Sam Warfel Posted December 21, 2021 Share Posted December 21, 2021 37 minutes ago, Solarflaretracker200 said: I think its barely on the limb Ah thanks I see it now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
3gMike Posted December 21, 2021 Share Posted December 21, 2021 1 hour ago, Orneno said: Ah thanks I see it now It looks like a good one. Most recent SWPC Synoptic Map has assigned it an AR number (2916) with 35% probability of C flares and 25% probability M flares. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sam Warfel Posted December 21, 2021 Share Posted December 21, 2021 1 hour ago, 3gMike said: It looks like a good one. Most recent SWPC Synoptic Map has assigned it an AR number (2916) with 35% probability of C flares and 25% probability M flares. Yup, SWL’s images has 10 ARs now! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solarflaretracker200 Posted December 21, 2021 Author Share Posted December 21, 2021 (edited) Holy crap Edited December 21, 2021 by Solarflaretracker200 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sam Warfel Posted December 22, 2021 Share Posted December 22, 2021 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solarflaretracker200 Posted December 22, 2021 Author Share Posted December 22, 2021 The sun activity is going nuts... and I like it Not just from constant C class solar flares but also from 10 regions on the sun. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sam Warfel Posted December 22, 2021 Share Posted December 22, 2021 1 hour ago, Solarflaretracker200 said: The sun activity is going nuts... and I like it Not just from constant C class solar flares but also from 10 regions on the sun. I know, it's amazing after the ultra-boring Solar Minimum Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solarflaretracker200 Posted December 22, 2021 Author Share Posted December 22, 2021 3 minutes ago, Orneno said: I know, it's amazing after the ultra-boring Solar Minimum It seems like the sun is making up for SC 24 or something lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sam Warfel Posted December 22, 2021 Share Posted December 22, 2021 34 minutes ago, Solarflaretracker200 said: It seems like the sun is making up for SC 24 or something lol Let’s hope so!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solarflaretracker200 Posted December 22, 2021 Author Share Posted December 22, 2021 147 sunspots is now my new highest once again! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sam Warfel Posted December 22, 2021 Share Posted December 22, 2021 Apparently, 10 ARs is the highest it’s been since the peak of the last Solar Cycle! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solarflaretracker200 Posted December 22, 2021 Author Share Posted December 22, 2021 14 minutes ago, Orneno said: Apparently, 10 ARs is the highest it’s been since the peak of the last Solar Cycle Oh wow! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sam Warfel Posted December 23, 2021 Share Posted December 23, 2021 Make that 12 ARs a couple hours ago! If that's higher than since the very peak of the last solar cycle, that seems to bode really well for this cycle's overall strength, since we're not even that close to Solar Maximum. Â Is that true @Vancanneyt Sander, or is it not indicative of overall strength like that? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Vancanneyt Sander Posted December 23, 2021 Share Posted December 23, 2021 17 uren geleden, Orneno zei: Make that 12 ARs a couple hours ago! If that's higher than since the very peak of the last solar cycle, that seems to bode really well for this cycle's overall strength, since we're not even that close to Solar Maximum.  Is that true @Vancanneyt Sander, or is it not indicative of overall strength like that? The maximum daily SSN of the 24th cycle was 296 on April 14th 2014. It had 11 active regions on the visible solar disk, but in terms of number of spots it’s still more than today’s SSN. But if the max number of regions now is more than the previous cycle, it might be. I could make a difficult query to find that out but if it’s worth it, I don’t know. The SSN still is more important to that because it also takes the number of spots into account. But apart from that, it’s clear currents monthly mean is higher then the predicted value of the predicted SC25. Both predictions methods (standard and combined) based on previous months where already higher then the predictions and this month confirms it again. But still, it can mean two things: early peak, but still as high as predicted; or indeed a higher than predicted SC. Either way, this cycle once again proves that there is no reliable way in predicting an SC. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LunarLights58 Posted January 25, 2022 Share Posted January 25, 2022 (edited) 2014 was crazy. It was the first solar maximum that SDO saw, and there were some ridiculous sunspots. It's not something that I paid to attention back then. But looking back makes me wish SC25 would get to maximum faster.  Edited January 25, 2022 by LunarLights58 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solarflaretracker200 Posted January 25, 2022 Author Share Posted January 25, 2022 40 minutes ago, LunarLights58 said: 2014 was crazy. It was the first solar maximum that SDO saw, and there were some ridiculous sunspots 2000 was crazy.. I was looking back in the archive and there was a day in 2000 with 401 FREAKING SUNSPOTS. LIKE WTF. Here I thought 300 sunspots were impossible on the sun... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now