MinYoongi Posted April 29 Share Posted April 29 This region is flaring sympathetic with the limb region. I think it’s a double flare event, but I don’t know if that recent peak is from this region more than the other. Finally I’m the first to report on this here in the last few weeks I always lagged behind. According to solar ham there was minor/weak coronal dimming associated with the second peak which could mean a CME. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Adohran Posted April 29 Author Share Posted April 29 4 hours ago, MinYoongi said: This region is flaring sympathetic with the limb region. I think it’s a double flare event, but I don’t know if that recent peak is from this region more than the other. Finally I’m the first to report on this here in the last few weeks I always lagged behind. According to solar ham there was minor/weak coronal dimming associated with the second peak which could mean a CME. Was too busy with sleeping to report on this 😅 but a small CME would be nice, should have at least some earth directed component due to its position right? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Adohran Posted April 29 Author Share Posted April 29 Enlil Spiral shows something arriving on the second so I guess there was a CME after all. @MinYoongi Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mozy Posted April 29 Share Posted April 29 With how close the umbra cores are getting, X-flares are possible today. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Adohran Posted April 29 Author Share Posted April 29 48 minutes ago, mozy said: With how close the umbra cores are getting, X-flares are possible today. The middle ones are pretty tightly packed And also different polarities, I'm seeing the potential that has. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Drax Spacex Posted April 29 Share Posted April 29 Has doubled in size in most recent report to 680! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jay-B Posted April 29 Share Posted April 29 (edited) This spot is weak and will definitely not produce an x-flare with a full halo and earth directed cme. I give it a -5% chance of producing an x-flare before crossing the LOD. Edited April 29 by Jay-B Grammar 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sam Warfel Posted April 29 Share Posted April 29 1 hour ago, Jay-B said: This spot is weak and will definitely not produce an x-flare with a full halo and earth directed cme. I give it a -5% chance of producing an x-flare before crossing the LOD. Me too, this spot is so lame it is not capable of anything at all. Might as well just die right now. Are sunspots susceptible to reverse psychology? We shall find out... 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Philalethes Posted April 30 Share Posted April 30 17 hours ago, Jay-B said: This spot is weak and will definitely not produce an x-flare with a full halo and earth directed cme. I give it a -5% chance of producing an x-flare before crossing the LOD. 15 hours ago, Sam Warfel said: Me too, this spot is so lame it is not capable of anything at all. Might as well just die right now. Are sunspots susceptible to reverse psychology? We shall find out... No matter which way you try, you just can't win... 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jay-B Posted April 30 Share Posted April 30 3 hours ago, Philalethes said: No matter which way you try, you just can't win... Us Americans need to hurry up and renegotiate the minions sunspot union contract before solar max passes lol! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mozy Posted April 30 Share Posted April 30 (edited) Classic, flaring big now approaching the limb.. Edited April 30 by mozy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hamateur 1953 Posted April 30 Share Posted April 30 (edited) Gimme an X class!! M9.53. Close but 3654 will have to attend classes in proper sunspot behavioral characteristics in Unproven Theories until next rotation. Edited May 1 by hamateur 1953 Word omission Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StargazingHippy Posted May 1 Share Posted May 1 11 hours ago, Jay-B said: Us Americans need to hurry up and renegotiate the minions sunspot union contract before solar max passes lol! They must be on a support strike missing their leader 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesterface23 Posted May 1 Share Posted May 1 Not expecting much, but the event was slightly eruptive. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SamDieGurke Posted May 1 Share Posted May 1 Did the CME visible on LASCO originate from this region? It did do a longer lasting C5 flare with movement visible on SUVI so maybe? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Philalethes Posted May 1 Share Posted May 1 23 minutes ago, SamDieGurke said: Did the CME visible on LASCO originate from this region? It did do a longer lasting C5 flare with movement visible on SUVI so maybe? I believe so, and I think it's indeed associated with that long-duration C-flare; you can see the eruption in e.g. the 195 Å imagery at around 06:00, and there are also post-eruption arcades forming there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MinYoongi Posted May 1 Share Posted May 1 2 hours ago, SamDieGurke said: Did the CME visible on LASCO originate from this region? It did do a longer lasting C5 flare with movement visible on SUVI so maybe? yes, south to the region. i think its not earth directed though. other opinions=? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesterface23 Posted May 1 Share Posted May 1 It almost looks more like a filament eruption between regions 3654 and 3655. There is a slight Earth directed component, but at this point I'm not certain it will arrive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesterface23 Posted May 1 Share Posted May 1 Where ever the CME came from, it certainly would be a glancing blow. The travel time to L1 may be around 3 days, but not expecting much geomagnetic activity from it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Adohran Posted May 2 Author Share Posted May 2 13 hours ago, Jesterface23 said: Where ever the CME came from, it certainly would be a glancing blow. The travel time to L1 may be around 3 days, but not expecting much geomagnetic activity from it. My predictions wouldn't exceed G1 either, if we even get to G1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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