tniickck Posted August 23 Share Posted August 23 this region developed spots within last 18 hours and started erupting with C-flares, we should watch it 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tniickck Posted August 23 Author Share Posted August 23 and it is FHO now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Patrick P.A. Geryl Posted August 28 Share Posted August 28 Do I see reversed polarities? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sapphire828 Posted August 28 Share Posted August 28 Cool! The daily pictures show the polarities rotating around each other on the active region page: https://www.spaceweatherlive.com/en/solar-activity/region/13413.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tniickck Posted August 30 Author Share Posted August 30 there might be a delta, actually Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SpaceWeather5464 Posted September 1 Share Posted September 1 M1! This is the fastest CME that I have seen from a M1 flare thought it is long duration, Protons are already rising. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tniickck Posted September 1 Author Share Posted September 1 so long flare, powerful and fast cme 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesterface23 Posted September 1 Share Posted September 1 Nice eruptive flare. Currently the CME has an Earth directed component with a glancing blow, still waiting for more imagery for a travel time. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tniickck Posted September 1 Author Share Posted September 1 any thoughts, may radiation storm reach S2? xd 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SpaceWeather5464 Posted September 1 Share Posted September 1 9 minutes ago, tniickck said: any thoughts, may radiation storm reach S2? xd Likely 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tniickck Posted September 1 Author Share Posted September 1 nah it will not Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEAurora Posted September 1 Share Posted September 1 (edited) Any speculation as to whether or not the CME will interact with the filament eruption the other day, possibly boosting any geomagnetic impact? Edit: Also, absolutely classic to see this spot wander silently across the disk and start popping off as soon as it approaches the limb... ugh. Edited September 1 by NEAurora One more thing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris, HB9DFG Posted September 1 Share Posted September 1 (edited) 49 minutes ago, NEAurora said: Edit: Also, absolutely classic to see this spot wander silently across the disk and start popping off as soon as it approaches the limb... ugh. As I already mentioned it is so frustrating to have no earth directed big ones anymore this cycle - its really surreal meanwhile and extremely unlogical all is happening only from side to side and behind the sun and according to the steady dropping of sunspots now I really fear we passed the maximum... Regards, Chris Edited September 1 by Chris, HB9DFG 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Landon Moeller Posted September 1 Share Posted September 1 38 minutes ago, Chris, HB9DFG said: As I already mentioned it is so frustrating to have no earth directed big ones anymore this cycle - its really surreal meanwhile and extremely unlogical all is happening only from side to side and behind the sun and according to the steady dropping of sunspots now I really fear we passed the maximum... Regards, Chris We are definitely really close to solar max, however I would be skeptical of us already having reached maximum. As we have seen over the course of the past year or so, the sun has undergone cycles on a monthly or multi-monthly basis in which sunspot numbers have greatly varied. If you ask me, I think by the time October rolls around, things will start to pick up again 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesterface23 Posted September 1 Share Posted September 1 For this CME I'd estimate a 2.25-3.25 day travel time span. G2 may be possible for this CME as well. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SpaceWeather5464 Posted September 1 Share Posted September 1 2 hours ago, Chris, HB9DFG said: As I already mentioned it is so frustrating to have no earth directed big ones anymore this cycle - its really surreal meanwhile and extremely unlogical all is happening only from side to side and behind the sun and according to the steady dropping of sunspots now I really fear we passed the maximum... Regards, Chris We will have another big one eventually, We still have to wait a year for solar maximum, The sunspots are not dropping the sun is just taking a break this happens every few months. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tniickck Posted September 1 Author Share Posted September 1 3 hours ago, NEAurora said: Any speculation as to whether or not the CME will interact with the filament eruption the other day, possibly boosting any geomagnetic impact? Edit: Also, absolutely classic to see this spot wander silently across the disk and start popping off as soon as it approaches the limb... ugh. same question, actually 2 hours ago, Chris, HB9DFG said: As I already mentioned it is so frustrating to have no earth directed big ones anymore this cycle - its really surreal meanwhile and extremely unlogical all is happening only from side to side and behind the sun and according to the steady dropping of sunspots now I really fear we passed the maximum... Regards, Chris we did not with a 99% chance, there was a discussion in growth of the cycle 25 topic it is just a break that sun takes every 4-6 months after a high level activity, it usually lasts up to 2 months 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
arjemma Posted September 1 Share Posted September 1 I would say that the CME from this region could interact with the filament and maybe "merge" into each other. The filament could make the path a bit faster behind it. The filament is more of a direct hit than what the CME from this region seems to be though. Hopefully we will get some flux rope. Will be interesting to see what happens for sure. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hamateur 1953 Posted September 1 Share Posted September 1 (edited) I have a similar concern Chris. However, I honestly believe we will see a resurgence in activity ( sfi particularly) before January 2024. We are still too early in this cycle to say that it is done. ( I really need 200 sfi by January!) @3gMikemade a pretty convincing case for this in another thread. We all hope it plays out in this manner. 73. @hamateur 1953 10 hours ago, Chris, HB9DFG said: As I already mentioned it is so frustrating to have no earth directed big ones anymore this cycle - its really surreal meanwhile and extremely unlogical all is happening only from side to side and behind the sun and according to the steady dropping of sunspots now I really fear we passed the maximum... Regards, Chris Edited September 1 by hamateur 1953 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tniickck Posted September 1 Author Share Posted September 1 C7.34 from here, by it's trajectory it must reach M level nah, it did not that was literally from place with no spots 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesterface23 Posted September 2 Share Posted September 2 (edited) For the CME from this region, the SWPC currently is predicting a glancing blow on the 5th from their forecast discussion and the Met Office is predicting an impact early on the 3rd. Edited September 2 by Jesterface23 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ester89 Posted September 2 Share Posted September 2 AR 3413 shines again before hiding. M1.8 right now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tniickck Posted September 2 Author Share Posted September 2 M3.35, very good 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tniickck Posted September 3 Author Share Posted September 3 another M, probably from here yup, but just m1.1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Popular Post Vancanneyt Sander Posted September 3 Popular Post Share Posted September 3 And a final goodbye with an M6 6 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
.thumb.jpeg.abcf9ed3f3621ca6ef255dbe7c420305.jpeg)
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now