Sam Warfel Posted April 20, 2022 Author Share Posted April 20, 2022 Just now, MinYoongi said: I wonder how much its occulted? Also, how can such an uncomplex spot fire like that? It must have gotten more complex. Remember, when a spot is near the limb, it's hard to see. Â It could have been more complex than we thought even before rotating off, and gotten more complex rapidly since then. 1 minute ago, MinYoongi said: I wonder how much its occulted? Probably near X5. Â This was a big one. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MinYoongi Posted April 20, 2022 Share Posted April 20, 2022 1 minute ago, Orneno said: It must have gotten more complex. Remember, when a spot is near the limb, it's hard to see. Â It could have been more complex than we thought even before rotating off, and gotten more complex rapidly since then. Probably near X5. Â This was a big one. Huh interesting.. Did you estimate the X5 or is there some "math" behind it? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solarflaretracker200 Posted April 20, 2022 Share Posted April 20, 2022 Guys not even kidding- I predicted an X class. WHAT THE ACTUAL FU- (Ask @Orneno if Don’t believe me) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sam Warfel Posted April 20, 2022 Author Share Posted April 20, 2022 (edited) 2 minutes ago, MinYoongi said: Huh interesting.. Did you estimate the X5 or is there some "math" behind it? Nope, that's a random guess of mine and Flareguy's. I wish we had a STEREO B with an X-ray instrument Edited April 20, 2022 by Orneno Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LunarLights58 Posted April 20, 2022 Share Posted April 20, 2022 (edited) This is wild. There's not usually so many X-classes in this short of a period. Even 2001 and 2003 managed a yearly total of just 21 and 20 respectively. 2022 had 3 of them within one month! Edited April 20, 2022 by LunarLights58 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sam Warfel Posted April 20, 2022 Author Share Posted April 20, 2022 3 minutes ago, LunarLights58 said: This is wild. There's not usually so many X-classes in this short of a period. Even 2001 and 2003 managed a yearly total of just 21 and 20 respectively. 2022 had 3 of them within one month! Solar Cycle 25, the overachiever, question mark? 🤞 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesterface23 Posted April 20, 2022 Share Posted April 20, 2022 There goes X-Class flares regions coming over the eastern limb rather than the west 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bedreamon Posted April 20, 2022 Share Posted April 20, 2022 I didn't expect the X-Flare to come from this region! I saw the notification on my phone and thought it was the AR2993/2994 cluster. Huh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sam Warfel Posted April 20, 2022 Author Share Posted April 20, 2022 1 minute ago, Jesterface23 said: There goes X-Class flares regions coming over the eastern limb rather than the west Please don't let this be a SC25 trend... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LunarLights58 Posted April 20, 2022 Share Posted April 20, 2022 It looked like this caused a decent disruption in the corona At least for an incredibly impulsive flare. X-rays are already down to C-class  Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sam Warfel Posted April 20, 2022 Author Share Posted April 20, 2022 Wow, the radio emission just now was 1600 km/s, and we're not even remotely in front of the CME It must have launched a CME of some degree, despite being very short indeed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LunarLights58 Posted April 20, 2022 Share Posted April 20, 2022 Hah. What an unexpected surprise. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sam Warfel Posted April 20, 2022 Author Share Posted April 20, 2022 4 minutes ago, LunarLights58 said: It looked like this caused a decent disruption in the corona At least for an incredibly impulsive flare. X-rays are already down to C-class  yeah only like 30-40 minutes to go background-to-background Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solarflaretracker200 Posted April 20, 2022 Share Posted April 20, 2022 2 minutes ago, Orneno said: yeah only like 30-40 minutes to go background-to-background That’s short Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LunarLights58 Posted April 20, 2022 Share Posted April 20, 2022 I wonder if it still has enough energy for another one... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bedreamon Posted April 20, 2022 Share Posted April 20, 2022 3 minutes ago, Orneno said: Wow, the radio emission just now was 1600 km/s, and we're not even remotely in front of the CME It must have launched a CME of some degree, despite being very short indeed Woah... I wonder if it'll be like all those farside solar flares during 2012. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MinYoongi Posted April 20, 2022 Share Posted April 20, 2022 4 minutes ago, Bedreamon said: Woah... I wonder if it'll be like all those farside solar flares during 2012. 2012 was a super event.. 6 of em in 200 years.. can we please keep this stuff out of here. This is my safespace. It was an X2. Thats not huge-huge Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KW2P Posted April 20, 2022 Share Posted April 20, 2022 41 minutes ago, Orneno said: X2.25, the strongest flare of this Solar Cycle! Yes, indeed. SFI is up to 160 now. Wow. (Main page of SWL hasn't updated yet.) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bedreamon Posted April 20, 2022 Share Posted April 20, 2022 I was only mentioning 2012 since that was the peak of SC24, so I thought that year had a ton of farside flares. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MinYoongi Posted April 20, 2022 Share Posted April 20, 2022 2 minutes ago, KW2P said: Yes, indeed. SFI is up to 160 now. Wow. (Main page of SWL hasn't updated yet.) Whats SFI Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LunarLights58 Posted April 20, 2022 Share Posted April 20, 2022 The 10.7 cm radio flux Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Flareguy18 Posted April 20, 2022 Share Posted April 20, 2022 Well, this has been an interesting evening 😅 It's been a slow night at work, so I've had some time to work on some writing, but I keep getting distracted by all the flares going on 😂 @Ornenoalready knows all about this lol. As he previously stated, this X2 event probably was stronger since it was partially eclipsed by the limb. Even if the activity still had to not be Earth directed, I wish this would have happened at least a couple days earlier so we could have a clear view of 2992 in its full form. It's probably super complex now. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sam Warfel Posted April 20, 2022 Author Share Posted April 20, 2022 I wonder if we’ll get a space radiation storm from this Just now, Flareguy18 said: Well, this has been an interesting evening 😅 It's been a slow night at work, so I've had some time to work on some writing, but I keep getting distracted by all the flares going on 😂 @Ornenoalready knows all about this lol. As he previously stated, this X2 event probably was stronger since it was partially eclipsed by the limb. Even if the activity still had to not be Earth directed, I wish this would have happened at least a couple days earlier so we could have a clear view of 2992 in its full form. It's probably super complex now. Sorry for distracting you 😅 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solarflaretracker200 Posted April 20, 2022 Share Posted April 20, 2022 Just now, Orneno said: I wonder if we’ll get a space radiation storm from this Maybe- but doubt it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sam Warfel Posted April 20, 2022 Author Share Posted April 20, 2022 1 minute ago, Solarflaretracker200 said: Maybe- but doubt it With the Parker Spiral effect, it’s possible, as far as I know Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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