Solarflaretracker200 Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 (edited) Edit: It has increased in size and gained sunspots. Note: This is being updated two to three times a day. The original replies that were on the day this was made was before all these edits Edited February 6, 2022 by Solarflaretracker200 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SpaceWeather5464 Posted February 1, 2022 Share Posted February 1, 2022 Yes it is. It has also grown since first seen. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solarflaretracker200 Posted February 2, 2022 Author Share Posted February 2, 2022 (edited) 5 hours ago, SpaceWeather5464 said: Yes it is. It has also grown since first seen. Sorry for the dumb question, but where did you get that photo from? Like is there a website or something? Edited February 2, 2022 by Solarflaretracker200 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LunarLights58 Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 9 minutes ago, Solarflaretracker200 said: Sorry for the dumb question, but where did you get that photo from? Like is there a website or something? I've seen it here on this site. It's got all the SDO imagery too. https://sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov/data/ 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Patrick P.A. Geryl Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 7 uren geleden, SpaceWeather5464 zei: Yes it is. It has also grown since first seen. Mmmmm… that is the birthday of the complex sunspot I calculated in coming sunspots… should go down after January 1 and could be reactivated after January 4.’’ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
3gMike Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 (edited) 2 hours ago, Patrick P.A. Geryl said: Mmmmm… that is the birthday of the complex sunspot I calculated in coming sunspots… should go down after January 1 and could be reactivated after January 4.’’ Please clarify that statement Patrick. We are now at February 2nd, so how does that relate to your predictions for January? I cannot find any reference to that in Coming Sunspots thread. Edit: O.K. I just found that comment in AR2936 thread - so it seems that you are claiming that be re-activation of AR2936, which is still earth facing. Edited February 2, 2022 by 3gMike Found new info Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Patrick P.A. Geryl Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 1 uur geleden, 3gMike zei: Please clarify that statement Patrick. We are now at February 2nd, so how does that relate to your predictions for January? I cannot find any reference to that in Coming Sunspots thread. Edit: O.K. I just found that comment in AR2936 thread - so it seems that you are claiming that be re-activation of AR2936, which is still earth facing. Published on January 23 in Coming sunspots 2 possible complex sunspots january 21 January 28 They have mostly the same strong alignments, but the one from January 28 are far stronger. Problem is the Mercury alignments are not continuous in February. No idea how this will play out. The Mercury alignments were continuous for the large X flare in 2017. (PDF) Electromagnetic Waves and Solar Killshots https://www.researchgate.net/publication/355037930_Electromagnetic_Waves_and_Solar_Killshots If the Mercury alignments would have been continuous, a very large X flare could have been possible when earth facing. No idea if it could be reactivated… So we probably are quite lucky now… Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Patrick P.A. Geryl Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 6 uren geleden, Patrick P.A. Geryl zei: Mmmmm… that is the birthday of the complex sunspot I calculated in coming sunspots… should go down after January 1 and could be reactivated after January 4.’’ Seems it went down as predicted… Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solarflaretracker200 Posted February 2, 2022 Author Share Posted February 2, 2022 27 minutes ago, Patrick P.A. Geryl said: Seems it went down as predicted… Could have been a coincidence 🤷♂️ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Patrick P.A. Geryl Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 7 minuten geleden, Solarflaretracker200 zei: Could have been a coincidence 🤷♂️ If you go to the link above you will find several “exact coincidences” from sunspot activity going down when the Triple Mercury alignments go down. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Vancanneyt Sander Posted February 2, 2022 Share Posted February 2, 2022 3 uren geleden, Patrick P.A. Geryl zei: If you go to the link above you will find several “exact coincidences” from sunspot activity going down when the Triple Mercury alignments go down. maybe we’ll wait till it’s peer reviewed… Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solarflaretracker200 Posted February 3, 2022 Author Share Posted February 3, 2022 It looks like our promising region is shrinking, a lot. 😢 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sam Warfel Posted February 3, 2022 Share Posted February 3, 2022 2 hours ago, Solarflaretracker200 said: It looks like our promising region is shrinking, a lot. 😢 That’s why I don’t like to count chickens before they’re hatched 😅 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
farm24 Posted February 3, 2022 Share Posted February 3, 2022 3 hours ago, Solarflaretracker200 said: It looks like our promising region is shrinking, a lot. 😢 but i can see one of its spots on the limb so literally just as it was rotating onto the disk it decayed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solarflaretracker200 Posted February 3, 2022 Author Share Posted February 3, 2022 (edited) Region 2941. Looks like the Region we are talking about...30% chance of C- class solar flare. Sorry 20% chance i mean Something exploded: (image was being stupid) Edited February 4, 2022 by Solarflaretracker200 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sam Warfel Posted February 3, 2022 Share Posted February 3, 2022 There’s been a decent amount of CMEs from behind the west limb too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solarflaretracker200 Posted February 3, 2022 Author Share Posted February 3, 2022 A B9.1 from AR 2941. It's nothing big or interesting but it's a sign it may be 'alive' Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Patrick P.A. Geryl Posted February 4, 2022 Share Posted February 4, 2022 Op 2/2/2022 om 18:05, Vancanneyt Sander zei: maybe we’ll wait till it’s peer reviewed… Any idea which journal could could give it a look? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris, HB9DFG Posted February 4, 2022 Share Posted February 4, 2022 Now we see a little bit more!🙂 Regards, Chris 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solarflaretracker200 Posted February 4, 2022 Author Share Posted February 4, 2022 (edited) The region is growing again and it has a fired a c class solar flare Edited February 4, 2022 by Solarflaretracker200 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LunarLights58 Posted February 4, 2022 Share Posted February 4, 2022 9 hours ago, Chris, HB9DFG said: Now we see a little bit more!🙂 Regards, Chris Oooo the spots look interesting Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solarflaretracker200 Posted February 4, 2022 Author Share Posted February 4, 2022 AR 2941: C M X Proton 60% 15% 1% 1% It's getting interesting Increase in size and sunspots at well Still a Beta but I won't be surprised if it goes to Beta Gamma or something Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LunarLights58 Posted February 4, 2022 Share Posted February 4, 2022 I think that now that it's named, the region should have a discussion with a proper title. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solarflaretracker200 Posted February 4, 2022 Author Share Posted February 4, 2022 24 minutes ago, LunarLights58 said: I think that now that it's named, the region should have a discussion with a proper title. Done Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solarflaretracker200 Posted February 6, 2022 Author Share Posted February 6, 2022 Region 2941 has increased in size and gained sunspots. Maybe this region will be interesting after all 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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