Adohran Posted April 26 Share Posted April 26 AR3654 grew steadily over the last couple of days and also have us some M-Flares. I have some hope for this region if it continues growing like it did before. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mozy Posted April 27 Share Posted April 27 (edited) It has grown significantly overnight, now producing a M 2.1 flare. Edit: Seems to be producing a small CME of some sort. Edited April 27 by mozy 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Adohran Posted April 27 Author Share Posted April 27 26 minutes ago, mozy said: It has grown significantly overnight, now producing a M 2.1 flare. Edit: Seems to be producing a small CME of some sort. Just got to see it, those 2 larger spots weren't there yesterday. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MinYoongi Posted April 27 Share Posted April 27 44 minutes ago, mozy said: Edit: Seems to be producing a small CME of some sort. came here because of this Is it a noteworthy CME or something thats not worth talking about / unlikely to reach us? 24 minutes ago, Adohran said: Just got to see it, those 2 larger spots weren't there yesterday. which ones exactly? Did not watch in a few days. sdo movies wont work on mobile 😕 shit Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hamateur 1953 Posted April 27 Share Posted April 27 (edited) I typically use solar ham for the 131 movie. His site appears to be down presently. Got a weird message before like it was an imitator or something like that. He got hacked before. Probably will be back up by Monday we hope Btw .. Good afternoon European kids. 😇 53 minutes ago, Adohran said: Just got to see it, those 2 larger spots weren't there yesterday. Yes, absolutely. Plus the centermost positive ( upper) isn’t a delta that I can see, but it is awfully close to that negative directly beneath it. Edited April 27 by hamateur 1953 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MinYoongi Posted April 27 Share Posted April 27 24 minutes ago, hamateur 1953 said: I typically use solar ham for the 131 movie. His site appears to be down presently. Got a weird message before like it was an imitator or something like that. He got hacked before. Probably will be back up by Monday we hope Btw .. Good afternoon European kids. 😇 Yes, absolutely. Plus the centermost positive ( upper) isn’t a delta that I can see, but it is awfully close to that negative directly beneath it. he's not hacked! he changed the domain to .com from .net ! https://solarham.com/ <- This works 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mozy Posted April 27 Share Posted April 27 57 minutes ago, MinYoongi said: which ones exactly? Did not watch in a few days. sdo movies wont work on mobile 😕 shit https://streamable.com/02afaq 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MinYoongi Posted April 27 Share Posted April 27 (edited) 38 minutes ago, mozy said: https://streamable.com/02afaq youre the top ❤️ Edited April 27 by MinYoongi Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hamateur 1953 Posted April 27 Share Posted April 27 (edited) 2 hours ago, MinYoongi said: he's not hacked! he changed the domain to .com from .net ! https://solarham.com/ <- This works Thanks Min! It drives my safari browser nuts though. It freaked completely! Oh well. Kevin will get it sorted soon. Just had to redo some bookmarks no biggie. 🐈⬛ Edited April 27 by hamateur 1953 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MinYoongi Posted April 27 Share Posted April 27 wondering if the current M flare is from this region.. waiting for suvi to update Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mozy Posted April 27 Share Posted April 27 1 minute ago, MinYoongi said: wondering if the current M flare is from this region.. waiting for suvi to update It is Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MinYoongi Posted April 27 Share Posted April 27 Just now, mozy said: It is nice do you think its eruptive? Your gut feeling? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mozy Posted April 27 Share Posted April 27 (edited) 1 minute ago, MinYoongi said: nice do you think its eruptive? Your gut feeling? No point in using gut feeling, but this region has produced some sort of CME from almost every M-flare, so I have higher hopes for it. Edited April 27 by mozy 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MinYoongi Posted April 27 Share Posted April 27 1 minute ago, mozy said: No point in using gut feeling, but this region has produced some sort of CME from almost every M-flare, so I have higher hopes for it. I did not know it did, i guess i was too focussed on the 3 regions on the departing limb thank you When i looked at it in SDO, it looked less complex. so im a bit surprised by the flare Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SamDieGurke Posted April 27 Share Posted April 27 Seems to have peaked at M3.1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mozy Posted April 27 Share Posted April 27 1 minute ago, MinYoongi said: When i looked at it in SDO, it looked less complex. so im a bit surprised by the flare Why so? It still has a clear delta spot with more spots still forming & merging. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Adohran Posted April 27 Author Share Posted April 27 3 minutes ago, SamDieGurke said: Seems to have peaked at M3.1 Yeah, SWPC already shows the peak at M3.1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MinYoongi Posted April 27 Share Posted April 27 Just now, mozy said: Why so? It still has a clear delta spot with more spots still forming & merging. If i compare now to 15:00Z the delta has seemingly lost size and it looked like it is drifting apart, the red moving south-west a bit. thus said, as long as theres a delta i know its possible and i know where they shrink others can grow and as you said, regions form and merge and move. 🤷♀️ i just like to take a really, really close look to "small" changes rather than the "big picture". not meant as an offense or anything against the region or badmouthing it 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mozy Posted April 27 Share Posted April 27 No CME it looks like Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SamDieGurke Posted April 27 Share Posted April 27 Yeah looking at SUVI it doesnt look eruptive 😕 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Adohran Posted April 27 Author Share Posted April 27 304 also doesn't really show eruptive behavior, another impulsive flare without a CME. I guess we never had those before xd 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MinYoongi Posted April 27 Share Posted April 27 1 hour ago, Adohran said: 304 also doesn't really show eruptive behavior, another impulsive flare without a CME. I guess we never had those before xd maybe @Philalethes can help us figure out if its magnetic caging (i doubt) or another reason Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Parabolic Posted April 28 Share Posted April 28 (edited) 3 hours ago, MinYoongi said: maybe @Philalethes can help us figure out if its magnetic caging (i doubt) or another reason My best guess is that there wasn't enough shear angle present when the flare ribbons reconnected. I haven't learned how to calculate unassigned magnetic flux reliably so I'm making an assumption when I say it's probably about average. Here's an interesting article about Shear Angle and it's role in Magnetic Reconnection 🙂 https://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.3847/1538-4357/acebeb Edited April 28 by Parabolic Grammer 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Philalethes Posted April 28 Solution Share Posted April 28 (edited) 9 hours ago, MinYoongi said: maybe @Philalethes can help us figure out if its magnetic caging (i doubt) or another reason I strongly doubt it's caging at this point, at least not based on the paper we've discussed. Here is the data on this region, and as you can see in the second to rightmost column it just barely crossed the 3e+22 Mx threshold identified as the lower bound for confined flares, and when those flares occurred it was significantly lower. I'm guessing it had more to do with the flare itself being too weak and impulsive. Edited April 28 by Philalethes typo 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Adohran Posted April 28 Author Share Posted April 28 3654 now got the Beta-Gamma-Delta and grew a bit more. My hope for this region is on the rise! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now