Drax Spacex Posted April 15, 2022 Share Posted April 15, 2022 Giving credit where it is due - NOAA SWPC scored well for issuing the G2/G1 watches and predicting both the arrival time and strength of the geomagntic storm accurately. This would be a good test case for them to look into the WSA-Enlil model to see if they can do a better job of predicting the solar wind density which is frequently overestimated. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesterface23 Posted April 15, 2022 Share Posted April 15, 2022 (edited) The CME may have arrived at /14 03:36Z at DSCOVR, the velocities being reasonable around 400-450km/s. Going past /14 12:00Z is a CH HSS, no way around it based on the high velocities. The IMF though, I have no idea. It could be a merger or part of a complex CH region. Edited April 15, 2022 by Jesterface23 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MinYoongi Posted April 15, 2022 Share Posted April 15, 2022 11 hours ago, Sunboi said: Definitely nothing to be scared about 😂  It does seem like it merged or was deflected a bit by the HSS and didn’t pack the punch it had originally been forecasted with. It doesn’t matter too much to me as it’s a snowstorm right now… hopefully 2975 comes around with some fuel left to burn! Thats what i meant!  2975 looks to be well to me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lightpanther Posted April 15, 2022 Share Posted April 15, 2022 Hope you had a good show. It was an absolute wipeout here in Scotland. Not sure if there'll be time for another one before astronomical night packs its suitcases for the summer. But I hope so! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now