This region is flaring sympathetic with the limb region. I think it’s a double flare event, but I don’t know if that recent peak is from this region more than the other.

Finally I’m the first to report on this here  in the last few weeks I always lagged behind.

According to solar ham there was minor/weak coronal dimming associated with the second peak which could mean a CME.

4 hours ago, MinYoongi said:

This region is flaring sympathetic with the limb region. I think it’s a double flare event, but I don’t know if that recent peak is from this region more than the other.

Finally I’m the first to report on this here  in the last few weeks I always lagged behind.

According to solar ham there was minor/weak coronal dimming associated with the second peak which could mean a CME.

Was too busy with sleeping to report on this 😅 but a small CME would be nice, should have at least some earth directed component due to its position right?

Enlil Spiral shows something arriving on the second so I guess there was a CME after all. @MinYoongi 

With how close the umbra cores are getting, X-flares are possible today.

48 minutes ago, mozy said:

With how close the umbra cores are getting, X-flares are possible today.

The middle ones are pretty tightly packed 

And also different polarities, I'm seeing the potential that has. 

Has doubled in size in most recent report to 680!

This spot is weak and will definitely not produce an x-flare with a full halo and earth directed cme. I give it a -5% chance of producing an x-flare before crossing the LOD. 

Edited April 29, 20241 yr by Jay-B
Grammar

1 hour ago, Jay-B said:

This spot is weak and will definitely not produce an x-flare with a full halo and earth directed cme. I give it a -5% chance of producing an x-flare before crossing the LOD. 

Me too, this spot is so lame it is not capable of anything at all.  Might as well just die right now.

Are sunspots susceptible to reverse psychology?  We shall find out...

17 hours ago, Jay-B said:

This spot is weak and will definitely not produce an x-flare with a full halo and earth directed cme. I give it a -5% chance of producing an x-flare before crossing the LOD. 

15 hours ago, Sam Warfel said:

Me too, this spot is so lame it is not capable of anything at all.  Might as well just die right now.

Are sunspots susceptible to reverse psychology?  We shall find out...

No matter which way you try, you just can't win...

3 hours ago, Philalethes said:

No matter which way you try, you just can't win...

Us Americans need to hurry up and renegotiate the minions sunspot union contract before solar max passes lol!

Classic, flaring big now approaching the limb..

Edited April 30, 20241 yr by mozy

Gimme an X class!!  M9.53.  Close but 3654 will have to attend classes in proper sunspot behavioral characteristics in Unproven Theories until next rotation.  

Edited May 1, 20241 yr by hamateur 1953
Word omission

11 hours ago, Jay-B said:

Us Americans need to hurry up and renegotiate the minions sunspot union contract before solar max passes lol!

They must be on a support strike missing their leader

Not expecting much, but the event was slightly eruptive.

Did the CME visible on LASCO originate from this region? It did do a longer lasting C5 flare with movement visible on SUVI so maybe? 

23 minutes ago, SamDieGurke said:

Did the CME visible on LASCO originate from this region? It did do a longer lasting C5 flare with movement visible on SUVI so maybe? 

I believe so, and I think it's indeed associated with that long-duration C-flare; you can see the eruption in e.g. the 195 Å imagery at around 06:00, and there are also post-eruption arcades forming there.

2 hours ago, SamDieGurke said:

Did the CME visible on LASCO originate from this region? It did do a longer lasting C5 flare with movement visible on SUVI so maybe? 

yes, south to the region. i think its not earth directed though. other opinions=?

It almost looks more like a filament eruption between regions 3654 and 3655. There is a slight Earth directed component, but at this point I'm not certain it will arrive.

Where ever the CME came from, it certainly would be a glancing blow. The travel time to L1 may be around 3 days, but not expecting much geomagnetic activity from it.

13 hours ago, Jesterface23 said:

Where ever the CME came from, it certainly would be a glancing blow. The travel time to L1 may be around 3 days, but not expecting much geomagnetic activity from it.

My predictions wouldn't exceed G1 either, if we even get to G1