tniickck Posted August 23, 2023 Share Posted August 23, 2023 this region developed spots within last 18 hours and started erupting with C-flares, we should watch it 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tniickck Posted August 23, 2023 Author Share Posted August 23, 2023 and it is FHO now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Patrick P.A. Geryl Posted August 28, 2023 Share Posted August 28, 2023 Do I see reversed polarities? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sapphire828 Posted August 28, 2023 Share Posted August 28, 2023 Cool! The daily pictures show the polarities rotating around each other on the active region page: https://www.spaceweatherlive.com/en/solar-activity/region/13413.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tniickck Posted August 30, 2023 Author Share Posted August 30, 2023 there might be a delta, actually Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SpaceWeather5464 Posted September 1, 2023 Share Posted September 1, 2023 M1! This is the fastest CME that I have seen from a M1 flare thought it is long duration, Protons are already rising. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tniickck Posted September 1, 2023 Author Share Posted September 1, 2023 so long flare, powerful and fast cme 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesterface23 Posted September 1, 2023 Share Posted September 1, 2023 Nice eruptive flare. Currently the CME has an Earth directed component with a glancing blow, still waiting for more imagery for a travel time. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tniickck Posted September 1, 2023 Author Share Posted September 1, 2023 any thoughts, may radiation storm reach S2? xd 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SpaceWeather5464 Posted September 1, 2023 Share Posted September 1, 2023 9 minutes ago, tniickck said: any thoughts, may radiation storm reach S2? xd Likely 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tniickck Posted September 1, 2023 Author Share Posted September 1, 2023 nah it will not Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEAurora Posted September 1, 2023 Share Posted September 1, 2023 (edited) Any speculation as to whether or not the CME will interact with the filament eruption the other day, possibly boosting any geomagnetic impact? Edit: Also, absolutely classic to see this spot wander silently across the disk and start popping off as soon as it approaches the limb... ugh. Edited September 1, 2023 by NEAurora One more thing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris, HB9DFG Posted September 1, 2023 Share Posted September 1, 2023 (edited) 49 minutes ago, NEAurora said: Edit: Also, absolutely classic to see this spot wander silently across the disk and start popping off as soon as it approaches the limb... ugh. As I already mentioned it is so frustrating to have no earth directed big ones anymore this cycle - its really surreal meanwhile and extremely unlogical all is happening only from side to side and behind the sun and according to the steady dropping of sunspots now I really fear we passed the maximum... Regards, Chris Edited September 1, 2023 by Chris, HB9DFG 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Landon Moeller Posted September 1, 2023 Share Posted September 1, 2023 38 minutes ago, Chris, HB9DFG said: As I already mentioned it is so frustrating to have no earth directed big ones anymore this cycle - its really surreal meanwhile and extremely unlogical all is happening only from side to side and behind the sun and according to the steady dropping of sunspots now I really fear we passed the maximum... Regards, Chris We are definitely really close to solar max, however I would be skeptical of us already having reached maximum. As we have seen over the course of the past year or so, the sun has undergone cycles on a monthly or multi-monthly basis in which sunspot numbers have greatly varied. If you ask me, I think by the time October rolls around, things will start to pick up again 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesterface23 Posted September 1, 2023 Share Posted September 1, 2023 For this CME I'd estimate a 2.25-3.25 day travel time span. G2 may be possible for this CME as well. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SpaceWeather5464 Posted September 1, 2023 Share Posted September 1, 2023 2 hours ago, Chris, HB9DFG said: As I already mentioned it is so frustrating to have no earth directed big ones anymore this cycle - its really surreal meanwhile and extremely unlogical all is happening only from side to side and behind the sun and according to the steady dropping of sunspots now I really fear we passed the maximum... Regards, Chris We will have another big one eventually, We still have to wait a year for solar maximum, The sunspots are not dropping the sun is just taking a break this happens every few months. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tniickck Posted September 1, 2023 Author Share Posted September 1, 2023 3 hours ago, NEAurora said: Any speculation as to whether or not the CME will interact with the filament eruption the other day, possibly boosting any geomagnetic impact? Edit: Also, absolutely classic to see this spot wander silently across the disk and start popping off as soon as it approaches the limb... ugh. same question, actually 2 hours ago, Chris, HB9DFG said: As I already mentioned it is so frustrating to have no earth directed big ones anymore this cycle - its really surreal meanwhile and extremely unlogical all is happening only from side to side and behind the sun and according to the steady dropping of sunspots now I really fear we passed the maximum... Regards, Chris we did not with a 99% chance, there was a discussion in growth of the cycle 25 topic it is just a break that sun takes every 4-6 months after a high level activity, it usually lasts up to 2 months 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
arjemma Posted September 1, 2023 Share Posted September 1, 2023 I would say that the CME from this region could interact with the filament and maybe "merge" into each other. The filament could make the path a bit faster behind it. The filament is more of a direct hit than what the CME from this region seems to be though. Hopefully we will get some flux rope. Will be interesting to see what happens for sure. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hamateur 1953 Posted September 1, 2023 Share Posted September 1, 2023 (edited) I have a similar concern Chris. However, I honestly believe we will see a resurgence in activity ( sfi particularly) before January 2024. We are still too early in this cycle to say that it is done. ( I really need 200 sfi by January!) @3gMikemade a pretty convincing case for this in another thread. We all hope it plays out in this manner. 73. @hamateur 1953 10 hours ago, Chris, HB9DFG said: As I already mentioned it is so frustrating to have no earth directed big ones anymore this cycle - its really surreal meanwhile and extremely unlogical all is happening only from side to side and behind the sun and according to the steady dropping of sunspots now I really fear we passed the maximum... Regards, Chris Edited September 1, 2023 by hamateur 1953 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tniickck Posted September 1, 2023 Author Share Posted September 1, 2023 C7.34 from here, by it's trajectory it must reach M level nah, it did not that was literally from place with no spots 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesterface23 Posted September 2, 2023 Share Posted September 2, 2023 (edited) For the CME from this region, the SWPC currently is predicting a glancing blow on the 5th from their forecast discussion and the Met Office is predicting an impact early on the 3rd. Edited September 2, 2023 by Jesterface23 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ester89 Posted September 2, 2023 Share Posted September 2, 2023 AR 3413 shines again before hiding. M1.8 right now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tniickck Posted September 2, 2023 Author Share Posted September 2, 2023 M3.35, very good 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tniickck Posted September 3, 2023 Author Share Posted September 3, 2023 another M, probably from here yup, but just m1.1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Popular Post Vancanneyt Sander Posted September 3, 2023 Popular Post Share Posted September 3, 2023 And a final goodbye with an M6 6 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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