AR 13429

[Vancanneyt Sander]

12 minuten geleden, MinYoongi zei:

i think there still is a delta, but i dont think its a big one with not much shear?

Indeed a delta but it’s tiny so not much to expect but a low level M-class is possible.

[hamateur 1953]

Apologies to all. I may have jinxed us!            Maybe it needs encouragement using that container of Flare Enhancement fuel Sander found on Twitter……

Edited September 15, 2023 by hamateur 1953

[MinYoongi]

3 hours ago, Vancanneyt Sander said:

Indeed a delta but it’s tiny so not much to expect but a low level M-class is possible.

yeah. i dont know if its growing, its changing a little bit but the flux is going down alot. whats your opinion? still tiny?

[hamateur 1953]

Looks like it replied a bit ago..  

[MinYoongi]

 

here is what it looks like at 01:22

its changing quite a bit, im not sure about how "good" the delta is. to *me* it looks small and like the blue portion is shrinking

[Philalethes]

32 minutes ago, MinYoongi said:

 

here is what it looks like at 01:22

its changing quite a bit, im not sure about how "good" the delta is. to *me* it looks small and like the blue portion is shrinking

Yeah, it's not that big, but it will probably flare some more. Last ones (including just now) have all been impulsive though.

[cgrant26]

And now an M2.9 to follow up the M1.7

[hamateur 1953]

Still going up above 3.4.  X class?? C’mon   Edit  looks like it launched that filament but may have fallen back.  Nice eruption though. 

Edited September 16, 2023 by hamateur 1953

[SpaceWeather5464]

M3 flare

[MinYoongi]

1 hour ago, hamateur 1953 said:

Still going up above 3.4.  X class?? C’mon   Edit  looks like it launched that filament but may have fallen back.  Nice eruption though. 

 

1 hour ago, SpaceWeather5464 said:

M3 flare

interesting statement about the filament. Hope I can take a look soon

[hamateur 1953]

Was looking at it using D. Favre recent HA pic and thinking that it might get involved in a cme.  Just speculating at this point, but it looked like it from what I could see anyway.  Lots of sharper eyes among us should help! 

[MinYoongi]

17 minutes ago, hamateur 1953 said:

 thinking that it might get involved in a cme.  Just speculating at this point, but it looked like it from what I could see anyway.

isnt it detached? Im so confused by now, im sorry. i thought it detached and fallen back? or still in the process? I cant see stuff good on mobile, so any info is appreciated!

I see something on lasco but i dont know if thats the filament. 

[Jesterface23]

The filament has been building southward in a pretty interesting shape and it is now launching.

[MinYoongi]

i look at suvi 304 angstroms and it looks like its detaching but to the right (west) ? @Philalethes @mozy

3 minutes ago, Jesterface23 said:

The filament has been building southward in a pretty interesting shape and it is now launching.

https://gyazo.com/ca7f17221d32a3bcf0f0b14c7ebc567b  any idea about earth component, "falling back" etc? ps: A nice lil video  

in the video is visible what i mean with the western launch direction

[hamateur 1953]

Wow @Jesterface23 I was looking at a different filament entirely!  If the one you linked lifted ,  its easily five times the size of the one I saw near 3429 earlier.  Cool. 

Edited September 16, 2023 by hamateur 1953

[Philalethes]

4 hours ago, MinYoongi said:

i look at suvi 304 angstroms and it looks like its detaching but to the right (west) ? @Philalethes @mozy

https://gyazo.com/ca7f17221d32a3bcf0f0b14c7ebc567b  any idea about earth component, "falling back" etc? ps: A nice lil video  

in the video is visible what i mean with the western launch direction

I would agree, but it seems to be quite slow and barely visible on C3 after 3 hours, hard to tell the exact direction, but it does seem to launch "west"-ward.

Could very well result in an Earth-directed component though.

[MinYoongi]

The Delta disappeared as of now.