Nathan Majors Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 I know what you mean Page 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cheebee Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 11 minutes ago, Nathan Majors said: I know what you mean Page 2 to be fair, if the sun keeps launching filaments our way like that over and over in succession for a while then thatd probably be something to consider, but i think we'd still need a corker Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nathan Majors Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 So unless that happens it shouldn’t be bad Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cheebee Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 7 minutes ago, Nathan Majors said: So unless that happens it shouldn’t be bad someone made a really good and thought provoking post on here one time, i cant remember whereabouts, but it was about how the carrington event was NOT an isolated incident, the sky's had been full of auroura all over the earth for about a week before the sun let RRRIP so there must have been a ton of decent cme's for at least a week straight before the sun let out a mighty boosh! and since the carrington event we've had a ton of really powerful and fast cmes that did sweet f*** all so unless the sun does some completely unexpected shiz (which would have to be massive and thus downright obviously a problem) or we get a ton of cmes culminating in a BIG and (it'd still need to be big i reckon) double digit x class flare then its just a good cme and we hope to see some auroura so to answer your original question again is it bad for us.. i would now answer.. only if its cloudy 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nathan Majors Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 Thank you dude I have times I get nurvous about geomagnetic storms and sometimes I don’t 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MinYoongi Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 1 hour ago, cheebee said: https://sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov/assets/img/latest/mpeg/latest_1024_0335.mp4 sorry i was a bit late, it starts at about 00:00 on the 21st, top left, whoooosh Ooooh i thought you meant something like 4h ago, because you said "just" 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chronical Posted January 21 Author Share Posted January 21 Protons are rising, could it already be it or its way too early? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tniickck Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 32 minutes ago, chronical said: Protons are rising, could it already be it or its way too early they always do a few days or hours before arrival 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nathan Majors Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 (edited) Ok thanks Edited January 22 by Nathan Majors Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tniickck Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 (edited) 1 hour ago, Nathan Majors said: Thank you dude I have times I get nurvous about geomagnetic storms and sometimes I don’t i have read some of your posts and i want to to clarify something for you: geomagnetic storms are dangerous for electricity (especially power grids, they suffer the most) mostly when KP-index reaches 9 (the highest on a 9-point scale). the last time this was in 2003 and an extremely small part of the power grid in Sweden has shut down. now in 2024 the world's power grid is far more protected from magnetic storms than ever. I'd even say we'd survive the 1989 event with no apparent consequences (it was the strongest storm since the start of the space age), so you don't have to worry so much, especially about a storm as weak as Kp6 (it is prognosed on 22nd Jan) , it can't harm anything Edited January 22 by tniickck 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nathan Majors Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 (edited) Technically maybe kp6-kp4 for gerogia us state Edited January 22 by Nathan Majors Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tniickck Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 3 minutes ago, Nathan Majors said: Technically maybe kp6-kp4 for gerogia us state i am afraid Kp6 is not enough for Georgia state. you need at least Kp7+ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nathan Majors Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 (edited) Is that going to happen with this event So is it higher effects in lower latitude or lower effects in lower latitude 30 minutes ago, tniickck said: i am afraid Kp6 is not enough for Georgia state. you need at least Kp7+ What do you mean about that sorry if it bothering you at 3am Edited January 22 by Nathan Majors Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chronical Posted January 22 Author Share Posted January 22 (edited) 32 minutes ago, Nathan Majors said: What do you mean about that There needs to be better or stronger data than the one predicted at the moment. Edited January 22 by chronical Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nathan Majors Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 Ok thanks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tniickck Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 39 minutes ago, Nathan Majors said: What do you mean about that sorry, i thought you are waiting for an aurora. i mean there must be a Kp7+ to see aurora in Georgia state, USA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Popular Post Jesterface23 Posted January 22 Popular Post Share Posted January 22 34 minutes ago, Nathan Majors said: So is it higher effects in lower latitude or lower effects in lower latitude There are magnetometers in several places around the globe and they will have their own K-Index. Noting Kp is the Planetary K-Index which is calculated from several different stations. During geomagnetic storms, stations at higher latitudes will typically have more fluctuations than the ones at lower latitudes. The fluctuations to reach K9 at different latitudes are different as well, with Barrow, AK needing a 2500nT fluctuation for K9 and Gaum needing a 300nT fluctuation for K9. Just to compare, Barrow would need a 600nT fluctuation to reach K6. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nathan Majors Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 Tniickck it’s ok Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesterface23 Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 Hmm, we have an ACE EPAMp spike. Maybe a shock arrival at L1 shortly if it isn't bad data. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MinYoongi Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 Just now, Jesterface23 said: Hmm, we have an ACE EPAMp spike. Maybe a shock arrival at L1 shortly if it isn't bad data. when was arrival forecasted? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesterface23 Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 1 minute ago, MinYoongi said: when was arrival forecasted? Any time within the next 12-ish hours Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MinYoongi Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 3 minutes ago, Jesterface23 said: Any time within the next 12-ish hours ah. so when would it arrive at earth if ace epam spike is right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
arjemma Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 (edited) 2 minutes ago, MinYoongi said: ah. so when would it arrive at earth if ace epam spike is right? I would say within 1-2 hours at L1 (hard to say though as it might be a spike from other things). Then about 60 minutes depending on solar wind speed at earth. Edited January 22 by arjemma 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tniickck Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 3 minutes ago, MinYoongi said: ah. so when would it arrive at earth if ace epam spike is right? literally any time, i bet it will happen in an hour 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesterface23 Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 3 minutes ago, MinYoongi said: ah. so when would it arrive at earth if ace epam spike is right? Maybe it is the other CMEs helping, but the values are fairly higher than I would of expected. And it should keep going up at this point. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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