Guest danderson500 Posted June 21, 2015 Share Posted June 21, 2015 i am kind of worried about the CME on Monday any reason i should be scared? also any chance it would affect the grids? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AbeH Posted June 21, 2015 Share Posted June 21, 2015 Well NOAA is expecting the strength to be upwards of a G3 On June 22 then decrease to a G2 on the 23rd then to subside to low/normal levels by the evening of the 23rd. G3 storms are actually somewhat common and arnt normally as severe as they seem. It shouldn't be anything to fret about. Refer her to stay up to date on the CME with updates as they become available: http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/ and here is a scale to refer to: http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/noaa-scales-explanation. Hope this helps! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest danderson500 Posted June 21, 2015 Share Posted June 21, 2015 i am still worried that the cme could speed up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AbeH Posted June 21, 2015 Share Posted June 21, 2015 Well NOAA is expecting the strength to be upwards of a G3 On June 22 then decrease to a G2 on the 23rd then to subside to low/normal levels by the evening of the 23rd. G3 storms are actually somewhat common and arnt normally as severe as they seem. It shouldn't be anything to fret about. Refer her to stay up to date on the CME with updates as they become available: http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/ and here is a scale to refer to: http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/noaa-scales-explanation. Hope this helps! i am still worried that the cme could speed up I highly doubt it will speed up enough to were it would matter much and from what I have been hearing its looking like it will just be a "glancing blow" its nothing to worry about. Just keep checking out those links for up to date new on the situation if you feel you need to. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest danderson500 Posted June 22, 2015 Share Posted June 22, 2015 where are you getting it is a glancing blow? noaa keeps thinking the other two cmes will hit interestingly NASA DONKI only gives a 44% chance for a g3 storm? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Harry Twinotter Posted June 22, 2015 Share Posted June 22, 2015 The CME is likely to be a direct hit on the earth. I would not worry, there have been several this solar cycle and nothing happened, other than aurora.CMEs do not speed up after leaving the sun, they actually slow down. And if they hit a bit of solar wind on the way, they can slow down even more. This is what makes the forecasting so imprecise. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest danderson500 Posted June 22, 2015 Share Posted June 22, 2015 so it may not be G3? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Harry Twinotter Posted June 22, 2015 Share Posted June 22, 2015 It may not be a G3, NASA actually gave a range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest danderson500 Posted June 22, 2015 Share Posted June 22, 2015 was thinking will grid operators have to make any changes? its not a big CME.. was thinking that this cme is not a carrigton event if the CME does not arrive before 17:00 UTC then i guess it is a lesser impact plus i guess G5 is unlikely? now i am scared it is going to get bad because of the m6.6 flare.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Vancanneyt Sander Posted June 22, 2015 Share Posted June 22, 2015 You should be loving this Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest danderson500 Posted June 22, 2015 Share Posted June 22, 2015 i am so scared because of the power grids but that flare could be impulsive.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Vancanneyt Sander Posted June 22, 2015 Share Posted June 22, 2015 That won't happen, how many times do we have to repeat ourselves? We already explained that theres nothing to worry about, we've been through this many many many times. So just enjoy the show Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest danderson500 Posted June 22, 2015 Share Posted June 22, 2015 i am also scared that it is full halo like the one that is going on now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Vancanneyt Sander Posted June 22, 2015 Share Posted June 22, 2015 It will be full halo, but even then, nothing to worry about... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest danderson500 Posted June 22, 2015 Share Posted June 22, 2015 but the CME we are in now hasn't done myxh do we know if there is a cme with the m6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Vancanneyt Sander Posted June 22, 2015 Share Posted June 22, 2015 We are still awaiting LASCO imagery but can already say that, because of the coronal dimming, a coronal mass ejection occurred and, because of it's location, will be Earth directed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest danderson500 Posted June 22, 2015 Share Posted June 22, 2015 but given this current CME isnt too exciting is the next one going to take it to G5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest kristoffers Posted June 22, 2015 Share Posted June 22, 2015 Hi. Can someone please turn off the 24hour sunlight on the North Slope so I can watch this G5 storm? Thanks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest danderson500 Posted June 22, 2015 Share Posted June 22, 2015 how can it be G5 when the IMF is north? also this CME has been a bust so far.. We are still awaiting LASCO imagery but can already say that, because of the coronal dimming, a coronal mass ejection occurred and, because of it's location, will be Earth directedwas it a small CME or big Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AbeH Posted June 22, 2015 Share Posted June 22, 2015 So just saw That it was a G4 on noaa but currently its a G1 is it going to spike up again and what about power is there going to be power outages? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest danderson500 Posted June 23, 2015 Share Posted June 23, 2015 so whats the deal on the new CME? also the newer CME is a bit slower than the current one can anyone help me on the cme that is coming wensday? i am scared Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Marcel de Bont Posted June 23, 2015 Share Posted June 23, 2015 can anyone help me on the cme that is coming wensday? i am scared Nothing to be scared about as we said many times before. You survived the last one didn't you? Then you will also survive this one. More at http://www.spaceweatherlive.com/en/news/view/129/20150623-second-strongest-storm-m66-cme-analysisWe also kindly ask you to stop double posting so much. If you want to add something to a previous post please use the edit button. Thanks. I will merge your previous double posts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AbeH Posted June 23, 2015 Share Posted June 23, 2015 Well this has definitely been a active week so far for geomagnetic storms it will be interesting to see how these storms play out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maxime Fiset Posted June 23, 2015 Share Posted June 23, 2015 Indeed it was. I've had a lot of fun yesterday, watching events unfold. It was my second G4, but the first time I actually use and understand the data available. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest danderson500 Posted June 23, 2015 Share Posted June 23, 2015 so this newer CME isn't a perfect halo as the last one was i am just worried about the grid but i understand what you are talking about plus i don't think it will be a big deal plus w can rule out carrigton for now man this CME is making me so scared i have been crying so much.. is this CME going to do anything bad? not a stupid question but...why do you say the CME will hit at 17:00 UTC where as NOAA says 23:00 UTC just asking wow this CME is not too strong is it? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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