ARs 2939 and 2940

[3gMike]

9 hours ago, Patrick P.A. Geryl said:

If they are returning sunspots, please list them!

2940= old sunspot 2926

 

2939= new

O.K. you are correct to say that AR2940 is the old AR2926. It seems that it may have developed on the farside since it has already produced 5x C flares today - compared to only 4x B flares (over 7 days) on last appearance. We know that the AR was initially identified as an H Alpha Plage on 10th January, and developed into a Beta spot on 12th January. Would you count that as being 'born' on the 10th or the 12th? How does that match with the predictions you made for sunspots in January?

And when do you think AR2939 was 'born'?

[Patrick P.A. Geryl]

9 uren geleden, 3gMike zei:

O.K. you are correct to say that AR2940 is the old AR2926. It seems that it may have developed on the farside since it has already produced 5x C flares today - compared to only 4x B flares (over 7 days) on last appearance. We know that the AR was initially identified as an H Alpha Plage on 10th January, and developed into a Beta spot on 12th January. Would you count that as being 'born' on the 10th or the 12th? How does that match with the predictions you made for sunspots in January?

And when do you think AR2939 was 'born'?

 

Born = first small sunspot in high resolution. Will see when Jan Alvestad updates for January.

NASA can never find the sunspot theory because they list a sunspot sometimes DAYS after it has been BORN!

2939= hard to tell because STEREO isnt working. Depends from reactions on alignments

This is a possibility for 2940... Old 2926

January 8 (03:15)

January 5 (08:15) - 9 (02:00), 2022 Triple Line Up Juno –  Venus –Earth

January 6 (21:45) - 9 (06:00), 2022 Triple Line Up Saturn –  Mercury - Venus

January 7 (12:00) – February 2 (13:15), 2022 Triple Line Up Saturn - Juno –  Mars

December 25 (03:00) – January 10 (02:45), 2022 Triple Line Up    Neptune – Pallas - Venus

January 5 (08:15) - 9 (02:00), 2022 Triple Line Up Juno –  Venus –Earth

January 6 (21:45) - 9 (06:00), 2022 Triple Line Up Saturn –  Mercury - Venus

January 8 (03:15) – 9 (22:15), 2022: Conjunction Venus - Earth and the Sun

January 9 (07:45) – 12 (02:15), 2021: Opposition Juno - Venus across the Sun

January 9 (12:45) – 14 (07:15), 2021: Opposition Juno - Earth across the Sun

[farm24]

it looks like 2940 is ramping up it has flared quite a few times and is keeping the background flux above a C level

[LunarLights58]

It produced a high-end C flare too.

[Sam Warfel]

45 minutes ago, LunarLights58 said:

It produced a high-end C flare too.

Somewhat long-duration too. 

Is it really just a beta spot? Seems awfully active 

[farm24]

25 minutes ago, Orneno said:

Somewhat long-duration too. 

Is it really just a beta spot? Seems awfully active 

i guess?

[LunarLights58]

It's nice to see AR 2940 growing, after AR 2936 only managed a low end M flare and a weak CME at its peak.

[Sam Warfel]

Nice long-duration C9 from 2939!
Almost an M1, could launch a decent CME

[farm24]

2 hours ago, Orneno said:

Nice long-duration C9 from 2939!
Almost an M1, could launch a decent CME

And of course it happens when I'm away from my computer

[Solarflaretracker200]

And This time it was the opposite for me

 

Edited February 2, 2022 by Solarflaretracker200

[Sam Warfel]

Looks like about 3 hours, could probably have launched a CME. No radio sweeps, so not sure, but the last one (the CME that just hit) didn’t have those either. 

[LunarLights58]

10 minutes ago, Orneno said:

Looks like about 3 hours, could probably have launched a CME. No radio sweeps, so not sure, but the last one (the CME that just hit) didn’t have those either. 

No coronal dimming, not even in the slightest. So, no CME. 

[Sam Warfel]

3 minutes ago, LunarLights58 said:

No coronal dimming, not even in the slightest. So, no CME. 

Fair enough. 

[Space pro]

Has AR2940 decayed?

[Sam Warfel]

8 hours ago, Space pro said:

Has AR2940 decayed?

I don’t think so, but it doesn’t seem to have grown much at all either 

[LunarLights58]

AR 2940 is beta gamma now

[Sam Warfel]

No surprise there when it’s been flaring for days and continues to. 

It does look like it may have shrank some, or at least isn’t growing at all…

[Space pro]

Just now, Orneno said:

It does look like it may have shrank some, or at least isn’t growing at all…

It shrunk I think.

[Sam Warfel]

13 hours ago, LunarLights58 said:

AR 2940 is beta gamma now

Not anymore 😭

[Drax Spacex]

2022-02-06 12:00 UT filament eruption near AR2939 possible Earth-directed CME

[Sam Warfel]

2 hours ago, Drax Spacex said:

2022-02-06 12:00 UT filament eruption near AR2939 possible Earth-directed CME

Ah ye I see it. Close to center-disk, but it kinda appears to be largely directed eastward. Perhaps the Parker Spiral effect will bring it around.

No LASCO footage yet, gotta wait for that…

Edited February 6, 2022 by Orneno

[Sam Warfel]

6 hours ago, Drax Spacex said:

2022-02-06 12:00 UT filament eruption near AR2939 possible Earth-directed CME

On LASCO it looks pretty faint, but WSA-ENIL shows a pretty strong direct hit Feb 10th. We’ll see…

(@MinYoongi, this thread is where we were talking about the filament eruption)

[MinYoongi]

4 minutes ago, Orneno said:

On LASCO it looks pretty faint, but WSA-ENIL shows a pretty strong direct hit Feb 10th. We’ll see…

(@MinYoongi, this thread is where we were talking about the filament eruption)

Ah, sorry. can you maybe move my Reply to this thread if possible? 

[Solarflaretracker200]

Did I miss something interesting?

[Sam Warfel]

9 minutes ago, MinYoongi said:

Ah, sorry. can you maybe move my Reply to this thread if possible? 

Np, I just didn’t want you to miss out on relevant information. I should be able to move it, but I can’t figure out how atm, sorry 😅😂

4 minutes ago, Solarflaretracker200 said:

Did I miss something interesting?

CME from filament eruption. Scroll up a bit