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AR 13176


Philalethes

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Hey man, it wasn’t me!  I haven’t even checked site in three days! I didn’t kill it I swear!  

13 hours ago, Orneno said:

Hey, at this point I’m so desperate for aurora and a nice full halo CME, I’d be willing to accept some power grid failures 🤣😂🤣😂

I’m afraid it’s complexity has diminished overnight, I kinda feel like it might not do another M unless it redevelops 

 

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Rather quick M flare from this region, it developed a small delta in the leading portion earlier today. It has since then faded away, but managed to give us some activity again anyways.

Also looks somewhat eruptive even though it was impulsive in nature.

Edited by mozy
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26 minutes ago, mozy said:

Rather quick M flare from this region, it developed a small delta in the leading portion earlier today. It has since then faded away, but managed to give us some activity again anyways.

Also looks somewhat eruptive even though it was impulsive in nature.

What leads you to say it looked eruptive? Was there dimming?

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1 hour ago, Orneno said:

What leads you to say it looked eruptive? Was there dimming?

An M1.4-class solar flare from near the central meridian occurred this morning with associated coronal mass ejection (CME). The CME looks to be likely Earth-directed. Analysis is limited today due to SOHO maneuvering, but arrival could be as early as late Sunday if not Monday.
 

read that on twitter 

I looked at stereo though and maybe I’m out of training or blind but I’m not seeing much @mozy

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9 minutes ago, Jesterface23 said:

An eruptive CME from an impulsive flare, but only the tip of the CME is in STEREO A's imagery so far from about 13 minutes ago.

Does that mean it’s a slow one? 
can you maybe show it? I can’t see it :) I see one to the left but I think that’s not it

Looking at suvi it seems to snap to the right but I don’t know if that changes anything.

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3 minutes ago, MinYoongi said:

Does that mean it’s a slow one? 
can you maybe show it? I can’t see it :) I see one to the left but I think that’s not it

We'll see when more imagery comes in. It looks to be a Multi CME event with one launching about an hour prior.

And so far in the imagery,

spacer.png

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2 minutes ago, MinYoongi said:

I wonder where the first is from and why we see the second so late? Why is it better? 
still very dark in Northern Europe 🥰🥰

First one was small filament near center disk I think, or atleast something got flung out from there prior to the flare.

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2 minutes ago, mozy said:

Woah and now we have M 3.7 from this region out of nowhere lol

Cool! Impulsive ? Eruptive ? I need to take a look at its magnetic layout soon, thought it’s uninteresting because you said the delta died down.

Btw : https://twitter.com/halocme/status/1608908958525456384?s=46&t=fWb9jJdijNA8T0sqXjBQCQ

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On 12/27/2022 at 9:22 AM, Philalethes Bythos said:

A new challenger appears. Two M-flares and several high C-flares; will this be the one to completely destroy Earth's power grid while placating us with some nice lights in the sky to look at? Stay tuned to find out.

You jest, but I feel like people on social media and YouTube would absolutely tell others that.
Being serious, it seems like a decent sunspot, but these flares seem somewhat impulsive going by GOES X-Ray Flux.

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5 minutes ago, MinYoongi said:

Looking at suvi I don’t even know if it’s eruptive. I can see a lil bit being flung away to the right 

I would suspect this has shot off a CME to the north of the Sun-Earth line. As for this morning’s M1.4 flare, STEREO-A coronagraph confirms a likely arrival at earth in a few days, with most of it being south of earth. Should be more flares to come with this AR!20221230_193854_d7c2A.jpg

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