to women when it comes to unpredictable behavior. Just when you think you got them figured out... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sam Warfel Posted January 11, 2022 Author Share Posted January 11, 2022 (edited) Hey, 2924 is Beta-Gamma, that’s something! Edited January 11, 2022 by Orneno 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solarflaretracker200 Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 1 hour ago, Orneno said: Hey, 2924 is Beta-Gamma, that’s something! Finally something more interesting Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sam Warfel Posted January 11, 2022 Author Share Posted January 11, 2022 @Vancanneyt Sander, would it be somewhat correct to say (I know it’s an over generalization) that alpha=nothing, beta=C-class, beta-gamma=M-class, and beta-gamma-delta=X-class? I see a bright spot incoming, I wonder if it could be the spot that launched the CME. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Vancanneyt Sander Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 2 uren geleden, Orneno zei: would it be somewhat correct to say (I know it’s an over generalization) that alpha=nothing, beta=C-class, beta-gamma=M-class, and beta-gamma-delta=X-class? Nope 😜 it’s an over generalisation. Alpha=nothing, beta=potential C (but if region close to the limb and magnetic layout can’t be determined yet (so it’s standard beta) you can’t rule out higher one). Beta-gamma I’ve seen minor X too, beta-gamma-delta = M and potential X. But as always, the sun is full of surprises 😜 11 uren geleden, FairyG zei: I like getting hyped up and your notes are easy to understand what your saying even though I'm still learning everything. Thx, we do our best to make space weather accessible for everyone and try to explain it as easy as possible ☺️ 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LunarLights58 Posted January 11, 2022 Share Posted January 11, 2022 Look at this CH near the equator. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sam Warfel Posted January 11, 2022 Author Share Posted January 11, 2022 (edited) 2 hours ago, Vancanneyt Sander said: Nope 😜 it’s an over generalisation. Alpha=nothing, beta=potential C (but if region close to the limb and magnetic layout can’t be determined yet (so it’s standard beta) you can’t rule out higher one). Beta-gamma I’ve seen minor X too, beta-gamma-delta = M and potential X. But as always, the sun is full of surprises 😜 Thanks! 😁 Good to know. Edited January 11, 2022 by Orneno Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sam Warfel Posted January 12, 2022 Author Share Posted January 12, 2022 We just got a partially eclipse flare and radio emission from the NW limb, possible the AR that launched the nice CME about to rotate on! I’m really looking forward to this AR! Here’s the eclipsed flare: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NightOwl Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 Yeah that does look promising! 😀 Is it still flaring two hours later or am I looking at the wrong thing? The solar activity hasn't gone back down and there is still a bright area above the limb. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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