Calder Posted September 24, 2022 Share Posted September 24, 2022 48 minutes ago, MinYoongi said: what about 3105? To me, this also looks like just a Beta. Now, 3107 on the other hand looks like a Beta Gamma. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Newbie Posted September 24, 2022 Share Posted September 24, 2022 6 hours ago, MinYoongi said: Back to region 3105. It now got assigned 5% X class chance, but to ME it looks less complex than yesterday. what do you guys say? @Newbie To me it doesn't appear as complex either, however there was sigmoid activity earlier today and maybe this is the reason for 5% X. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MinYoongi Posted September 24, 2022 Share Posted September 24, 2022 31 minutes ago, Newbie said: To me it doesn't appear as complex either, however there was sigmoid activity earlier today and maybe this is the reason for 5% X. I dont really know if noaa calculates that into it cuz they only state "sunspots" and "ch" at the site Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Newbie Posted September 24, 2022 Share Posted September 24, 2022 34 minutes ago, Calder said: To me, this also looks like just a Beta. Now, 3107 on the other hand looks like a Beta Gamma. Hello Calder, 3107 has developed. Definitely polarity intermixing! Newbie 2 minutes ago, MinYoongi said: I dont really know if noaa calculates that into it cuz they only state "sunspots" and "ch" at the site Hello Min, SWPC spend a lot of time on data analysis, as WildWill mentioned in an earlier post. This involves a lot of drawing, overlaying, working out boundaries, polarities and so on to produce the synoptic maps. However I would be surprised if they didn't use every resource available to them when making their predictions including past and present activity. N. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MinYoongi Posted September 24, 2022 Share Posted September 24, 2022 16 minutes ago, Newbie said: Hello Calder, 3107 has developed. Definitely polarity intermixing! Newbie Not a delta yet, right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Newbie Posted September 24, 2022 Share Posted September 24, 2022 24 minutes ago, MinYoongi said: Not a delta yet, right? No I wouldn't call it. N. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MinYoongi Posted September 24, 2022 Share Posted September 24, 2022 1 minute ago, Newbie said: No I wouldn't call it. N. I just wondered. On suvi it looks really active. Maybe it deserves its own topic soon Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Newbie Posted September 24, 2022 Share Posted September 24, 2022 1 minute ago, MinYoongi said: I just wondered. On suvi it looks really active. Maybe it deserves its own topic soon Yes I wondered that a while back Min... because they were so close it was easy to comment on both at the same time. 3107 has been more active than 3105 lately. N. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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